Premier League·Etapa 21·
Premier League·Etapa 21·Statistici estimate
Goluri
72%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,320,763,09sigur1,36–3,290,00–1,621,27–4,91mai sigur1,10–3,540,00–1,850,79–5,39
Șuturi pe poartă
77%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,343,509,84sigur4,47–8,201,76–5,246,23–13,44mai sigur3,98–8,691,29–5,715,28–14,40
Total șuturi
95%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție18,078,8926,96sigur14,14–21,995,33–12,4619,47–34,45mai sigur13,05–23,084,37–13,4217,42–36,50
Șuturi din careu
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,366,5717,93sigur8,42–14,313,89–9,2512,31–23,56mai sigur7,59–15,143,15–9,9910,74–25,12
Șuturi blocate
78%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,612,146,75sigur2,73–6,490,49–3,793,21–10,28mai sigur2,18–7,030,00–4,292,18–11,32
Cornere
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,923,3110,23sigur4,71–9,131,31–5,316,02–14,45mai sigur4,13–9,710,78–5,854,91–15,55
Posesie %
98%
gazdeoaspețipredicție67,8731,79sigur61,08–74,6625,00–38,57mai sigur59,41–76,3323,33–40,24
Pase
100%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție659304963sigur591–726238–370829–1096mai sigur573–744220–388793–1132
Precizie pase %
94%
gazdeoaspețipredicție81,3568,51sigur77,32–85,3864,19–72,83mai sigur76,02–86,6762,88–74,14
Faulturi
26%
67%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,0012,5722,57sigur7,17–12,849,62–15,5116,79–28,35mai sigur6,41–13,608,87–16,2615,28–29,86
Ofsaiduri
23%
17%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,772,794,55sigur0,60–2,931,70–3,882,30–6,81mai sigur0,30–3,231,41–4,171,71–7,40
Cartonașe galbene
21%
20%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,202,153,35sigur0,15–2,251,02–3,281,18–5,53mai sigur0,00–2,520,73–3,570,62–6,09
Cartonașe roșii
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,080,13sigur0,00–0,210,00–0,270,00–0,47mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,400,00–0,76
Parade portar
21%
14%
65%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,353,846,19sigur0,91–3,792,28–5,403,20–9,18mai sigur0,53–4,171,86–5,822,39–10,00
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,32 1,36–3,29 1,10–3,54 | 0,76 0,00–1,62 0,00–1,85 | 3,09 1,27–4,91 0,79–5,39 | 72% 17% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,34 4,47–8,20 3,98–8,69 | 3,50 1,76–5,24 1,29–5,71 | 9,84 6,23–13,44 5,28–14,40 | 77% 14% |
| Total șuturi | 18,07 14,14–21,99 13,05–23,08 | 8,89 5,33–12,46 4,37–13,42 | 26,96 19,47–34,45 17,42–36,50 | 95% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,36 8,42–14,31 7,59–15,14 | 6,57 3,89–9,25 3,15–9,99 | 17,93 12,31–23,56 10,74–25,12 | 85% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,61 2,73–6,49 2,18–7,03 | 2,14 0,49–3,79 0,00–4,29 | 6,75 3,21–10,28 2,18–11,32 | 78% |
| Cornere | 6,92 4,71–9,13 4,13–9,71 | 3,31 1,31–5,31 0,78–5,85 | 10,23 6,02–14,45 4,91–15,55 | 84% |
| Posesie % | 67,87 61,08–74,66 59,41–76,33 | 31,79 25,00–38,57 23,33–40,24 | — | 98% |
| Pase | 659 591–726 573–744 | 304 238–370 220–388 | 963 829–1096 793–1132 | 100% |
| Precizie pase % | 81,35 77,32–85,38 76,02–86,67 | 68,51 64,19–72,83 62,88–74,14 | — | 94% |
| Faulturi | 10,00 7,17–12,84 6,41–13,60 | 12,57 9,62–15,51 8,87–16,26 | 22,57 16,79–28,35 15,28–29,86 | 26% 67% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,77 0,60–2,93 0,30–3,23 | 2,79 1,70–3,88 1,41–4,17 | 4,55 2,30–6,81 1,71–7,40 | 23% 17% 59% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,20 0,15–2,25 0,00–2,52 | 2,15 1,02–3,28 0,73–3,57 | 3,35 1,18–5,53 0,62–6,09 | 21% 20% 59% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,21 0,00–0,36 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,13 0,00–0,47 0,00–0,76 | 88% |
| Parade portar | 2,35 0,91–3,79 0,53–4,17 | 3,84 2,28–5,40 1,86–5,82 | 6,19 3,20–9,18 2,39–10,00 | 21% 14% 65% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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