Premier League·Etapa 23·
Premier League·Etapa 23·Statistici estimate
Goluri
50%
24%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,671,142,81sigur0,70–2,630,29–1,990,98–4,63mai sigur0,45–2,890,06–2,220,50–5,11
Șuturi pe poartă
58%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,324,189,50sigur3,46–7,192,44–5,925,90–13,11mai sigur2,97–7,681,97–6,394,94–14,07
Total șuturi
73%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,2511,6126,86sigur11,33–19,188,05–15,1719,38–34,35mai sigur10,24–20,277,09–16,1317,33–36,40
Șuturi din careu
67%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,608,2318,83sigur7,66–13,555,55–10,9113,21–24,46mai sigur6,83–14,384,81–11,6511,64–26,02
Șuturi blocate
69%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,502,697,19sigur2,62–6,391,03–4,343,66–10,73mai sigur2,08–6,930,54–4,832,62–11,76
Cornere
67%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,214,2410,45sigur3,99–8,422,24–6,246,24–14,66mai sigur3,42–8,991,71–6,785,13–15,77
Posesie %
72%
24%
gazdeoaspețipredicție55,2544,57sigur48,46–62,0437,78–51,35mai sigur46,79–63,7136,11–53,02
Pase
81%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție510404914sigur443–577338–470780–1048mai sigur425–596320–488745–1083
Precizie pase %
65%
31%
gazdeoaspețipredicție74,9371,48sigur70,90–78,9667,16–75,81mai sigur69,61–80,2565,85–77,11
Faulturi
33%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,1012,7823,88sigur8,26–13,939,84–15,7318,10–29,66mai sigur7,50–14,699,09–16,4816,59–31,17
Ofsaiduri
19%
17%
64%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,572,864,42sigur0,41–2,731,76–3,952,17–6,68mai sigur0,11–3,031,47–4,241,58–7,27
Cartonașe galbene
32%
20%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,792,183,97sigur0,74–2,841,06–3,311,79–6,15mai sigur0,47–3,100,76–3,601,24–6,71
Cartonașe roșii
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,070,14sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,260,00–0,49mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,390,00–0,77
Parade portar
31%
16%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,793,496,29sigur1,36–4,231,94–5,053,30–9,28mai sigur0,97–4,621,51–5,472,48–10,09
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,67 0,70–2,63 0,45–2,89 | 1,14 0,29–1,99 0,06–2,22 | 2,81 0,98–4,63 0,50–5,11 | 50% 24% 26% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,32 3,46–7,19 2,97–7,68 | 4,18 2,44–5,92 1,97–6,39 | 9,50 5,90–13,11 4,94–14,07 | 58% 30% |
| Total șuturi | 15,25 11,33–19,18 10,24–20,27 | 11,61 8,05–15,17 7,09–16,13 | 26,86 19,38–34,35 17,33–36,40 | 73% 21% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,60 7,66–13,55 6,83–14,38 | 8,23 5,55–10,91 4,81–11,65 | 18,83 13,21–24,46 11,64–26,02 | 67% 25% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,50 2,62–6,39 2,08–6,93 | 2,69 1,03–4,34 0,54–4,83 | 7,19 3,66–10,73 2,62–11,76 | 69% 19% |
| Cornere | 6,21 3,99–8,42 3,42–8,99 | 4,24 2,24–6,24 1,71–6,78 | 10,45 6,24–14,66 5,13–15,77 | 67% 22% |
| Posesie % | 55,25 48,46–62,04 46,79–63,71 | 44,57 37,78–51,35 36,11–53,02 | — | 72% 24% |
| Pase | 510 443–577 425–596 | 404 338–470 320–488 | 914 780–1048 745–1083 | 81% 19% |
| Precizie pase % | 74,93 70,90–78,96 69,61–80,25 | 71,48 67,16–75,81 65,85–77,11 | — | 65% 31% |
| Faulturi | 11,10 8,26–13,93 7,50–14,69 | 12,78 9,84–15,73 9,09–16,48 | 23,88 18,10–29,66 16,59–31,17 | 33% 60% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,57 0,41–2,73 0,11–3,03 | 2,86 1,76–3,95 1,47–4,24 | 4,42 2,17–6,68 1,58–7,27 | 19% 17% 64% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,79 0,74–2,84 0,47–3,10 | 2,18 1,06–3,31 0,76–3,60 | 3,97 1,79–6,15 1,24–6,71 | 32% 20% 47% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,07 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,39 | 0,14 0,00–0,49 0,00–0,77 | 87% |
| Parade portar | 2,79 1,36–4,23 0,97–4,62 | 3,49 1,94–5,05 1,51–5,47 | 6,29 3,30–9,28 2,48–10,09 | 31% 16% 53% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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