Premier League·Etapa 19·
Premier League·Etapa 19·Statistici estimate
Goluri
71%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,500,973,47sigur1,53–3,470,12–1,821,65–5,29mai sigur1,28–3,720,00–2,051,17–5,77
Șuturi pe poartă
75%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,473,7710,23sigur4,60–8,332,03–5,516,63–13,84mai sigur4,11–8,821,56–5,985,67–14,79
Total șuturi
94%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție18,469,8528,31sigur14,53–22,386,29–13,4220,82–35,80mai sigur13,44–23,475,33–14,3818,77–37,85
Șuturi din careu
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,467,2019,66sigur9,52–15,404,52–9,8814,04–25,28mai sigur8,69–16,233,78–10,6212,47–26,85
Șuturi blocate
79%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,992,297,28sigur3,11–6,870,64–3,943,74–10,81mai sigur2,56–7,410,14–4,432,71–11,85
Cornere
77%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,643,8010,43sigur4,42–8,851,80–5,806,22–14,65mai sigur3,85–9,421,26–6,335,11–15,75
Posesie %
88%
gazdeoaspețipredicție60,7439,61sigur53,95–67,5332,82–46,39mai sigur52,28–69,2031,15–48,06
Pase
96%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție596388985sigur529–664322–455851–1119mai sigur511–682305–472816–1154
Precizie pase %
70%
26%
gazdeoaspețipredicție81,4476,98sigur77,41–85,4772,65–81,30mai sigur76,12–86,7671,34–82,61
Faulturi
38%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,3712,3323,71sigur8,54–14,219,39–15,2817,93–29,49mai sigur7,78–14,978,64–16,0316,42–30,99
Ofsaiduri
28%
18%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,932,654,58sigur0,77–3,091,56–3,752,33–6,84mai sigur0,47–3,391,27–4,031,74–7,43
Cartonașe galbene
28%
20%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,672,293,97sigur0,62–2,721,17–3,421,79–6,15mai sigur0,36–2,990,87–3,711,23–6,70
Cartonașe roșii
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,080,13sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,260,00–0,48mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,400,00–0,76
Parade portar
24%
14%
62%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,573,856,42sigur1,14–4,012,29–5,403,43–9,41mai sigur0,75–4,401,87–5,832,62–10,22
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,50 1,53–3,47 1,28–3,72 | 0,97 0,12–1,82 0,00–2,05 | 3,47 1,65–5,29 1,17–5,77 | 71% 17% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,47 4,60–8,33 4,11–8,82 | 3,77 2,03–5,51 1,56–5,98 | 10,23 6,63–13,84 5,67–14,79 | 75% 16% |
| Total șuturi | 18,46 14,53–22,38 13,44–23,47 | 9,85 6,29–13,42 5,33–14,38 | 28,31 20,82–35,80 18,77–37,85 | 94% |
| Șuturi din careu | 12,46 9,52–15,40 8,69–16,23 | 7,20 4,52–9,88 3,78–10,62 | 19,66 14,04–25,28 12,47–26,85 | 86% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,99 3,11–6,87 2,56–7,41 | 2,29 0,64–3,94 0,14–4,43 | 7,28 3,74–10,81 2,71–11,85 | 79% |
| Cornere | 6,64 4,42–8,85 3,85–9,42 | 3,80 1,80–5,80 1,26–6,33 | 10,43 6,22–14,65 5,11–15,75 | 77% 15% |
| Posesie % | 60,74 53,95–67,53 52,28–69,20 | 39,61 32,82–46,39 31,15–48,06 | — | 88% |
| Pase | 596 529–664 511–682 | 388 322–455 305–472 | 985 851–1119 816–1154 | 96% |
| Precizie pase % | 81,44 77,41–85,47 76,12–86,76 | 76,98 72,65–81,30 71,34–82,61 | — | 70% 26% |
| Faulturi | 11,37 8,54–14,21 7,78–14,97 | 12,33 9,39–15,28 8,64–16,03 | 23,71 17,93–29,49 16,42–30,99 | 38% 54% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,93 0,77–3,09 0,47–3,39 | 2,65 1,56–3,75 1,27–4,03 | 4,58 2,33–6,84 1,74–7,43 | 28% 18% 54% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,67 0,62–2,72 0,36–2,99 | 2,29 1,17–3,42 0,87–3,71 | 3,97 1,79–6,15 1,23–6,70 | 28% 20% 52% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,08 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,40 | 0,13 0,00–0,48 0,00–0,76 | 88% |
| Parade portar | 2,57 1,14–4,01 0,75–4,40 | 3,85 2,29–5,40 1,87–5,83 | 6,42 3,43–9,41 2,62–10,22 | 24% 14% 62% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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