Premier League·Etapa 12·
Premier League·Etapa 12·Statistici estimate
Goluri
38%
25%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,441,422,85sigur0,47–2,400,56–2,271,03–4,68mai sigur0,22–2,660,33–2,500,55–5,16
Șuturi pe poartă
35%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,475,189,65sigur2,61–6,333,43–6,926,04–13,25mai sigur2,12–6,822,97–7,395,08–14,21
Total șuturi
43%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,0413,4826,52sigur9,11–16,969,92–17,0419,03–34,00mai sigur8,02–18,058,96–18,0016,98–36,05
Șuturi din careu
48%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,198,9318,12sigur6,25–12,146,25–11,6112,50–23,74mai sigur5,42–12,975,51–12,3510,93–25,31
Șuturi blocate
40%
14%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,964,158,10sigur2,07–5,842,49–5,804,57–11,64mai sigur1,53–6,382,00–6,293,53–12,67
Cornere
46%
13%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,914,729,63sigur2,69–7,122,72–6,725,41–13,84mai sigur2,12–7,692,19–7,254,31–14,95
Posesie %
13%
84%
gazdeoaspețipredicție41,3359,11sigur34,54–48,1252,32–65,89mai sigur32,87–49,7950,65–67,56
Pase
93%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție387563950sigur320–454496–629816–1084mai sigur302–473479–647781–1119
Precizie pase %
89%
gazdeoaspețipredicție72,5182,38sigur68,48–76,5478,06–86,71mai sigur67,19–77,8376,75–88,01
Faulturi
35%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,3612,7024,06sigur8,53–14,209,75–15,6418,28–29,84mai sigur7,77–14,969,00–16,3916,77–31,35
Ofsaiduri
73%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,011,254,26sigur1,85–4,170,16–2,352,01–6,52mai sigur1,55–4,470,00–2,631,42–7,11
Cartonașe galbene
39%
20%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,092,124,21sigur1,04–3,141,00–3,252,03–6,39mai sigur0,77–3,400,70–3,541,47–6,95
Cartonașe roșii
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,080,15sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,270,00–0,49mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,400,00–0,78
Parade portar
46%
16%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,242,986,22sigur1,81–4,681,42–4,533,23–9,21mai sigur1,42–5,071,00–4,962,42–10,03
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,44 0,47–2,40 0,22–2,66 | 1,42 0,56–2,27 0,33–2,50 | 2,85 1,03–4,68 0,55–5,16 | 38% 25% 37% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,47 2,61–6,33 2,12–6,82 | 5,18 3,43–6,92 2,97–7,39 | 9,65 6,04–13,25 5,08–14,21 | 35% 53% |
| Total șuturi | 13,04 9,11–16,96 8,02–18,05 | 13,48 9,92–17,04 8,96–18,00 | 26,52 19,03–34,00 16,98–36,05 | 43% 50% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,19 6,25–12,14 5,42–12,97 | 8,93 6,25–11,61 5,51–12,35 | 18,12 12,50–23,74 10,93–25,31 | 48% 43% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,96 2,07–5,84 1,53–6,38 | 4,15 2,49–5,80 2,00–6,29 | 8,10 4,57–11,64 3,53–12,67 | 40% 14% 46% |
| Cornere | 4,91 2,69–7,12 2,12–7,69 | 4,72 2,72–6,72 2,19–7,25 | 9,63 5,41–13,84 4,31–14,95 | 46% 13% 41% |
| Posesie % | 41,33 34,54–48,12 32,87–49,79 | 59,11 52,32–65,89 50,65–67,56 | — | 13% 84% |
| Pase | 387 320–454 302–473 | 563 496–629 479–647 | 950 816–1084 781–1119 | 93% |
| Precizie pase % | 72,51 68,48–76,54 67,19–77,83 | 82,38 78,06–86,71 76,75–88,01 | — | 89% |
| Faulturi | 11,36 8,53–14,20 7,77–14,96 | 12,70 9,75–15,64 9,00–16,39 | 24,06 18,28–29,84 16,77–31,35 | 35% 57% |
| Ofsaiduri | 3,01 1,85–4,17 1,55–4,47 | 1,25 0,16–2,35 0,00–2,63 | 4,26 2,01–6,52 1,42–7,11 | 73% 14% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,09 1,04–3,14 0,77–3,40 | 2,12 1,00–3,25 0,70–3,54 | 4,21 2,03–6,39 1,47–6,95 | 39% 20% 41% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,15 0,00–0,49 0,00–0,78 | 87% |
| Parade portar | 3,24 1,81–4,68 1,42–5,07 | 2,98 1,42–4,53 1,00–4,96 | 6,22 3,23–9,21 2,42–10,03 | 46% 16% 38% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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