Premier League·Etapa 11·
Premier League·Etapa 11·Statistici estimate
Goluri
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,070,823,89sigur2,10–4,040,00–1,682,07–5,71mai sigur1,85–4,290,00–1,901,59–6,19
Șuturi pe poartă
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,623,2810,89sigur5,75–9,481,53–5,027,29–14,50mai sigur5,26–9,971,07–5,486,33–15,45
Total șuturi
98%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție20,238,4128,63sigur16,30–24,154,84–11,9721,15–36,12mai sigur15,21–25,243,88–12,9319,10–38,17
Șuturi din careu
95%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,936,0619,99sigur10,98–16,873,38–8,7514,37–25,61mai sigur10,15–17,702,65–9,4812,80–27,18
Șuturi blocate
89%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,691,877,56sigur3,81–7,570,21–3,524,02–11,09mai sigur3,26–8,120,00–4,012,99–12,13
Cornere
90%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,763,1710,93sigur5,55–9,971,17–5,176,71–15,14mai sigur4,97–10,550,64–5,705,61–16,25
Posesie %
96%
gazdeoaspețipredicție64,8634,55sigur58,07–71,6527,76–41,33mai sigur56,40–73,3226,09–43,00
Pase
100%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6803681048sigur613–747301–434914–1181mai sigur594–765284–452878–1217
Precizie pase %
93%
gazdeoaspețipredicție84,3972,56sigur80,36–88,4268,24–76,89mai sigur79,07–89,7166,93–78,20
Faulturi
39%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,3610,0919,46sigur6,52–12,207,15–13,0413,67–25,24mai sigur5,77–12,966,40–13,7912,17–26,74
Ofsaiduri
38%
19%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,232,394,61sigur1,06–3,391,29–3,482,36–6,86mai sigur0,76–3,691,00–3,771,77–7,45
Cartonașe galbene
19%
22%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,011,922,93sigur0,00–2,060,79–3,050,75–5,11mai sigur0,00–2,330,50–3,340,20–5,67
Cartonașe roșii
90%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,040,080,11sigur0,00–0,200,00–0,260,00–0,46mai sigur0,00–0,350,00–0,400,00–0,74
Parade portar
78%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,264,757,01sigur0,82–3,693,20–6,314,02–10,00mai sigur0,43–4,082,77–6,733,21–10,81
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 3,07 2,10–4,04 1,85–4,29 | 0,82 0,00–1,68 0,00–1,90 | 3,89 2,07–5,71 1,59–6,19 | 82% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 7,62 5,75–9,48 5,26–9,97 | 3,28 1,53–5,02 1,07–5,48 | 10,89 7,29–14,50 6,33–15,45 | 88% |
| Total șuturi | 20,23 16,30–24,15 15,21–25,24 | 8,41 4,84–11,97 3,88–12,93 | 28,63 21,15–36,12 19,10–38,17 | 98% |
| Șuturi din careu | 13,93 10,98–16,87 10,15–17,70 | 6,06 3,38–8,75 2,65–9,48 | 19,99 14,37–25,61 12,80–27,18 | 95% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,69 3,81–7,57 3,26–8,12 | 1,87 0,21–3,52 0,00–4,01 | 7,56 4,02–11,09 2,99–12,13 | 89% |
| Cornere | 7,76 5,55–9,97 4,97–10,55 | 3,17 1,17–5,17 0,64–5,70 | 10,93 6,71–15,14 5,61–16,25 | 90% |
| Posesie % | 64,86 58,07–71,65 56,40–73,32 | 34,55 27,76–41,33 26,09–43,00 | — | 96% |
| Pase | 680 613–747 594–765 | 368 301–434 284–452 | 1048 914–1181 878–1217 | 100% |
| Precizie pase % | 84,39 80,36–88,42 79,07–89,71 | 72,56 68,24–76,89 66,93–78,20 | — | 93% |
| Faulturi | 9,36 6,52–12,20 5,77–12,96 | 10,09 7,15–13,04 6,40–13,79 | 19,46 13,67–25,24 12,17–26,74 | 39% 52% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,23 1,06–3,39 0,76–3,69 | 2,39 1,29–3,48 1,00–3,77 | 4,61 2,36–6,86 1,77–7,45 | 38% 19% 43% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,01 0,00–2,06 0,00–2,33 | 1,92 0,79–3,05 0,50–3,34 | 2,93 0,75–5,11 0,20–5,67 | 19% 22% 59% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,04 0,00–0,20 0,00–0,35 | 0,08 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,40 | 0,11 0,00–0,46 0,00–0,74 | 90% |
| Parade portar | 2,26 0,82–3,69 0,43–4,08 | 4,75 3,20–6,31 2,77–6,73 | 7,01 4,02–10,00 3,21–10,81 | 78% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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