Premier League·Etapa 17·
Premier League·Etapa 17·Statistici estimate
Goluri
39%
27%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,271,172,43sigur0,30–2,240,31–2,020,61–4,26mai sigur0,05–2,490,08–2,250,13–4,74
Șuturi pe poartă
46%
15%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,963,747,69sigur2,09–5,821,99–5,484,09–11,30mai sigur1,60–6,311,53–5,943,13–12,25
Total șuturi
60%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,5111,6825,19sigur9,58–17,438,12–15,2417,70–32,68mai sigur8,49–18,537,16–16,2015,65–34,73
Șuturi din careu
56%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,987,8216,80sigur6,04–11,935,14–10,5011,18–22,43mai sigur5,21–12,764,40–11,249,61–23,99
Șuturi blocate
51%
14%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,343,798,12sigur2,46–6,222,13–5,444,59–11,66mai sigur1,91–6,761,64–5,933,55–12,69
Cornere
56%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,654,6910,33sigur3,43–7,862,69–6,696,12–14,55mai sigur2,86–8,432,15–7,225,01–15,65
Posesie %
54%
41%
gazdeoaspețipredicție50,7448,10sigur43,95–57,5341,32–54,88mai sigur42,28–59,2039,64–56,56
Pase
58%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție424398822sigur357–491332–465688–956mai sigur339–509314–482653–992
Precizie pase %
29%
66%
gazdeoaspețipredicție65,6869,48sigur61,65–69,7165,16–73,81mai sigur60,36–71,0163,85–75,11
Faulturi
42%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,0112,4624,47sigur9,17–14,859,51–15,4018,69–30,25mai sigur8,42–15,608,76–16,1517,18–31,76
Ofsaiduri
38%
27%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,321,252,57sigur0,16–2,480,16–2,340,32–4,82mai sigur0,00–2,780,00–2,630,00–5,41
Cartonașe galbene
30%
21%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,642,133,77sigur0,59–2,691,01–3,261,59–5,95mai sigur0,32–2,950,71–3,551,04–6,51
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,090,16sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,270,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,400,00–0,79
Parade portar
40%
18%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,582,635,21sigur1,15–4,021,07–4,182,22–8,20mai sigur0,76–4,410,65–4,611,41–9,02
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,27 0,30–2,24 0,05–2,49 | 1,17 0,31–2,02 0,08–2,25 | 2,43 0,61–4,26 0,13–4,74 | 39% 27% 34% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,96 2,09–5,82 1,60–6,31 | 3,74 1,99–5,48 1,53–5,94 | 7,69 4,09–11,30 3,13–12,25 | 46% 15% 40% |
| Total șuturi | 13,51 9,58–17,43 8,49–18,53 | 11,68 8,12–15,24 7,16–16,20 | 25,19 17,70–32,68 15,65–34,73 | 60% 32% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,98 6,04–11,93 5,21–12,76 | 7,82 5,14–10,50 4,40–11,24 | 16,80 11,18–22,43 9,61–23,99 | 56% 34% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,34 2,46–6,22 1,91–6,76 | 3,79 2,13–5,44 1,64–5,93 | 8,12 4,59–11,66 3,55–12,69 | 51% 14% 35% |
| Cornere | 5,65 3,43–7,86 2,86–8,43 | 4,69 2,69–6,69 2,15–7,22 | 10,33 6,12–14,55 5,01–15,65 | 56% 32% |
| Posesie % | 50,74 43,95–57,53 42,28–59,20 | 48,10 41,32–54,88 39,64–56,56 | — | 54% 41% |
| Pase | 424 357–491 339–509 | 398 332–465 314–482 | 822 688–956 653–992 | 58% 41% |
| Precizie pase % | 65,68 61,65–69,71 60,36–71,01 | 69,48 65,16–73,81 63,85–75,11 | — | 29% 66% |
| Faulturi | 12,01 9,17–14,85 8,42–15,60 | 12,46 9,51–15,40 8,76–16,15 | 24,47 18,69–30,25 17,18–31,76 | 42% 50% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,32 0,16–2,48 0,00–2,78 | 1,25 0,16–2,34 0,00–2,63 | 2,57 0,32–4,82 0,00–5,41 | 38% 27% 35% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,64 0,59–2,69 0,32–2,95 | 2,13 1,01–3,26 0,71–3,55 | 3,77 1,59–5,95 1,04–6,51 | 30% 21% 49% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,09 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,16 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,58 1,15–4,02 0,76–4,41 | 2,63 1,07–4,18 0,65–4,61 | 5,21 2,22–8,20 1,41–9,02 | 40% 18% 42% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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