Premier League·Etapa 13·
Premier League·Etapa 13·Statistici estimate
Goluri
32%
27%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,131,292,41sigur0,16–2,100,43–2,140,59–4,24mai sigur0,00–2,350,20–2,370,11–4,72
Șuturi pe poartă
34%
14%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,864,508,36sigur1,99–5,722,76–6,244,75–11,96mai sigur1,50–6,212,29–6,713,80–12,92
Total șuturi
35%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,7213,1224,85sigur7,80–15,659,56–16,6917,36–32,33mai sigur6,71–16,748,60–17,6515,31–34,38
Șuturi din careu
35%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,909,0316,93sigur4,96–10,846,35–11,7111,30–22,55mai sigur4,13–11,675,61–12,459,74–24,12
Șuturi blocate
31%
15%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,043,836,87sigur1,16–4,922,17–5,483,33–10,40mai sigur0,61–5,471,68–5,972,30–11,44
Cornere
34%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,485,239,71sigur2,27–6,703,23–7,235,50–13,93mai sigur1,69–7,272,70–7,774,39–15,03
Posesie %
20%
76%
gazdeoaspețipredicție44,0657,23sigur37,27–50,8550,44–64,01mai sigur35,60–52,5248,77–65,68
Pase
20%
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție355455810sigur288–422388–521676–943mai sigur270–440371–539640–979
Precizie pase %
86%
gazdeoaspețipredicție63,1671,99sigur59,13–67,1867,66–76,31mai sigur57,83–68,4866,36–77,62
Faulturi
45%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,2311,3222,55sigur8,39–14,078,38–14,2716,77–28,33mai sigur7,63–14,827,63–15,0215,26–29,84
Ofsaiduri
29%
20%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,652,213,85sigur0,49–2,811,11–3,301,60–6,11mai sigur0,19–3,110,82–3,591,01–6,70
Cartonașe galbene
41%
21%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,991,903,89sigur0,94–3,040,77–3,031,72–6,07mai sigur0,68–3,310,48–3,321,16–6,63
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,100,080,18sigur0,00–0,260,00–0,270,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,410,00–0,400,00–0,81
Parade portar
48%
17%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,972,565,53sigur1,54–4,411,00–4,112,54–8,52mai sigur1,15–4,800,58–4,541,73–9,34
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,13 0,16–2,10 0,00–2,35 | 1,29 0,43–2,14 0,20–2,37 | 2,41 0,59–4,24 0,11–4,72 | 32% 27% 40% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,86 1,99–5,72 1,50–6,21 | 4,50 2,76–6,24 2,29–6,71 | 8,36 4,75–11,96 3,80–12,92 | 34% 14% 52% |
| Total șuturi | 11,72 7,80–15,65 6,71–16,74 | 13,12 9,56–16,69 8,60–17,65 | 24,85 17,36–32,33 15,31–34,38 | 35% 57% |
| Șuturi din careu | 7,90 4,96–10,84 4,13–11,67 | 9,03 6,35–11,71 5,61–12,45 | 16,93 11,30–22,55 9,74–24,12 | 35% 56% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,04 1,16–4,92 0,61–5,47 | 3,83 2,17–5,48 1,68–5,97 | 6,87 3,33–10,40 2,30–11,44 | 31% 15% 54% |
| Cornere | 4,48 2,27–6,70 1,69–7,27 | 5,23 3,23–7,23 2,70–7,77 | 9,71 5,50–13,93 4,39–15,03 | 34% 53% |
| Posesie % | 44,06 37,27–50,85 35,60–52,52 | 57,23 50,44–64,01 48,77–65,68 | — | 20% 76% |
| Pase | 355 288–422 270–440 | 455 388–521 371–539 | 810 676–943 640–979 | 20% 80% |
| Precizie pase % | 63,16 59,13–67,18 57,83–68,48 | 71,99 67,66–76,31 66,36–77,62 | — | 86% |
| Faulturi | 11,23 8,39–14,07 7,63–14,82 | 11,32 8,38–14,27 7,63–15,02 | 22,55 16,77–28,33 15,26–29,84 | 45% 47% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,65 0,49–2,81 0,19–3,11 | 2,21 1,11–3,30 0,82–3,59 | 3,85 1,60–6,11 1,01–6,70 | 29% 20% 51% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,99 0,94–3,04 0,68–3,31 | 1,90 0,77–3,03 0,48–3,32 | 3,89 1,72–6,07 1,16–6,63 | 41% 21% 38% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,10 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,41 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,18 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,81 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 2,97 1,54–4,41 1,15–4,80 | 2,56 1,00–4,11 0,58–4,54 | 5,53 2,54–8,52 1,73–9,34 | 48% 17% 35% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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