Premier League·Etapa 28·
Premier League·Etapa 28·Statistici estimate
Goluri
50%
24%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,731,212,94sigur0,76–2,700,36–2,071,12–4,77mai sigur0,51–2,950,13–2,300,64–5,25
Șuturi pe poartă
66%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,613,879,48sigur3,75–7,472,13–5,615,87–13,08mai sigur3,26–7,961,66–6,084,92–14,04
Total șuturi
82%
13%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,2510,9827,23sigur12,32–20,177,41–14,5419,74–34,71mai sigur11,23–21,276,46–15,5017,69–36,76
Șuturi din careu
77%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,117,3818,49sigur8,16–14,054,70–10,0612,86–24,11mai sigur7,33–14,883,96–10,8011,30–25,68
Șuturi blocate
56%
14%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,253,337,59sigur2,37–6,131,68–4,994,05–11,12mai sigur1,83–6,681,19–5,483,01–12,16
Cornere
68%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,863,869,72sigur3,65–8,081,86–5,865,51–13,93mai sigur3,08–8,651,33–6,394,40–15,04
Posesie %
66%
30%
gazdeoaspețipredicție54,4146,54sigur47,62–61,2039,75–53,32mai sigur45,95–62,8738,08–54,99
Pase
75%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție497415912sigur430–564349–482779–1046mai sigur412–582331–499743–1082
Precizie pase %
59%
36%
gazdeoaspețipredicție74,4072,21sigur70,37–78,4367,88–76,53mai sigur69,08–79,7366,58–77,84
Faulturi
57%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,9110,5422,46sigur9,07–14,757,60–13,4916,67–28,24mai sigur8,32–15,516,85–14,2415,17–29,74
Ofsaiduri
50%
18%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,712,184,89sigur1,55–3,871,08–3,272,63–7,14mai sigur1,25–4,170,80–3,562,04–7,73
Cartonașe galbene
35%
21%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,751,963,71sigur0,70–2,800,83–3,091,53–5,88mai sigur0,43–3,060,54–3,380,97–6,44
Cartonașe roșii
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,080,14sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,260,00–0,49mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,390,00–0,77
Parade portar
24%
14%
62%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,533,786,30sigur1,09–3,962,22–5,333,31–9,30mai sigur0,70–4,351,80–5,762,50–10,11
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,73 0,76–2,70 0,51–2,95 | 1,21 0,36–2,07 0,13–2,30 | 2,94 1,12–4,77 0,64–5,25 | 50% 24% 27% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,61 3,75–7,47 3,26–7,96 | 3,87 2,13–5,61 1,66–6,08 | 9,48 5,87–13,08 4,92–14,04 | 66% 23% |
| Total șuturi | 16,25 12,32–20,17 11,23–21,27 | 10,98 7,41–14,54 6,46–15,50 | 27,23 19,74–34,71 17,69–36,76 | 82% 13% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,11 8,16–14,05 7,33–14,88 | 7,38 4,70–10,06 3,96–10,80 | 18,49 12,86–24,11 11,30–25,68 | 77% 16% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,25 2,37–6,13 1,83–6,68 | 3,33 1,68–4,99 1,19–5,48 | 7,59 4,05–11,12 3,01–12,16 | 56% 14% 30% |
| Cornere | 5,86 3,65–8,08 3,08–8,65 | 3,86 1,86–5,86 1,33–6,39 | 9,72 5,51–13,93 4,40–15,04 | 68% 21% |
| Posesie % | 54,41 47,62–61,20 45,95–62,87 | 46,54 39,75–53,32 38,08–54,99 | — | 66% 30% |
| Pase | 497 430–564 412–582 | 415 349–482 331–499 | 912 779–1046 743–1082 | 75% 25% |
| Precizie pase % | 74,40 70,37–78,43 69,08–79,73 | 72,21 67,88–76,53 66,58–77,84 | — | 59% 36% |
| Faulturi | 11,91 9,07–14,75 8,32–15,51 | 10,54 7,60–13,49 6,85–14,24 | 22,46 16,67–28,24 15,17–29,74 | 57% 35% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,71 1,55–3,87 1,25–4,17 | 2,18 1,08–3,27 0,80–3,56 | 4,89 2,63–7,14 2,04–7,73 | 50% 18% 32% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,75 0,70–2,80 0,43–3,06 | 1,96 0,83–3,09 0,54–3,38 | 3,71 1,53–5,88 0,97–6,44 | 35% 21% 44% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,08 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,39 | 0,14 0,00–0,49 0,00–0,77 | 87% |
| Parade portar | 2,53 1,09–3,96 0,70–4,35 | 3,78 2,22–5,33 1,80–5,76 | 6,30 3,31–9,30 2,50–10,11 | 24% 14% 62% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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