Premier League·Etapa 18·
Premier League·Etapa 18·Statistici estimate
Goluri
34%
25%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,341,512,85sigur0,37–2,310,66–2,371,03–4,68mai sigur0,12–2,560,43–2,600,55–5,16
Șuturi pe poartă
34%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,235,019,24sigur2,37–6,093,26–6,755,63–12,84mai sigur1,88–6,582,80–7,224,68–13,80
Total șuturi
34%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,3914,0226,41sigur8,46–16,3110,46–17,5818,92–33,90mai sigur7,37–17,409,50–18,5416,87–35,95
Șuturi din careu
31%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,039,6217,65sigur5,09–10,976,94–12,3012,03–23,27mai sigur4,26–11,806,20–13,0410,46–24,84
Șuturi blocate
48%
15%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,623,236,85sigur1,73–5,501,58–4,883,31–10,38mai sigur1,19–6,041,08–5,382,28–11,42
Cornere
42%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,864,999,85sigur2,64–7,072,99–6,995,63–14,06mai sigur2,07–7,642,46–7,524,52–15,17
Posesie %
37%
58%
gazdeoaspețipredicție48,3352,76sigur41,54–55,1245,98–59,55mai sigur39,87–56,7944,31–61,22
Pase
37%
62%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție436474909sigur368–503407–540776–1043mai sigur350–521390–558740–1079
Precizie pase %
27%
69%
gazdeoaspețipredicție70,3874,71sigur66,35–74,4170,38–79,03mai sigur65,05–75,7069,08–80,34
Faulturi
29%
63%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,2412,3122,56sigur7,41–13,089,37–15,2616,77–28,34mai sigur6,65–13,848,62–16,0015,27–29,84
Ofsaiduri
26%
16%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,183,175,36sigur1,02–3,342,08–4,273,10–7,61mai sigur0,72–3,651,79–4,562,51–8,20
Cartonașe galbene
26%
19%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,672,414,08sigur0,62–2,721,28–3,541,90–6,26mai sigur0,36–2,990,99–3,831,35–6,82
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,090,17sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,280,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,410,00–0,80
Parade portar
49%
16%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,302,876,17sigur1,87–4,741,31–4,423,18–9,16mai sigur1,48–5,130,89–4,852,37–9,98
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,34 0,37–2,31 0,12–2,56 | 1,51 0,66–2,37 0,43–2,60 | 2,85 1,03–4,68 0,55–5,16 | 34% 25% 41% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,23 2,37–6,09 1,88–6,58 | 5,01 3,26–6,75 2,80–7,22 | 9,24 5,63–12,84 4,68–13,80 | 34% 53% |
| Total șuturi | 12,39 8,46–16,31 7,37–17,40 | 14,02 10,46–17,58 9,50–18,54 | 26,41 18,92–33,90 16,87–35,95 | 34% 59% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,03 5,09–10,97 4,26–11,80 | 9,62 6,94–12,30 6,20–13,04 | 17,65 12,03–23,27 10,46–24,84 | 31% 60% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,62 1,73–5,50 1,19–6,04 | 3,23 1,58–4,88 1,08–5,38 | 6,85 3,31–10,38 2,28–11,42 | 48% 15% 37% |
| Cornere | 4,86 2,64–7,07 2,07–7,64 | 4,99 2,99–6,99 2,46–7,52 | 9,85 5,63–14,06 4,52–15,17 | 42% 45% |
| Posesie % | 48,33 41,54–55,12 39,87–56,79 | 52,76 45,98–59,55 44,31–61,22 | — | 37% 58% |
| Pase | 436 368–503 350–521 | 474 407–540 390–558 | 909 776–1043 740–1079 | 37% 62% |
| Precizie pase % | 70,38 66,35–74,41 65,05–75,70 | 74,71 70,38–79,03 69,08–80,34 | — | 27% 69% |
| Faulturi | 10,24 7,41–13,08 6,65–13,84 | 12,31 9,37–15,26 8,62–16,00 | 22,56 16,77–28,34 15,27–29,84 | 29% 63% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,18 1,02–3,34 0,72–3,65 | 3,17 2,08–4,27 1,79–4,56 | 5,36 3,10–7,61 2,51–8,20 | 26% 16% 58% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,67 0,62–2,72 0,36–2,99 | 2,41 1,28–3,54 0,99–3,83 | 4,08 1,90–6,26 1,35–6,82 | 26% 19% 54% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,17 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 3,30 1,87–4,74 1,48–5,13 | 2,87 1,31–4,42 0,89–4,85 | 6,17 3,18–9,16 2,37–9,98 | 49% 16% 35% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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