Premier League·Etapa 20·
Premier League·Etapa 20·Statistici estimate
Goluri
46%
28%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,350,932,28sigur0,38–2,320,08–1,790,46–4,10mai sigur0,13–2,570,00–2,020,00–4,58
Șuturi pe poartă
68%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,023,208,23sigur3,16–6,891,46–4,954,62–11,83mai sigur2,67–7,380,99–5,413,67–12,79
Total șuturi
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,699,6525,34sigur11,77–19,626,09–13,2117,85–32,83mai sigur10,67–20,715,13–14,1715,80–34,88
Șuturi din careu
78%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,906,2816,18sigur6,96–12,843,60–8,9610,56–21,81mai sigur6,13–13,672,86–9,708,99–23,37
Șuturi blocate
71%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,942,917,85sigur3,06–6,821,26–4,564,32–11,39mai sigur2,52–7,370,77–5,063,28–12,42
Cornere
74%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,163,679,83sigur3,95–8,381,67–5,675,62–14,05mai sigur3,38–8,951,14–6,204,51–15,15
Posesie %
85%
gazdeoaspețipredicție58,7140,19sigur51,92–65,5033,41–46,98mai sigur50,25–67,1731,74–48,65
Pase
95%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție516323839sigur449–583257–390705–973mai sigur430–601239–407670–1008
Precizie pase %
69%
26%
gazdeoaspețipredicție70,4866,10sigur66,45–74,5161,77–70,42mai sigur65,16–75,8060,46–71,73
Faulturi
39%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,6111,4722,07sigur7,77–13,448,52–14,4116,29–27,86mai sigur7,01–14,207,77–15,1614,79–29,36
Ofsaiduri
43%
22%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,911,713,61sigur0,74–3,070,61–2,801,36–5,87mai sigur0,44–3,370,33–3,090,77–6,46
Cartonașe galbene
25%
20%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,452,233,69sigur0,40–2,501,10–3,361,51–5,86mai sigur0,14–2,770,81–3,650,95–6,42
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,100,15sigur0,00–0,210,00–0,280,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,420,00–0,78
Parade portar
23%
15%
61%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,243,445,69sigur0,81–3,681,89–5,002,69–8,68mai sigur0,42–4,071,46–5,421,88–9,49
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,35 0,38–2,32 0,13–2,57 | 0,93 0,08–1,79 0,00–2,02 | 2,28 0,46–4,10 0,00–4,58 | 46% 28% 26% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,02 3,16–6,89 2,67–7,38 | 3,20 1,46–4,95 0,99–5,41 | 8,23 4,62–11,83 3,67–12,79 | 68% 21% |
| Total șuturi | 15,69 11,77–19,62 10,67–20,71 | 9,65 6,09–13,21 5,13–14,17 | 25,34 17,85–32,83 15,80–34,88 | 87% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,90 6,96–12,84 6,13–13,67 | 6,28 3,60–8,96 2,86–9,70 | 16,18 10,56–21,81 8,99–23,37 | 78% 15% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,94 3,06–6,82 2,52–7,37 | 2,91 1,26–4,56 0,77–5,06 | 7,85 4,32–11,39 3,28–12,42 | 71% 18% |
| Cornere | 6,16 3,95–8,38 3,38–8,95 | 3,67 1,67–5,67 1,14–6,20 | 9,83 5,62–14,05 4,51–15,15 | 74% 17% |
| Posesie % | 58,71 51,92–65,50 50,25–67,17 | 40,19 33,41–46,98 31,74–48,65 | — | 85% |
| Pase | 516 449–583 430–601 | 323 257–390 239–407 | 839 705–973 670–1008 | 95% |
| Precizie pase % | 70,48 66,45–74,51 65,16–75,80 | 66,10 61,77–70,42 60,46–71,73 | — | 69% 26% |
| Faulturi | 10,61 7,77–13,44 7,01–14,20 | 11,47 8,52–14,41 7,77–15,16 | 22,07 16,29–27,86 14,79–29,36 | 39% 53% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,91 0,74–3,07 0,44–3,37 | 1,71 0,61–2,80 0,33–3,09 | 3,61 1,36–5,87 0,77–6,46 | 43% 22% 35% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,45 0,40–2,50 0,14–2,77 | 2,23 1,10–3,36 0,81–3,65 | 3,69 1,51–5,86 0,95–6,42 | 25% 20% 55% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,21 0,00–0,36 | 0,10 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,42 | 0,15 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,78 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,24 0,81–3,68 0,42–4,07 | 3,44 1,89–5,00 1,46–5,42 | 5,69 2,69–8,68 1,88–9,49 | 23% 15% 61% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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