Premier League·Etapa 30·
Premier League·Etapa 30·Statistici estimate
Goluri
40%
26%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,421,322,74sigur0,46–2,390,46–2,170,92–4,56mai sigur0,21–2,640,23–2,400,44–5,04
Șuturi pe poartă
45%
13%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,574,469,02sigur2,70–6,432,72–6,205,42–12,63mai sigur2,21–6,922,25–6,674,46–13,59
Total șuturi
52%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,9213,0927,01sigur10,00–17,859,53–16,6619,53–34,50mai sigur8,90–18,948,57–17,6117,48–36,55
Șuturi din careu
46%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,109,0418,13sigur6,15–12,046,35–11,7212,51–23,75mai sigur5,32–12,875,62–12,4510,94–25,32
Șuturi blocate
47%
14%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,063,757,80sigur2,17–5,942,09–5,404,27–11,34mai sigur1,63–6,481,60–5,893,23–12,37
Cornere
40%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,055,3610,41sigur2,84–7,263,36–7,366,20–14,62mai sigur2,26–7,842,83–7,895,09–15,73
Posesie %
46%
49%
gazdeoaspețipredicție49,7950,33sigur43,00–56,5843,54–57,11mai sigur41,33–58,2541,87–58,78
Pase
57%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție462441903sigur395–529375–508770–1037mai sigur377–547357–525734–1073
Precizie pase %
32%
64%
gazdeoaspețipredicție68,8572,03sigur64,82–72,8867,71–76,36mai sigur63,53–74,1766,40–77,67
Faulturi
43%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,0211,3222,34sigur8,18–13,868,38–14,2716,56–28,12mai sigur7,43–14,617,63–15,0215,06–29,63
Ofsaiduri
27%
22%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,341,943,28sigur0,18–2,500,84–3,031,03–5,53mai sigur0,00–2,810,55–3,320,44–6,12
Cartonașe galbene
37%
22%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,691,793,48sigur0,64–2,740,66–2,921,30–5,66mai sigur0,37–3,010,37–3,210,74–6,21
Cartonașe roșii
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,070,13sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,250,00–0,48mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,380,00–0,76
Parade portar
42%
17%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,982,985,96sigur1,54–4,421,42–4,542,97–8,95mai sigur1,16–4,801,00–4,962,16–9,76
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,42 0,46–2,39 0,21–2,64 | 1,32 0,46–2,17 0,23–2,40 | 2,74 0,92–4,56 0,44–5,04 | 40% 26% 35% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,57 2,70–6,43 2,21–6,92 | 4,46 2,72–6,20 2,25–6,67 | 9,02 5,42–12,63 4,46–13,59 | 45% 13% 42% |
| Total șuturi | 13,92 10,00–17,85 8,90–18,94 | 13,09 9,53–16,66 8,57–17,61 | 27,01 19,53–34,50 17,48–36,55 | 52% 40% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,10 6,15–12,04 5,32–12,87 | 9,04 6,35–11,72 5,62–12,45 | 18,13 12,51–23,75 10,94–25,32 | 46% 45% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,06 2,17–5,94 1,63–6,48 | 3,75 2,09–5,40 1,60–5,89 | 7,80 4,27–11,34 3,23–12,37 | 47% 14% 38% |
| Cornere | 5,05 2,84–7,26 2,26–7,84 | 5,36 3,36–7,36 2,83–7,89 | 10,41 6,20–14,62 5,09–15,73 | 40% 48% |
| Posesie % | 49,79 43,00–56,58 41,33–58,25 | 50,33 43,54–57,11 41,87–58,78 | — | 46% 49% |
| Pase | 462 395–529 377–547 | 441 375–508 357–525 | 903 770–1037 734–1073 | 57% 43% |
| Precizie pase % | 68,85 64,82–72,88 63,53–74,17 | 72,03 67,71–76,36 66,40–77,67 | — | 32% 64% |
| Faulturi | 11,02 8,18–13,86 7,43–14,61 | 11,32 8,38–14,27 7,63–15,02 | 22,34 16,56–28,12 15,06–29,63 | 43% 48% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,34 0,18–2,50 0,00–2,81 | 1,94 0,84–3,03 0,55–3,32 | 3,28 1,03–5,53 0,44–6,12 | 27% 22% 51% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,69 0,64–2,74 0,37–3,01 | 1,79 0,66–2,92 0,37–3,21 | 3,48 1,30–5,66 0,74–6,21 | 37% 22% 41% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,07 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,38 | 0,13 0,00–0,48 0,00–0,76 | 88% |
| Parade portar | 2,98 1,54–4,42 1,16–4,80 | 2,98 1,42–4,54 1,00–4,96 | 5,96 2,97–8,95 2,16–9,76 | 42% 17% 42% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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