Premier League·Etapa 12·
Premier League·Etapa 12·Statistici estimate
Goluri
54%
23%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,831,112,94sigur0,86–2,800,26–1,971,12–4,77mai sigur0,61–3,050,03–2,200,64–5,25
Șuturi pe poartă
71%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,893,689,57sigur4,03–7,761,93–5,425,97–13,18mai sigur3,54–8,251,47–5,895,01–14,13
Total șuturi
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,9010,3227,22sigur12,97–20,826,75–13,8819,73–34,70mai sigur11,88–21,915,80–14,8417,68–36,75
Șuturi din careu
77%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,087,4118,49sigur8,14–14,024,73–10,0912,87–24,12mai sigur7,31–14,854,00–10,8311,30–25,68
Șuturi blocate
66%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,243,528,77sigur3,36–7,121,87–5,185,23–12,30mai sigur2,82–7,671,38–5,674,19–13,34
Cornere
70%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,494,2510,74sigur4,28–8,702,25–6,256,53–14,95mai sigur3,70–9,281,71–6,785,42–16,06
Posesie %
81%
16%
gazdeoaspețipredicție58,0942,36sigur51,30–64,8835,57–49,14mai sigur49,63–66,5533,90–50,81
Pase
90%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție535379914sigur468–602312–445780–1048mai sigur450–620295–463745–1083
Precizie pase %
76%
21%
gazdeoaspețipredicție75,4069,52sigur71,37–79,4365,20–73,85mai sigur70,08–80,7263,89–75,16
Faulturi
28%
64%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,6611,7921,46sigur6,83–12,508,85–14,7415,67–27,24mai sigur6,07–13,268,10–15,4914,17–28,74
Ofsaiduri
49%
22%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,971,503,48sigur0,81–3,130,41–2,601,22–5,73mai sigur0,51–3,430,12–2,890,63–6,32
Cartonașe galbene
25%
21%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,382,113,49sigur0,33–2,430,98–3,241,31–5,66mai sigur0,06–2,700,69–3,530,75–6,22
Cartonașe roșii
89%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,040,080,12sigur0,00–0,200,00–0,260,00–0,47mai sigur0,00–0,350,00–0,400,00–0,75
Parade portar
24%
14%
62%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,563,856,40sigur1,12–3,992,29–5,413,41–9,40mai sigur0,73–4,381,87–5,832,60–10,21
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,83 0,86–2,80 0,61–3,05 | 1,11 0,26–1,97 0,03–2,20 | 2,94 1,12–4,77 0,64–5,25 | 54% 23% 23% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,89 4,03–7,76 3,54–8,25 | 3,68 1,93–5,42 1,47–5,89 | 9,57 5,97–13,18 5,01–14,13 | 71% 19% |
| Total șuturi | 16,90 12,97–20,82 11,88–21,91 | 10,32 6,75–13,88 5,80–14,84 | 27,22 19,73–34,70 17,68–36,75 | 88% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,08 8,14–14,02 7,31–14,85 | 7,41 4,73–10,09 4,00–10,83 | 18,49 12,87–24,12 11,30–25,68 | 77% 16% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,24 3,36–7,12 2,82–7,67 | 3,52 1,87–5,18 1,38–5,67 | 8,77 5,23–12,30 4,19–13,34 | 66% 22% |
| Cornere | 6,49 4,28–8,70 3,70–9,28 | 4,25 2,25–6,25 1,71–6,78 | 10,74 6,53–14,95 5,42–16,06 | 70% 20% |
| Posesie % | 58,09 51,30–64,88 49,63–66,55 | 42,36 35,57–49,14 33,90–50,81 | — | 81% 16% |
| Pase | 535 468–602 450–620 | 379 312–445 295–463 | 914 780–1048 745–1083 | 90% |
| Precizie pase % | 75,40 71,37–79,43 70,08–80,72 | 69,52 65,20–73,85 63,89–75,16 | — | 76% 21% |
| Faulturi | 9,66 6,83–12,50 6,07–13,26 | 11,79 8,85–14,74 8,10–15,49 | 21,46 15,67–27,24 14,17–28,74 | 28% 64% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,97 0,81–3,13 0,51–3,43 | 1,50 0,41–2,60 0,12–2,89 | 3,48 1,22–5,73 0,63–6,32 | 49% 22% 30% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,38 0,33–2,43 0,06–2,70 | 2,11 0,98–3,24 0,69–3,53 | 3,49 1,31–5,66 0,75–6,22 | 25% 21% 54% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,04 0,00–0,20 0,00–0,35 | 0,08 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,40 | 0,12 0,00–0,47 0,00–0,75 | 89% |
| Parade portar | 2,56 1,12–3,99 0,73–4,38 | 3,85 2,29–5,41 1,87–5,83 | 6,40 3,41–9,40 2,60–10,21 | 24% 14% 62% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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