Premier League·Etapa 26·
Premier League·Etapa 26·Statistici estimate
Goluri
78%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,710,783,48sigur1,74–3,670,00–1,631,66–5,30mai sigur1,49–3,930,00–1,861,18–5,78
Șuturi pe poartă
89%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,783,2711,05sigur5,92–9,641,53–5,017,44–14,65mai sigur5,43–10,131,06–5,486,49–15,61
Total șuturi
99%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție22,319,0831,39sigur18,38–26,235,52–12,6523,91–38,88mai sigur17,29–27,334,56–13,6121,86–40,93
Șuturi din careu
95%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,906,1820,09sigur10,96–16,853,50–8,8614,46–25,71mai sigur10,13–17,682,76–9,6012,90–27,28
Șuturi blocate
92%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,371,908,27sigur4,49–8,250,24–3,554,73–11,80mai sigur3,94–8,790,00–4,043,69–12,84
Cornere
91%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,293,2411,53sigur6,08–10,511,24–5,247,32–15,74mai sigur5,50–11,080,70–5,776,21–16,85
Posesie %
97%
gazdeoaspețipredicție66,5033,58sigur59,71–73,2926,79–40,36mai sigur58,04–74,9625,12–42,03
Pase
100%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție667330997sigur600–734263–396863–1130mai sigur582–752246–414827–1166
Precizie pase %
92%
gazdeoaspețipredicție84,3773,15sigur80,34–88,4068,83–77,47mai sigur79,05–89,7067,52–78,78
Faulturi
45%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,5010,5521,06sigur7,67–13,347,61–13,5015,27–26,84mai sigur6,91–14,106,86–14,2513,77–28,34
Ofsaiduri
22%
18%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,652,714,36sigur0,49–2,811,62–3,802,10–6,61mai sigur0,19–3,111,33–4,091,51–7,20
Cartonașe galbene
23%
22%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,151,913,07sigur0,10–2,200,78–3,040,89–5,24mai sigur0,00–2,470,49–3,330,33–5,80
Cartonașe roșii
89%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,040,080,12sigur0,00–0,200,00–0,260,00–0,46mai sigur0,00–0,350,00–0,400,00–0,75
Parade portar
77%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,114,496,61sigur0,68–3,552,94–6,053,62–9,60mai sigur0,29–3,942,51–6,482,80–10,41
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,71 1,74–3,67 1,49–3,93 | 0,78 0,00–1,63 0,00–1,86 | 3,48 1,66–5,30 1,18–5,78 | 78% 14% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 7,78 5,92–9,64 5,43–10,13 | 3,27 1,53–5,01 1,06–5,48 | 11,05 7,44–14,65 6,49–15,61 | 89% |
| Total șuturi | 22,31 18,38–26,23 17,29–27,33 | 9,08 5,52–12,65 4,56–13,61 | 31,39 23,91–38,88 21,86–40,93 | 99% |
| Șuturi din careu | 13,90 10,96–16,85 10,13–17,68 | 6,18 3,50–8,86 2,76–9,60 | 20,09 14,46–25,71 12,90–27,28 | 95% |
| Șuturi blocate | 6,37 4,49–8,25 3,94–8,79 | 1,90 0,24–3,55 0,00–4,04 | 8,27 4,73–11,80 3,69–12,84 | 92% |
| Cornere | 8,29 6,08–10,51 5,50–11,08 | 3,24 1,24–5,24 0,70–5,77 | 11,53 7,32–15,74 6,21–16,85 | 91% |
| Posesie % | 66,50 59,71–73,29 58,04–74,96 | 33,58 26,79–40,36 25,12–42,03 | — | 97% |
| Pase | 667 600–734 582–752 | 330 263–396 246–414 | 997 863–1130 827–1166 | 100% |
| Precizie pase % | 84,37 80,34–88,40 79,05–89,70 | 73,15 68,83–77,47 67,52–78,78 | — | 92% |
| Faulturi | 10,50 7,67–13,34 6,91–14,10 | 10,55 7,61–13,50 6,86–14,25 | 21,06 15,27–26,84 13,77–28,34 | 45% 46% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,65 0,49–2,81 0,19–3,11 | 2,71 1,62–3,80 1,33–4,09 | 4,36 2,10–6,61 1,51–7,20 | 22% 18% 60% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,15 0,10–2,20 0,00–2,47 | 1,91 0,78–3,04 0,49–3,33 | 3,07 0,89–5,24 0,33–5,80 | 23% 22% 55% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,04 0,00–0,20 0,00–0,35 | 0,08 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,40 | 0,12 0,00–0,46 0,00–0,75 | 89% |
| Parade portar | 2,11 0,68–3,55 0,29–3,94 | 4,49 2,94–6,05 2,51–6,48 | 6,61 3,62–9,60 2,80–10,41 | 77% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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