Premier League·Etapa 30·
Premier League·Etapa 30·Statistici estimate
Goluri
37%
27%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,271,272,53sigur0,30–2,230,41–2,120,71–4,35mai sigur0,05–2,490,18–2,350,23–4,83
Șuturi pe poartă
48%
14%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,574,178,74sigur2,70–6,432,43–5,925,13–12,34mai sigur2,21–6,921,97–6,384,18–13,30
Total șuturi
61%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,8911,9625,85sigur9,96–17,818,40–15,5318,36–33,34mai sigur8,87–18,907,44–16,4816,31–35,39
Șuturi din careu
56%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,067,9116,97sigur6,12–12,005,23–10,5911,35–22,60mai sigur5,29–12,834,50–11,339,78–24,16
Șuturi blocate
48%
15%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,973,577,54sigur2,09–5,851,91–5,224,00–11,07mai sigur1,54–6,401,42–5,712,97–12,11
Cornere
50%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,124,609,72sigur2,91–7,332,60–6,605,51–13,94mai sigur2,33–7,912,07–7,144,40–15,04
Posesie %
28%
67%
gazdeoaspețipredicție45,8554,46sigur39,06–52,6447,68–61,25mai sigur37,39–54,3146,01–62,92
Pase
28%
72%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție393464857sigur326–460397–530723–991mai sigur308–478380–548688–1026
Precizie pase %
18%
79%
gazdeoaspețipredicție66,1972,91sigur62,16–70,2268,58–77,23mai sigur60,87–71,5167,28–78,54
Faulturi
64%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,3511,1124,46sigur10,51–16,198,16–14,0518,67–30,24mai sigur9,76–16,947,41–14,8017,17–31,74
Ofsaiduri
61%
17%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,871,754,62sigur1,71–4,030,66–2,842,36–6,87mai sigur1,40–4,330,37–3,131,77–7,46
Cartonașe galbene
38%
21%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,972,044,01sigur0,92–3,020,91–3,171,83–6,19mai sigur0,66–3,290,62–3,461,28–6,75
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,080,15sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,270,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,400,00–0,78
Parade portar
31%
16%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,623,305,92sigur1,18–4,051,74–4,852,92–8,91mai sigur0,79–4,441,32–5,282,11–9,72
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,27 0,30–2,23 0,05–2,49 | 1,27 0,41–2,12 0,18–2,35 | 2,53 0,71–4,35 0,23–4,83 | 37% 27% 37% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,57 2,70–6,43 2,21–6,92 | 4,17 2,43–5,92 1,97–6,38 | 8,74 5,13–12,34 4,18–13,30 | 48% 14% 38% |
| Total șuturi | 13,89 9,96–17,81 8,87–18,90 | 11,96 8,40–15,53 7,44–16,48 | 25,85 18,36–33,34 16,31–35,39 | 61% 32% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,06 6,12–12,00 5,29–12,83 | 7,91 5,23–10,59 4,50–11,33 | 16,97 11,35–22,60 9,78–24,16 | 56% 34% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,97 2,09–5,85 1,54–6,40 | 3,57 1,91–5,22 1,42–5,71 | 7,54 4,00–11,07 2,97–12,11 | 48% 15% 37% |
| Cornere | 5,12 2,91–7,33 2,33–7,91 | 4,60 2,60–6,60 2,07–7,14 | 9,72 5,51–13,94 4,40–15,04 | 50% 37% |
| Posesie % | 45,85 39,06–52,64 37,39–54,31 | 54,46 47,68–61,25 46,01–62,92 | — | 28% 67% |
| Pase | 393 326–460 308–478 | 464 397–530 380–548 | 857 723–991 688–1026 | 28% 72% |
| Precizie pase % | 66,19 62,16–70,22 60,87–71,51 | 72,91 68,58–77,23 67,28–78,54 | — | 18% 79% |
| Faulturi | 13,35 10,51–16,19 9,76–16,94 | 11,11 8,16–14,05 7,41–14,80 | 24,46 18,67–30,24 17,17–31,74 | 64% 29% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,87 1,71–4,03 1,40–4,33 | 1,75 0,66–2,84 0,37–3,13 | 4,62 2,36–6,87 1,77–7,46 | 61% 17% 22% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,97 0,92–3,02 0,66–3,29 | 2,04 0,91–3,17 0,62–3,46 | 4,01 1,83–6,19 1,28–6,75 | 38% 21% 41% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,15 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,78 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,62 1,18–4,05 0,79–4,44 | 3,30 1,74–4,85 1,32–5,28 | 5,92 2,92–8,91 2,11–9,72 | 31% 16% 53% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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