Premier League·Etapa 23·
Premier League·Etapa 23·Statistici estimate
Goluri
51%
24%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,651,072,72sigur0,68–2,620,22–1,930,90–4,55mai sigur0,43–2,870,00–2,160,42–5,03
Șuturi pe poartă
52%
13%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,724,088,80sigur2,86–6,582,34–5,835,20–12,41mai sigur2,37–7,071,88–6,294,24–13,36
Total șuturi
66%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,4711,8826,35sigur10,54–18,398,32–15,4518,86–33,84mai sigur9,45–19,487,36–16,4116,81–35,89
Șuturi din careu
51%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,038,3817,41sigur6,09–11,975,70–11,0711,79–23,04mai sigur5,26–12,804,97–11,8010,22–24,60
Șuturi blocate
52%
15%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,973,297,26sigur2,08–5,851,64–4,953,72–10,79mai sigur1,54–6,391,15–5,442,69–11,83
Cornere
63%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,784,2510,04sigur3,57–8,002,25–6,255,82–14,25mai sigur3,00–8,571,72–6,794,72–15,36
Posesie %
78%
18%
gazdeoaspețipredicție57,3843,06sigur50,59–64,1736,28–49,85mai sigur48,92–65,8434,61–51,52
Pase
89%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție524376900sigur456–591310–443766–1033mai sigur438–609292–460730–1069
Precizie pase %
63%
32%
gazdeoaspețipredicție72,5269,48sigur68,49–76,5565,15–73,80mai sigur67,20–77,8463,84–75,11
Faulturi
26%
67%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,5313,1823,71sigur7,70–13,3710,23–16,1217,93–29,49mai sigur6,94–14,139,48–16,8716,42–31,00
Ofsaiduri
42%
22%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,791,653,45sigur0,63–2,950,56–2,751,19–5,70mai sigur0,33–3,260,27–3,030,60–6,29
Cartonașe galbene
29%
19%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,862,454,30sigur0,81–2,901,32–3,582,13–6,48mai sigur0,54–3,171,03–3,871,57–7,04
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,090,17sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,280,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,410,00–0,80
Parade portar
36%
17%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,783,115,89sigur1,34–4,211,56–4,672,90–8,88mai sigur0,95–4,601,13–5,092,09–9,70
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,65 0,68–2,62 0,43–2,87 | 1,07 0,22–1,93 0,00–2,16 | 2,72 0,90–4,55 0,42–5,03 | 51% 24% 25% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,72 2,86–6,58 2,37–7,07 | 4,08 2,34–5,83 1,88–6,29 | 8,80 5,20–12,41 4,24–13,36 | 52% 13% 35% |
| Total șuturi | 14,47 10,54–18,39 9,45–19,48 | 11,88 8,32–15,45 7,36–16,41 | 26,35 18,86–33,84 16,81–35,89 | 66% 27% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,03 6,09–11,97 5,26–12,80 | 8,38 5,70–11,07 4,97–11,80 | 17,41 11,79–23,04 10,22–24,60 | 51% 39% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,97 2,08–5,85 1,54–6,39 | 3,29 1,64–4,95 1,15–5,44 | 7,26 3,72–10,79 2,69–11,83 | 52% 15% 33% |
| Cornere | 5,78 3,57–8,00 3,00–8,57 | 4,25 2,25–6,25 1,72–6,79 | 10,04 5,82–14,25 4,72–15,36 | 63% 26% |
| Posesie % | 57,38 50,59–64,17 48,92–65,84 | 43,06 36,28–49,85 34,61–51,52 | — | 78% 18% |
| Pase | 524 456–591 438–609 | 376 310–443 292–460 | 900 766–1033 730–1069 | 89% |
| Precizie pase % | 72,52 68,49–76,55 67,20–77,84 | 69,48 65,15–73,80 63,84–75,11 | — | 63% 32% |
| Faulturi | 10,53 7,70–13,37 6,94–14,13 | 13,18 10,23–16,12 9,48–16,87 | 23,71 17,93–29,49 16,42–31,00 | 26% 67% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,79 0,63–2,95 0,33–3,26 | 1,65 0,56–2,75 0,27–3,03 | 3,45 1,19–5,70 0,60–6,29 | 42% 22% 36% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,86 0,81–2,90 0,54–3,17 | 2,45 1,32–3,58 1,03–3,87 | 4,30 2,13–6,48 1,57–7,04 | 29% 19% 51% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,17 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,78 1,34–4,21 0,95–4,60 | 3,11 1,56–4,67 1,13–5,09 | 5,89 2,90–8,88 2,09–9,70 | 36% 17% 47% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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