Premier League·Etapa 27·
Premier League·Etapa 27·Statistici estimate
Goluri
36%
25%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,401,482,88sigur0,43–2,370,63–2,331,06–4,70mai sigur0,18–2,620,40–2,560,58–5,18
Șuturi pe poartă
42%
13%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,554,639,18sigur2,69–6,412,89–6,375,58–12,79mai sigur2,20–6,902,42–6,844,62–13,74
Total șuturi
51%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,5913,0026,59sigur9,66–17,519,44–16,5619,10–34,08mai sigur8,57–18,608,48–17,5217,05–36,13
Șuturi din careu
49%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,539,1618,69sigur6,58–12,476,48–11,8413,07–24,31mai sigur5,75–13,305,74–12,5811,50–25,88
Șuturi blocate
53%
14%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,123,437,55sigur2,24–6,001,78–5,084,01–11,08mai sigur1,69–6,541,29–5,582,98–12,12
Cornere
54%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,554,7510,30sigur3,34–7,762,75–6,756,09–14,51mai sigur2,76–8,342,22–7,284,98–15,62
Posesie %
45%
50%
gazdeoaspețipredicție49,6250,59sigur42,83–56,4143,81–57,38mai sigur41,16–58,0842,13–59,05
Pase
46%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție455468923sigur388–522401–534789–1056mai sigur370–540384–552753–1092
Precizie pase %
41%
54%
gazdeoaspețipredicție71,4972,68sigur67,46–75,5268,36–77,01mai sigur66,17–76,8167,05–78,32
Faulturi
49%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,7411,3723,11sigur8,90–14,588,42–14,3117,33–28,89mai sigur8,15–15,337,67–15,0615,82–30,40
Ofsaiduri
13%
74%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,453,384,83sigur0,29–2,612,29–4,472,58–7,08mai sigur0,00–2,912,00–4,761,99–7,67
Cartonașe galbene
29%
19%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,772,404,17sigur0,72–2,821,27–3,531,99–6,35mai sigur0,46–3,090,98–3,821,44–6,91
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,100,080,18sigur0,00–0,260,00–0,270,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,410,00–0,400,00–0,81
Parade portar
39%
16%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,993,176,16sigur1,55–4,431,61–4,723,16–9,15mai sigur1,17–4,811,18–5,152,35–9,96
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,40 0,43–2,37 0,18–2,62 | 1,48 0,63–2,33 0,40–2,56 | 2,88 1,06–4,70 0,58–5,18 | 36% 25% 39% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,55 2,69–6,41 2,20–6,90 | 4,63 2,89–6,37 2,42–6,84 | 9,18 5,58–12,79 4,62–13,74 | 42% 13% 44% |
| Total șuturi | 13,59 9,66–17,51 8,57–18,60 | 13,00 9,44–16,56 8,48–17,52 | 26,59 19,10–34,08 17,05–36,13 | 51% 42% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,53 6,58–12,47 5,75–13,30 | 9,16 6,48–11,84 5,74–12,58 | 18,69 13,07–24,31 11,50–25,88 | 49% 42% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,12 2,24–6,00 1,69–6,54 | 3,43 1,78–5,08 1,29–5,58 | 7,55 4,01–11,08 2,98–12,12 | 53% 14% 33% |
| Cornere | 5,55 3,34–7,76 2,76–8,34 | 4,75 2,75–6,75 2,22–7,28 | 10,30 6,09–14,51 4,98–15,62 | 54% 34% |
| Posesie % | 49,62 42,83–56,41 41,16–58,08 | 50,59 43,81–57,38 42,13–59,05 | — | 45% 50% |
| Pase | 455 388–522 370–540 | 468 401–534 384–552 | 923 789–1056 753–1092 | 46% 54% |
| Precizie pase % | 71,49 67,46–75,52 66,17–76,81 | 72,68 68,36–77,01 67,05–78,32 | — | 41% 54% |
| Faulturi | 11,74 8,90–14,58 8,15–15,33 | 11,37 8,42–14,31 7,67–15,06 | 23,11 17,33–28,89 15,82–30,40 | 49% 43% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,45 0,29–2,61 0,00–2,91 | 3,38 2,29–4,47 2,00–4,76 | 4,83 2,58–7,08 1,99–7,67 | 13% 74% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,77 0,72–2,82 0,46–3,09 | 2,40 1,27–3,53 0,98–3,82 | 4,17 1,99–6,35 1,44–6,91 | 29% 19% 52% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,10 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,41 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,18 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,81 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,99 1,55–4,43 1,17–4,81 | 3,17 1,61–4,72 1,18–5,15 | 6,16 3,16–9,15 2,35–9,96 | 39% 16% 45% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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