Premier League·Etapa 18·
Premier League·Etapa 18·Statistici estimate
Goluri
38%
26%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,341,302,64sigur0,37–2,310,44–2,150,82–4,46mai sigur0,12–2,560,21–2,380,34–4,94
Șuturi pe poartă
36%
13%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,134,708,83sigur2,27–5,992,96–6,445,23–12,44mai sigur1,78–6,482,49–6,914,27–13,39
Total șuturi
32%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,4014,2626,66sigur8,48–16,3310,69–17,8219,17–34,14mai sigur7,38–17,429,73–18,7817,12–36,19
Șuturi din careu
27%
64%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,959,9917,94sigur5,01–10,897,31–12,6812,32–23,57mai sigur4,18–11,726,58–13,4110,75–25,13
Șuturi blocate
29%
13%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,544,578,11sigur1,66–5,422,92–6,234,58–11,65mai sigur1,11–5,972,43–6,723,54–12,68
Cornere
45%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,084,9710,05sigur2,87–7,302,97–6,975,84–14,27mai sigur2,30–7,872,44–7,504,73–15,37
Posesie %
58%
38%
gazdeoaspețipredicție52,5548,34sigur45,76–59,3441,55–55,12mai sigur44,09–61,0139,88–56,79
Pase
73%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție465391857sigur398–532325–458723–990mai sigur380–551307–475687–1026
Precizie pase %
41%
54%
gazdeoaspețipredicție69,6870,97sigur65,66–73,7166,64–75,29mai sigur64,36–75,0165,33–76,60
Faulturi
29%
63%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,6612,7723,43sigur7,82–13,509,83–15,7217,65–29,21mai sigur7,07–14,259,08–16,4616,15–30,72
Ofsaiduri
39%
22%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,811,803,60sigur0,65–2,970,70–2,891,35–5,86mai sigur0,35–3,270,42–3,180,76–6,45
Cartonașe galbene
29%
21%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,552,063,61sigur0,50–2,600,93–3,191,43–5,79mai sigur0,24–2,870,64–3,480,87–6,34
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,090,16sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,270,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,410,00–0,79
Parade portar
48%
17%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,052,665,71sigur1,61–4,481,11–4,222,72–8,70mai sigur1,22–4,870,68–4,651,91–9,52
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,34 0,37–2,31 0,12–2,56 | 1,30 0,44–2,15 0,21–2,38 | 2,64 0,82–4,46 0,34–4,94 | 38% 26% 36% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,13 2,27–5,99 1,78–6,48 | 4,70 2,96–6,44 2,49–6,91 | 8,83 5,23–12,44 4,27–13,39 | 36% 13% 51% |
| Total șuturi | 12,40 8,48–16,33 7,38–17,42 | 14,26 10,69–17,82 9,73–18,78 | 26,66 19,17–34,14 17,12–36,19 | 32% 60% |
| Șuturi din careu | 7,95 5,01–10,89 4,18–11,72 | 9,99 7,31–12,68 6,58–13,41 | 17,94 12,32–23,57 10,75–25,13 | 27% 64% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,54 1,66–5,42 1,11–5,97 | 4,57 2,92–6,23 2,43–6,72 | 8,11 4,58–11,65 3,54–12,68 | 29% 13% 57% |
| Cornere | 5,08 2,87–7,30 2,30–7,87 | 4,97 2,97–6,97 2,44–7,50 | 10,05 5,84–14,27 4,73–15,37 | 45% 42% |
| Posesie % | 52,55 45,76–59,34 44,09–61,01 | 48,34 41,55–55,12 39,88–56,79 | — | 58% 38% |
| Pase | 465 398–532 380–551 | 391 325–458 307–475 | 857 723–990 687–1026 | 73% 27% |
| Precizie pase % | 69,68 65,66–73,71 64,36–75,01 | 70,97 66,64–75,29 65,33–76,60 | — | 41% 54% |
| Faulturi | 10,66 7,82–13,50 7,07–14,25 | 12,77 9,83–15,72 9,08–16,46 | 23,43 17,65–29,21 16,15–30,72 | 29% 63% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,81 0,65–2,97 0,35–3,27 | 1,80 0,70–2,89 0,42–3,18 | 3,60 1,35–5,86 0,76–6,45 | 39% 22% 39% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,55 0,50–2,60 0,24–2,87 | 2,06 0,93–3,19 0,64–3,48 | 3,61 1,43–5,79 0,87–6,34 | 29% 21% 49% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,09 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,41 | 0,16 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 3,05 1,61–4,48 1,22–4,87 | 2,66 1,11–4,22 0,68–4,65 | 5,71 2,72–8,70 1,91–9,52 | 48% 17% 35% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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