Premier League·Etapa 28·
Premier League·Etapa 28·Statistici estimate
Goluri
74%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,450,773,22sigur1,49–3,420,00–1,621,40–5,04mai sigur1,23–3,670,00–1,850,92–5,52
Șuturi pe poartă
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,773,219,97sigur4,90–8,631,46–4,956,37–13,58mai sigur4,41–9,121,00–5,415,41–14,53
Total șuturi
98%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție19,068,4227,48sigur15,14–22,994,86–11,9819,99–34,97mai sigur14,05–24,083,90–12,9417,94–37,02
Șuturi din careu
89%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,366,6218,98sigur9,41–15,303,94–9,3013,36–24,60mai sigur8,58–16,133,21–10,0411,79–26,17
Șuturi blocate
89%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,972,078,04sigur4,09–7,860,42–3,724,51–11,58mai sigur3,55–8,400,00–4,213,47–12,61
Cornere
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,543,3710,91sigur5,33–9,751,37–5,376,70–15,13mai sigur4,75–10,330,84–5,915,59–16,23
Posesie %
99%
gazdeoaspețipredicție69,6730,11sigur62,88–76,4623,33–36,90mai sigur61,21–78,1321,65–38,57
Pase
100%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6993101010sigur632–767244–377876–1143mai sigur614–785226–394840–1179
Precizie pase %
97%
gazdeoaspețipredicție83,5568,08sigur79,52–87,5863,76–72,41mai sigur78,23–88,8862,45–73,72
Faulturi
43%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,4310,7921,22sigur7,59–13,277,85–13,7415,44–27,01mai sigur6,84–14,027,10–14,4913,94–28,51
Ofsaiduri
19%
18%
63%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,312,503,81sigur0,15–2,471,41–3,591,56–6,06mai sigur0,00–2,771,12–3,880,97–6,65
Cartonașe galbene
23%
23%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,151,863,00sigur0,10–2,190,73–2,980,82–5,18mai sigur0,00–2,460,44–3,280,27–5,74
Cartonașe roșii
90%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,040,070,11sigur0,00–0,200,00–0,260,00–0,46mai sigur0,00–0,350,00–0,390,00–0,74
Parade portar
18%
13%
69%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,284,026,30sigur0,85–3,722,46–5,573,31–9,29mai sigur0,46–4,112,04–6,002,49–10,10
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,45 1,49–3,42 1,23–3,67 | 0,77 0,00–1,62 0,00–1,85 | 3,22 1,40–5,04 0,92–5,52 | 74% 16% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,77 4,90–8,63 4,41–9,12 | 3,21 1,46–4,95 1,00–5,41 | 9,97 6,37–13,58 5,41–14,53 | 84% |
| Total șuturi | 19,06 15,14–22,99 14,05–24,08 | 8,42 4,86–11,98 3,90–12,94 | 27,48 19,99–34,97 17,94–37,02 | 98% |
| Șuturi din careu | 12,36 9,41–15,30 8,58–16,13 | 6,62 3,94–9,30 3,21–10,04 | 18,98 13,36–24,60 11,79–26,17 | 89% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,97 4,09–7,86 3,55–8,40 | 2,07 0,42–3,72 0,00–4,21 | 8,04 4,51–11,58 3,47–12,61 | 89% |
| Cornere | 7,54 5,33–9,75 4,75–10,33 | 3,37 1,37–5,37 0,84–5,91 | 10,91 6,70–15,13 5,59–16,23 | 87% |
| Posesie % | 69,67 62,88–76,46 61,21–78,13 | 30,11 23,33–36,90 21,65–38,57 | — | 99% |
| Pase | 699 632–767 614–785 | 310 244–377 226–394 | 1010 876–1143 840–1179 | 100% |
| Precizie pase % | 83,55 79,52–87,58 78,23–88,88 | 68,08 63,76–72,41 62,45–73,72 | — | 97% |
| Faulturi | 10,43 7,59–13,27 6,84–14,02 | 10,79 7,85–13,74 7,10–14,49 | 21,22 15,44–27,01 13,94–28,51 | 43% 49% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,31 0,15–2,47 0,00–2,77 | 2,50 1,41–3,59 1,12–3,88 | 3,81 1,56–6,06 0,97–6,65 | 19% 18% 63% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,15 0,10–2,19 0,00–2,46 | 1,86 0,73–2,98 0,44–3,28 | 3,00 0,82–5,18 0,27–5,74 | 23% 23% 54% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,04 0,00–0,20 0,00–0,35 | 0,07 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,39 | 0,11 0,00–0,46 0,00–0,74 | 90% |
| Parade portar | 2,28 0,85–3,72 0,46–4,11 | 4,02 2,46–5,57 2,04–6,00 | 6,30 3,31–9,29 2,49–10,10 | 18% 13% 69% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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