Premier League·Etapa 20·
Premier League·Etapa 20·Statistici estimate
Goluri
26%
26%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,991,452,44sigur0,02–1,960,60–2,300,62–4,26mai sigur0,00–2,210,37–2,530,14–4,74
Șuturi pe poartă
26%
61%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,464,768,21sigur1,59–5,323,01–6,504,61–11,82mai sigur1,10–5,812,55–6,973,65–12,77
Total șuturi
23%
71%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,3514,6025,96sigur7,43–15,2811,04–18,1618,47–33,44mai sigur6,34–16,3710,08–19,1216,42–35,49
Șuturi din careu
27%
64%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,149,1016,24sigur4,20–10,086,42–11,7810,62–21,86mai sigur3,37–10,915,68–12,529,05–23,43
Șuturi blocate
32%
14%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,294,057,35sigur1,41–5,182,40–5,713,81–10,88mai sigur0,87–5,721,91–6,202,78–11,92
Cornere
33%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,595,4410,03sigur2,38–6,813,44–7,445,82–14,25mai sigur1,81–7,382,91–7,974,71–15,36
Posesie %
85%
gazdeoaspețipredicție40,9759,67sigur34,18–47,7652,89–66,46mai sigur32,51–49,4351,22–68,13
Pase
92%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție347518865sigur280–414452–584731–998mai sigur261–432434–602695–1034
Precizie pase %
90%
gazdeoaspețipredicție65,1075,73sigur61,07–69,1371,41–80,05mai sigur59,78–70,4270,10–81,36
Faulturi
32%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,9412,6823,61sigur8,10–13,789,73–15,6217,83–29,40mai sigur7,34–14,538,98–16,3716,33–30,90
Ofsaiduri
59%
19%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,351,363,71sigur1,19–3,510,27–2,461,46–5,97mai sigur0,89–3,810,00–2,740,87–6,56
Cartonașe galbene
34%
20%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,872,184,06sigur0,82–2,921,05–3,311,88–6,23mai sigur0,56–3,190,76–3,601,32–6,79
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,100,19sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,290,00–0,54mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,420,00–0,82
Parade portar
52%
17%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,172,545,71sigur1,73–4,610,98–4,092,71–8,70mai sigur1,35–4,990,55–4,521,90–9,51
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 0,99 0,02–1,96 0,00–2,21 | 1,45 0,60–2,30 0,37–2,53 | 2,44 0,62–4,26 0,14–4,74 | 26% 26% 48% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,46 1,59–5,32 1,10–5,81 | 4,76 3,01–6,50 2,55–6,97 | 8,21 4,61–11,82 3,65–12,77 | 26% 61% |
| Total șuturi | 11,35 7,43–15,28 6,34–16,37 | 14,60 11,04–18,16 10,08–19,12 | 25,96 18,47–33,44 16,42–35,49 | 23% 71% |
| Șuturi din careu | 7,14 4,20–10,08 3,37–10,91 | 9,10 6,42–11,78 5,68–12,52 | 16,24 10,62–21,86 9,05–23,43 | 27% 64% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,29 1,41–5,18 0,87–5,72 | 4,05 2,40–5,71 1,91–6,20 | 7,35 3,81–10,88 2,78–11,92 | 32% 14% 54% |
| Cornere | 4,59 2,38–6,81 1,81–7,38 | 5,44 3,44–7,44 2,91–7,97 | 10,03 5,82–14,25 4,71–15,36 | 33% 54% |
| Posesie % | 40,97 34,18–47,76 32,51–49,43 | 59,67 52,89–66,46 51,22–68,13 | — | 85% |
| Pase | 347 280–414 261–432 | 518 452–584 434–602 | 865 731–998 695–1034 | 92% |
| Precizie pase % | 65,10 61,07–69,13 59,78–70,42 | 75,73 71,41–80,05 70,10–81,36 | — | 90% |
| Faulturi | 10,94 8,10–13,78 7,34–14,53 | 12,68 9,73–15,62 8,98–16,37 | 23,61 17,83–29,40 16,33–30,90 | 32% 60% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,35 1,19–3,51 0,89–3,81 | 1,36 0,27–2,46 0,00–2,74 | 3,71 1,46–5,97 0,87–6,56 | 59% 19% 21% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,87 0,82–2,92 0,56–3,19 | 2,18 1,05–3,31 0,76–3,60 | 4,06 1,88–6,23 1,32–6,79 | 34% 20% 46% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,19 0,00–0,54 0,00–0,82 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 3,17 1,73–4,61 1,35–4,99 | 2,54 0,98–4,09 0,55–4,52 | 5,71 2,71–8,70 1,90–9,51 | 52% 17% 31% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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