Premier League·Etapa 18·
Premier League·Etapa 18·Statistici estimate
Goluri
39%
26%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,371,272,64sigur0,40–2,330,42–2,130,82–4,46mai sigur0,15–2,590,19–2,360,34–4,94
Șuturi pe poartă
46%
14%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,454,228,68sigur2,59–6,322,48–5,965,07–12,28mai sigur2,10–6,812,01–6,434,12–13,24
Total șuturi
55%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,9212,7426,65sigur9,99–17,849,17–16,3019,16–34,14mai sigur8,90–18,938,21–17,2617,11–36,19
Șuturi din careu
40%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,008,5716,57sigur5,06–10,945,89–11,2510,95–22,19mai sigur4,23–11,775,15–11,999,38–23,76
Șuturi blocate
36%
15%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,544,017,55sigur1,66–5,432,35–5,664,02–11,09mai sigur1,12–5,971,86–6,152,98–12,12
Cornere
56%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,544,5710,11sigur3,32–7,752,57–6,575,90–14,32mai sigur2,75–8,322,04–7,114,79–15,43
Posesie %
49%
46%
gazdeoaspețipredicție50,0949,42sigur43,30–56,8842,63–56,20mai sigur41,63–58,5540,96–57,88
Pase
53%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție464455919sigur397–531388–521785–1052mai sigur378–549371–539749–1088
Precizie pase %
20%
76%
gazdeoaspețipredicție65,8871,86sigur61,85–69,9167,53–76,18mai sigur60,56–71,2066,22–77,49
Faulturi
49%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,7411,3923,13sigur8,90–14,588,44–14,3317,35–28,91mai sigur8,15–15,337,69–15,0815,84–30,41
Ofsaiduri
45%
23%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,721,433,15sigur0,56–2,880,33–2,520,89–5,40mai sigur0,26–3,180,04–2,810,30–5,99
Cartonașe galbene
33%
21%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,742,063,80sigur0,69–2,790,93–3,191,62–5,97mai sigur0,42–3,050,64–3,481,06–6,53
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,080,16sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,270,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,400,00–0,79
Parade portar
46%
17%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,942,695,63sigur1,50–4,381,13–4,242,64–8,62mai sigur1,12–4,760,71–4,671,82–9,43
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,37 0,40–2,33 0,15–2,59 | 1,27 0,42–2,13 0,19–2,36 | 2,64 0,82–4,46 0,34–4,94 | 39% 26% 35% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,45 2,59–6,32 2,10–6,81 | 4,22 2,48–5,96 2,01–6,43 | 8,68 5,07–12,28 4,12–13,24 | 46% 14% 40% |
| Total șuturi | 13,92 9,99–17,84 8,90–18,93 | 12,74 9,17–16,30 8,21–17,26 | 26,65 19,16–34,14 17,11–36,19 | 55% 37% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,00 5,06–10,94 4,23–11,77 | 8,57 5,89–11,25 5,15–11,99 | 16,57 10,95–22,19 9,38–23,76 | 40% 51% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,54 1,66–5,43 1,12–5,97 | 4,01 2,35–5,66 1,86–6,15 | 7,55 4,02–11,09 2,98–12,12 | 36% 15% 49% |
| Cornere | 5,54 3,32–7,75 2,75–8,32 | 4,57 2,57–6,57 2,04–7,11 | 10,11 5,90–14,32 4,79–15,43 | 56% 32% |
| Posesie % | 50,09 43,30–56,88 41,63–58,55 | 49,42 42,63–56,20 40,96–57,88 | — | 49% 46% |
| Pase | 464 397–531 378–549 | 455 388–521 371–539 | 919 785–1052 749–1088 | 53% 47% |
| Precizie pase % | 65,88 61,85–69,91 60,56–71,20 | 71,86 67,53–76,18 66,22–77,49 | — | 20% 76% |
| Faulturi | 11,74 8,90–14,58 8,15–15,33 | 11,39 8,44–14,33 7,69–15,08 | 23,13 17,35–28,91 15,84–30,41 | 49% 43% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,72 0,56–2,88 0,26–3,18 | 1,43 0,33–2,52 0,04–2,81 | 3,15 0,89–5,40 0,30–5,99 | 45% 23% 32% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,74 0,69–2,79 0,42–3,05 | 2,06 0,93–3,19 0,64–3,48 | 3,80 1,62–5,97 1,06–6,53 | 33% 21% 46% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,16 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,94 1,50–4,38 1,12–4,76 | 2,69 1,13–4,24 0,71–4,67 | 5,63 2,64–8,62 1,82–9,43 | 46% 17% 37% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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