Premier League·Etapa 30·
Premier League·Etapa 30·Statistici estimate
Goluri
72%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,230,732,96sigur1,26–3,200,00–1,581,14–4,78mai sigur1,01–3,450,00–1,810,66–5,26
Șuturi pe poartă
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,012,898,91sigur4,15–7,881,15–4,645,30–12,51mai sigur3,66–8,370,69–5,104,35–13,47
Total șuturi
95%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție17,788,9826,76sigur13,86–21,715,42–12,5419,27–34,25mai sigur12,77–22,804,46–13,5017,22–36,30
Șuturi din careu
90%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,906,0017,89sigur8,96–14,843,31–8,6812,27–23,52mai sigur8,13–15,672,58–9,4110,70–25,08
Șuturi blocate
74%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,262,918,17sigur3,38–7,141,26–4,564,63–11,71mai sigur2,83–7,680,77–5,063,60–12,74
Cornere
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,023,2610,28sigur4,80–9,231,26–5,266,06–14,49mai sigur4,23–9,800,73–5,794,96–15,60
Posesie %
92%
gazdeoaspețipredicție62,4737,32sigur55,68–69,2630,53–44,10mai sigur54,01–70,9328,86–45,77
Pase
98%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție561319880sigur493–628253–386746–1014mai sigur475–646235–403710–1049
Precizie pase %
87%
gazdeoaspețipredicție77,1868,02sigur73,15–81,2163,69–72,34mai sigur71,86–82,5062,38–73,65
Faulturi
30%
63%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,1313,2624,40sigur8,30–13,9710,32–16,2118,61–30,18mai sigur7,54–14,739,57–16,9617,11–31,68
Ofsaiduri
41%
26%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,411,252,66sigur0,25–2,570,15–2,340,40–4,91mai sigur0,00–2,870,00–2,630,00–5,50
Cartonașe galbene
17%
18%
65%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,222,493,71sigur0,17–2,271,36–3,621,53–5,88mai sigur0,00–2,531,07–3,910,97–6,44
Cartonașe roșii
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,100,15sigur0,00–0,210,00–0,290,00–0,49mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,420,00–0,78
Parade portar
21%
14%
65%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,223,695,91sigur0,78–3,662,13–5,242,91–8,90mai sigur0,40–4,041,70–5,672,10–9,71
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,23 1,26–3,20 1,01–3,45 | 0,73 0,00–1,58 0,00–1,81 | 2,96 1,14–4,78 0,66–5,26 | 72% 18% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,01 4,15–7,88 3,66–8,37 | 2,89 1,15–4,64 0,69–5,10 | 8,91 5,30–12,51 4,35–13,47 | 81% |
| Total șuturi | 17,78 13,86–21,71 12,77–22,80 | 8,98 5,42–12,54 4,46–13,50 | 26,76 19,27–34,25 17,22–36,30 | 95% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,90 8,96–14,84 8,13–15,67 | 6,00 3,31–8,68 2,58–9,41 | 17,89 12,27–23,52 10,70–25,08 | 90% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,26 3,38–7,14 2,83–7,68 | 2,91 1,26–4,56 0,77–5,06 | 8,17 4,63–11,71 3,60–12,74 | 74% 16% |
| Cornere | 7,02 4,80–9,23 4,23–9,80 | 3,26 1,26–5,26 0,73–5,79 | 10,28 6,06–14,49 4,96–15,60 | 85% |
| Posesie % | 62,47 55,68–69,26 54,01–70,93 | 37,32 30,53–44,10 28,86–45,77 | — | 92% |
| Pase | 561 493–628 475–646 | 319 253–386 235–403 | 880 746–1014 710–1049 | 98% |
| Precizie pase % | 77,18 73,15–81,21 71,86–82,50 | 68,02 63,69–72,34 62,38–73,65 | — | 87% |
| Faulturi | 11,13 8,30–13,97 7,54–14,73 | 13,26 10,32–16,21 9,57–16,96 | 24,40 18,61–30,18 17,11–31,68 | 30% 63% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,41 0,25–2,57 0,00–2,87 | 1,25 0,15–2,34 0,00–2,63 | 2,66 0,40–4,91 0,00–5,50 | 41% 26% 33% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,22 0,17–2,27 0,00–2,53 | 2,49 1,36–3,62 1,07–3,91 | 3,71 1,53–5,88 0,97–6,44 | 17% 18% 65% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,21 0,00–0,36 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,15 0,00–0,49 0,00–0,78 | 87% |
| Parade portar | 2,22 0,78–3,66 0,40–4,04 | 3,69 2,13–5,24 1,70–5,67 | 5,91 2,91–8,90 2,10–9,71 | 21% 14% 65% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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