Premier League·Etapa 23·
Premier League·Etapa 23·Statistici estimate
Goluri
50%
24%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,681,122,80sigur0,71–2,640,27–1,980,98–4,62mai sigur0,46–2,900,04–2,210,50–5,10
Șuturi pe poartă
63%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,303,769,06sigur3,44–7,162,02–5,515,46–12,67mai sigur2,95–7,651,55–5,974,50–13,62
Total șuturi
80%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,1310,4425,57sigur11,21–19,066,88–14,0018,08–33,06mai sigur10,12–20,155,92–14,9616,03–35,11
Șuturi din careu
78%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,787,0017,78sigur7,84–13,734,32–9,6812,16–23,41mai sigur7,01–14,553,58–10,4210,59–24,97
Șuturi blocate
66%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,552,887,43sigur2,67–6,431,23–4,533,89–10,96mai sigur2,12–6,970,74–5,032,86–12,00
Cornere
63%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,864,3210,18sigur3,64–8,072,32–6,325,96–14,39mai sigur3,07–8,641,79–6,854,86–15,50
Posesie %
45%
51%
gazdeoaspețipredicție49,4150,68sigur42,62–56,2043,90–57,47mai sigur40,95–57,8742,23–59,14
Pase
41%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție460487948sigur393–528421–554814–1081mai sigur375–546403–571778–1117
Precizie pase %
38%
57%
gazdeoaspețipredicție71,0372,95sigur67,00–75,0668,62–77,27mai sigur65,71–76,3567,31–78,58
Faulturi
38%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,3911,2521,64sigur7,55–13,238,30–14,1915,86–27,42mai sigur6,80–13,987,56–14,9414,35–28,93
Ofsaiduri
63%
18%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,551,383,93sigur1,39–3,710,29–2,471,68–6,19mai sigur1,09–4,010,00–2,761,09–6,78
Cartonașe galbene
27%
21%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,542,163,70sigur0,49–2,591,03–3,291,53–5,88mai sigur0,22–2,860,74–3,580,97–6,44
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,090,18sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,280,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,410,00–0,81
Parade portar
27%
15%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,503,516,00sigur1,06–3,931,95–5,063,01–9,00mai sigur0,67–4,321,52–5,492,20–9,81
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,68 0,71–2,64 0,46–2,90 | 1,12 0,27–1,98 0,04–2,21 | 2,80 0,98–4,62 0,50–5,10 | 50% 24% 26% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,30 3,44–7,16 2,95–7,65 | 3,76 2,02–5,51 1,55–5,97 | 9,06 5,46–12,67 4,50–13,62 | 63% 25% |
| Total șuturi | 15,13 11,21–19,06 10,12–20,15 | 10,44 6,88–14,00 5,92–14,96 | 25,57 18,08–33,06 16,03–35,11 | 80% 15% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,78 7,84–13,73 7,01–14,55 | 7,00 4,32–9,68 3,58–10,42 | 17,78 12,16–23,41 10,59–24,97 | 78% 15% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,55 2,67–6,43 2,12–6,97 | 2,88 1,23–4,53 0,74–5,03 | 7,43 3,89–10,96 2,86–12,00 | 66% 21% |
| Cornere | 5,86 3,64–8,07 3,07–8,64 | 4,32 2,32–6,32 1,79–6,85 | 10,18 5,96–14,39 4,86–15,50 | 63% 26% |
| Posesie % | 49,41 42,62–56,20 40,95–57,87 | 50,68 43,90–57,47 42,23–59,14 | — | 45% 51% |
| Pase | 460 393–528 375–546 | 487 421–554 403–571 | 948 814–1081 778–1117 | 41% 59% |
| Precizie pase % | 71,03 67,00–75,06 65,71–76,35 | 72,95 68,62–77,27 67,31–78,58 | — | 38% 57% |
| Faulturi | 10,39 7,55–13,23 6,80–13,98 | 11,25 8,30–14,19 7,56–14,94 | 21,64 15,86–27,42 14,35–28,93 | 38% 53% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,55 1,39–3,71 1,09–4,01 | 1,38 0,29–2,47 0,00–2,76 | 3,93 1,68–6,19 1,09–6,78 | 63% 18% 19% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,54 0,49–2,59 0,22–2,86 | 2,16 1,03–3,29 0,74–3,58 | 3,70 1,53–5,88 0,97–6,44 | 27% 21% 52% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,18 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,81 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 2,50 1,06–3,93 0,67–4,32 | 3,51 1,95–5,06 1,52–5,49 | 6,00 3,01–9,00 2,20–9,81 | 27% 15% 58% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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