Premier League·Etapa 14·
Premier League·Etapa 14·Statistici estimate
Goluri
58%
22%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,901,032,93sigur0,93–2,870,18–1,891,11–4,75mai sigur0,68–3,120,00–2,110,63–5,23
Șuturi pe poartă
75%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,143,549,68sigur4,27–8,001,80–5,296,07–13,28mai sigur3,78–8,491,34–5,755,12–14,24
Total șuturi
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,2910,5726,86sigur12,37–20,217,01–14,1319,37–34,35mai sigur11,27–21,316,05–15,0917,32–36,40
Șuturi din careu
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,757,2118,96sigur8,81–14,694,53–9,8913,34–24,58mai sigur7,98–15,523,79–10,6311,77–26,15
Șuturi blocate
73%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,443,198,63sigur3,56–7,331,54–4,845,10–12,17mai sigur3,02–7,871,04–5,334,06–13,20
Cornere
73%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,494,0410,52sigur4,27–8,702,04–6,046,31–14,74mai sigur3,70–9,271,51–6,575,20–15,85
Posesie %
85%
gazdeoaspețipredicție59,2640,47sigur52,47–66,0633,69–47,26mai sigur50,80–67,7232,01–48,93
Pase
95%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție566373938sigur498–633306–439805–1072mai sigur480–651289–457769–1108
Precizie pase %
81%
16%
gazdeoaspețipredicție76,1969,00sigur72,16–80,2264,67–73,32mai sigur70,87–81,5163,36–74,63
Faulturi
35%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,7310,9620,69sigur6,89–12,578,02–13,9114,91–26,48mai sigur6,14–13,337,27–14,6513,41–27,98
Ofsaiduri
52%
20%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,251,623,87sigur1,09–3,410,52–2,711,62–6,12mai sigur0,79–3,710,24–3,001,03–6,71
Cartonașe galbene
23%
23%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,141,873,01sigur0,09–2,180,74–3,000,83–5,19mai sigur0,00–2,450,45–3,290,27–5,74
Cartonașe roșii
90%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,040,070,11sigur0,00–0,200,00–0,260,00–0,46mai sigur0,00–0,350,00–0,390,00–0,74
Parade portar
20%
13%
67%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,484,116,59sigur1,04–3,912,56–5,673,60–9,59mai sigur0,65–4,302,13–6,102,79–10,40
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,90 0,93–2,87 0,68–3,12 | 1,03 0,18–1,89 0,00–2,11 | 2,93 1,11–4,75 0,63–5,23 | 58% 22% 20% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,14 4,27–8,00 3,78–8,49 | 3,54 1,80–5,29 1,34–5,75 | 9,68 6,07–13,28 5,12–14,24 | 75% 16% |
| Total șuturi | 16,29 12,37–20,21 11,27–21,31 | 10,57 7,01–14,13 6,05–15,09 | 26,86 19,37–34,35 17,32–36,40 | 84% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,75 8,81–14,69 7,98–15,52 | 7,21 4,53–9,89 3,79–10,63 | 18,96 13,34–24,58 11,77–26,15 | 82% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,44 3,56–7,33 3,02–7,87 | 3,19 1,54–4,84 1,04–5,33 | 8,63 5,10–12,17 4,06–13,20 | 73% 17% |
| Cornere | 6,49 4,27–8,70 3,70–9,27 | 4,04 2,04–6,04 1,51–6,57 | 10,52 6,31–14,74 5,20–15,85 | 73% 18% |
| Posesie % | 59,26 52,47–66,06 50,80–67,72 | 40,47 33,69–47,26 32,01–48,93 | — | 85% |
| Pase | 566 498–633 480–651 | 373 306–439 289–457 | 938 805–1072 769–1108 | 95% |
| Precizie pase % | 76,19 72,16–80,22 70,87–81,51 | 69,00 64,67–73,32 63,36–74,63 | — | 81% 16% |
| Faulturi | 9,73 6,89–12,57 6,14–13,33 | 10,96 8,02–13,91 7,27–14,65 | 20,69 14,91–26,48 13,41–27,98 | 35% 56% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,25 1,09–3,41 0,79–3,71 | 1,62 0,52–2,71 0,24–3,00 | 3,87 1,62–6,12 1,03–6,71 | 52% 20% 28% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,14 0,09–2,18 0,00–2,45 | 1,87 0,74–3,00 0,45–3,29 | 3,01 0,83–5,19 0,27–5,74 | 23% 23% 55% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,04 0,00–0,20 0,00–0,35 | 0,07 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,39 | 0,11 0,00–0,46 0,00–0,74 | 90% |
| Parade portar | 2,48 1,04–3,91 0,65–4,30 | 4,11 2,56–5,67 2,13–6,10 | 6,59 3,60–9,59 2,79–10,40 | 20% 13% 67% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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