Premier League·Etapa 16·
Premier League·Etapa 16·Statistici estimate
Goluri
41%
28%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,271,052,32sigur0,30–2,230,20–1,910,50–4,14mai sigur0,05–2,490,00–2,140,02–4,62
Șuturi pe poartă
59%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,873,718,59sigur3,01–6,741,97–5,464,98–12,19mai sigur2,52–7,231,51–5,924,03–13,15
Total șuturi
74%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,4411,5627,00sigur11,52–19,368,00–15,1219,51–34,49mai sigur10,42–20,467,04–16,0817,46–36,54
Șuturi din careu
65%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,747,6317,37sigur6,80–12,684,95–10,3111,74–22,99mai sigur5,97–13,514,21–11,0410,18–24,56
Șuturi blocate
67%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,963,188,14sigur3,08–6,841,53–4,834,60–11,67mai sigur2,53–7,381,03–5,323,57–12,71
Cornere
61%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,864,4310,28sigur3,64–8,072,42–6,436,07–14,49mai sigur3,07–8,641,89–6,964,96–15,60
Posesie %
58%
38%
gazdeoaspețipredicție52,0647,84sigur45,27–58,8541,05–54,62mai sigur43,60–60,5239,38–56,29
Pase
65%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție446398844sigur379–513332–464710–978mai sigur361–532314–482675–1014
Precizie pase %
55%
40%
gazdeoaspețipredicție68,7167,31sigur64,68–72,7462,99–71,64mai sigur63,39–74,0361,68–72,95
Faulturi
60%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,6610,8623,52sigur9,82–15,497,92–13,8117,73–29,30mai sigur9,06–16,257,17–14,5516,23–30,80
Ofsaiduri
29%
23%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,341,803,14sigur0,18–2,500,70–2,890,88–5,39mai sigur0,00–2,800,42–3,180,29–5,98
Cartonașe galbene
35%
21%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,741,973,71sigur0,69–2,790,84–3,101,53–5,89mai sigur0,43–3,060,55–3,390,98–6,45
Cartonașe roșii
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,070,13sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,260,00–0,47mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,390,00–0,76
Parade portar
27%
16%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,453,445,90sigur1,02–3,891,89–5,002,90–8,89mai sigur0,63–4,281,46–5,422,09–9,70
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,27 0,30–2,23 0,05–2,49 | 1,05 0,20–1,91 0,00–2,14 | 2,32 0,50–4,14 0,02–4,62 | 41% 28% 31% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,87 3,01–6,74 2,52–7,23 | 3,71 1,97–5,46 1,51–5,92 | 8,59 4,98–12,19 4,03–13,15 | 59% 28% |
| Total șuturi | 15,44 11,52–19,36 10,42–20,46 | 11,56 8,00–15,12 7,04–16,08 | 27,00 19,51–34,49 17,46–36,54 | 74% 20% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,74 6,80–12,68 5,97–13,51 | 7,63 4,95–10,31 4,21–11,04 | 17,37 11,74–22,99 10,18–24,56 | 65% 26% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,96 3,08–6,84 2,53–7,38 | 3,18 1,53–4,83 1,03–5,32 | 8,14 4,60–11,67 3,57–12,71 | 67% 21% |
| Cornere | 5,86 3,64–8,07 3,07–8,64 | 4,43 2,42–6,43 1,89–6,96 | 10,28 6,07–14,49 4,96–15,60 | 61% 27% |
| Posesie % | 52,06 45,27–58,85 43,60–60,52 | 47,84 41,05–54,62 39,38–56,29 | — | 58% 38% |
| Pase | 446 379–513 361–532 | 398 332–464 314–482 | 844 710–978 675–1014 | 65% 34% |
| Precizie pase % | 68,71 64,68–72,74 63,39–74,03 | 67,31 62,99–71,64 61,68–72,95 | — | 55% 40% |
| Faulturi | 12,66 9,82–15,49 9,06–16,25 | 10,86 7,92–13,81 7,17–14,55 | 23,52 17,73–29,30 16,23–30,80 | 60% 32% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,34 0,18–2,50 0,00–2,80 | 1,80 0,70–2,89 0,42–3,18 | 3,14 0,88–5,39 0,29–5,98 | 29% 23% 48% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,74 0,69–2,79 0,43–3,06 | 1,97 0,84–3,10 0,55–3,39 | 3,71 1,53–5,89 0,98–6,45 | 35% 21% 44% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,07 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,39 | 0,13 0,00–0,47 0,00–0,76 | 88% |
| Parade portar | 2,45 1,02–3,89 0,63–4,28 | 3,44 1,89–5,00 1,46–5,42 | 5,90 2,90–8,89 2,09–9,70 | 27% 16% 58% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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