Premier League·Etapa 14·
Premier League·Etapa 14·Statistici estimate
Goluri
33%
26%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,241,442,68sigur0,27–2,210,58–2,290,86–4,50mai sigur0,02–2,460,36–2,520,38–4,98
Șuturi pe poartă
40%
14%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,274,488,74sigur2,41–6,132,73–6,225,14–12,35mai sigur1,92–6,622,27–6,684,18–13,31
Total șuturi
50%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,0912,5325,61sigur9,16–17,018,97–16,0918,13–33,10mai sigur8,07–18,108,01–17,0516,08–35,15
Șuturi din careu
42%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,458,7417,19sigur5,51–11,406,06–11,4211,57–22,82mai sigur4,68–12,235,32–12,1610,00–24,38
Șuturi blocate
44%
15%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,933,847,77sigur2,05–5,812,19–5,494,23–11,30mai sigur1,50–6,351,69–5,993,20–12,34
Cornere
44%
13%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,814,809,62sigur2,60–7,032,80–6,805,40–13,83mai sigur2,03–7,602,27–7,344,30–14,94
Posesie %
87%
gazdeoaspețipredicție39,8159,98sigur33,02–46,6053,19–66,76mai sigur31,35–48,2751,52–68,44
Pase
92%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție349514863sigur282–416447–580729–996mai sigur263–434430–598693–1032
Precizie pase %
96%
gazdeoaspețipredicție64,5478,34sigur60,51–68,5774,02–82,66mai sigur59,22–69,8672,71–83,97
Faulturi
41%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,5312,0723,60sigur8,69–14,379,13–15,0217,82–29,38mai sigur7,93–15,128,38–15,7716,31–30,89
Ofsaiduri
40%
21%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,971,923,88sigur0,81–3,130,82–3,011,63–6,14mai sigur0,51–3,430,53–3,301,04–6,73
Cartonașe galbene
33%
20%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,842,204,04sigur0,79–2,891,07–3,331,87–6,22mai sigur0,53–3,160,78–3,621,31–6,78
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,090,17sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,280,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,410,00–0,80
Parade portar
43%
17%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,952,845,78sigur1,51–4,381,28–4,392,79–8,77mai sigur1,12–4,770,85–4,821,98–9,59
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,24 0,27–2,21 0,02–2,46 | 1,44 0,58–2,29 0,36–2,52 | 2,68 0,86–4,50 0,38–4,98 | 33% 26% 42% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,27 2,41–6,13 1,92–6,62 | 4,48 2,73–6,22 2,27–6,68 | 8,74 5,14–12,35 4,18–13,31 | 40% 14% 46% |
| Total șuturi | 13,09 9,16–17,01 8,07–18,10 | 12,53 8,97–16,09 8,01–17,05 | 25,61 18,13–33,10 16,08–35,15 | 50% 42% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,45 5,51–11,40 4,68–12,23 | 8,74 6,06–11,42 5,32–12,16 | 17,19 11,57–22,82 10,00–24,38 | 42% 48% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,93 2,05–5,81 1,50–6,35 | 3,84 2,19–5,49 1,69–5,99 | 7,77 4,23–11,30 3,20–12,34 | 44% 15% 41% |
| Cornere | 4,81 2,60–7,03 2,03–7,60 | 4,80 2,80–6,80 2,27–7,34 | 9,62 5,40–13,83 4,30–14,94 | 44% 13% 43% |
| Posesie % | 39,81 33,02–46,60 31,35–48,27 | 59,98 53,19–66,76 51,52–68,44 | — | 87% |
| Pase | 349 282–416 263–434 | 514 447–580 430–598 | 863 729–996 693–1032 | 92% |
| Precizie pase % | 64,54 60,51–68,57 59,22–69,86 | 78,34 74,02–82,66 72,71–83,97 | — | 96% |
| Faulturi | 11,53 8,69–14,37 7,93–15,12 | 12,07 9,13–15,02 8,38–15,77 | 23,60 17,82–29,38 16,31–30,89 | 41% 50% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,97 0,81–3,13 0,51–3,43 | 1,92 0,82–3,01 0,53–3,30 | 3,88 1,63–6,14 1,04–6,73 | 40% 21% 38% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,84 0,79–2,89 0,53–3,16 | 2,20 1,07–3,33 0,78–3,62 | 4,04 1,87–6,22 1,31–6,78 | 33% 20% 47% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,17 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,95 1,51–4,38 1,12–4,77 | 2,84 1,28–4,39 0,85–4,82 | 5,78 2,79–8,77 1,98–9,59 | 43% 17% 40% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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