Premier League·Etapa 31·
Premier League·Etapa 31·Statistici estimate
Goluri
41%
26%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,431,252,68sigur0,46–2,390,40–2,110,86–4,50mai sigur0,21–2,650,17–2,340,38–4,98
Șuturi pe poartă
51%
13%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,814,219,02sigur2,95–6,682,47–5,955,42–12,63mai sigur2,46–7,172,00–6,424,46–13,58
Total șuturi
73%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,7512,1027,85sigur11,83–19,688,54–15,6620,36–35,34mai sigur10,74–20,777,58–16,6218,31–37,39
Șuturi din careu
51%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,729,1518,87sigur6,77–12,666,47–11,8313,24–24,49mai sigur5,94–13,495,73–12,5711,68–26,06
Șuturi blocate
52%
14%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,413,788,19sigur2,53–6,292,12–5,434,65–11,72mai sigur1,99–6,841,63–5,923,62–12,76
Cornere
60%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,094,7310,82sigur3,87–8,302,73–6,736,60–15,03mai sigur3,30–8,872,20–7,265,50–16,14
Posesie %
67%
29%
gazdeoaspețipredicție54,0745,62sigur47,28–60,8638,84–52,41mai sigur45,61–62,5337,17–54,08
Pase
74%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție506429935sigur438–573363–496801–1069mai sigur420–591345–513766–1104
Precizie pase %
51%
44%
gazdeoaspețipredicție69,1168,41sigur65,08–73,1464,09–72,74mai sigur63,79–74,4362,78–74,04
Faulturi
49%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,7110,3521,07sigur7,88–13,557,41–13,3015,28–26,85mai sigur7,12–14,316,66–14,0513,78–28,35
Ofsaiduri
39%
26%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,391,302,70sigur0,23–2,550,21–2,390,44–4,95mai sigur0,00–2,860,00–2,680,00–5,54
Cartonașe galbene
30%
23%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,361,763,12sigur0,31–2,410,63–2,890,94–5,29mai sigur0,04–2,670,34–3,180,38–5,85
Cartonașe roșii
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,070,13sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,260,00–0,48mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,390,00–0,76
Parade portar
37%
17%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,863,166,02sigur1,42–4,291,60–4,723,03–9,01mai sigur1,03–4,681,18–5,142,21–9,82
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,43 0,46–2,39 0,21–2,65 | 1,25 0,40–2,11 0,17–2,34 | 2,68 0,86–4,50 0,38–4,98 | 41% 26% 33% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,81 2,95–6,68 2,46–7,17 | 4,21 2,47–5,95 2,00–6,42 | 9,02 5,42–12,63 4,46–13,58 | 51% 13% 36% |
| Total șuturi | 15,75 11,83–19,68 10,74–20,77 | 12,10 8,54–15,66 7,58–16,62 | 27,85 20,36–35,34 18,31–37,39 | 73% 21% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,72 6,77–12,66 5,94–13,49 | 9,15 6,47–11,83 5,73–12,57 | 18,87 13,24–24,49 11,68–26,06 | 51% 40% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,41 2,53–6,29 1,99–6,84 | 3,78 2,12–5,43 1,63–5,92 | 8,19 4,65–11,72 3,62–12,76 | 52% 14% 34% |
| Cornere | 6,09 3,87–8,30 3,30–8,87 | 4,73 2,73–6,73 2,20–7,26 | 10,82 6,60–15,03 5,50–16,14 | 60% 28% |
| Posesie % | 54,07 47,28–60,86 45,61–62,53 | 45,62 38,84–52,41 37,17–54,08 | — | 67% 29% |
| Pase | 506 438–573 420–591 | 429 363–496 345–513 | 935 801–1069 766–1104 | 74% 26% |
| Precizie pase % | 69,11 65,08–73,14 63,79–74,43 | 68,41 64,09–72,74 62,78–74,04 | — | 51% 44% |
| Faulturi | 10,71 7,88–13,55 7,12–14,31 | 10,35 7,41–13,30 6,66–14,05 | 21,07 15,28–26,85 13,78–28,35 | 49% 43% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,39 0,23–2,55 0,00–2,86 | 1,30 0,21–2,39 0,00–2,68 | 2,70 0,44–4,95 0,00–5,54 | 39% 26% 35% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,36 0,31–2,41 0,04–2,67 | 1,76 0,63–2,89 0,34–3,18 | 3,12 0,94–5,29 0,38–5,85 | 30% 23% 47% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,07 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,39 | 0,13 0,00–0,48 0,00–0,76 | 88% |
| Parade portar | 2,86 1,42–4,29 1,03–4,68 | 3,16 1,60–4,72 1,18–5,14 | 6,02 3,03–9,01 2,21–9,82 | 37% 17% 47% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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