Premier League·Etapa 33·
Premier League·Etapa 33·Statistici estimate
Goluri
48%
25%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,581,112,69sigur0,61–2,550,25–1,960,86–4,51mai sigur0,36–2,800,02–2,190,38–4,99
Șuturi pe poartă
57%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,863,808,66sigur2,99–6,722,06–5,545,05–12,26mai sigur2,50–7,211,59–6,014,09–13,22
Total șuturi
69%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,7111,6826,39sigur10,78–18,638,11–15,2418,90–33,87mai sigur9,69–19,727,16–16,2016,85–35,92
Șuturi din careu
58%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,858,4918,33sigur6,91–12,795,80–11,1712,71–23,96mai sigur6,08–13,625,07–11,9011,14–25,52
Șuturi blocate
67%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,462,757,21sigur2,58–6,351,10–4,403,68–10,75mai sigur2,04–6,890,60–4,892,64–11,78
Cornere
59%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,744,5410,28sigur3,53–7,962,54–6,546,07–14,50mai sigur2,96–8,532,00–7,074,96–15,60
Posesie %
75%
22%
gazdeoaspețipredicție55,7643,60sigur48,97–62,5536,82–50,39mai sigur47,30–64,2235,14–52,06
Pase
83%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție503386888sigur435–570319–452755–1022mai sigur417–588302–470719–1058
Precizie pase %
64%
31%
gazdeoaspețipredicție72,3269,00sigur68,29–76,3564,68–73,32mai sigur66,99–77,6463,37–74,63
Faulturi
37%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,8911,9522,84sigur8,05–13,729,01–14,8917,05–28,62mai sigur7,29–14,488,26–15,6415,55–30,12
Ofsaiduri
24%
16%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,043,115,15sigur0,88–3,202,02–4,212,90–7,41mai sigur0,58–3,501,73–4,502,31–8,00
Cartonașe galbene
25%
21%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,372,103,46sigur0,32–2,420,97–3,221,29–5,64mai sigur0,05–2,680,68–3,520,73–6,20
Cartonașe roșii
89%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,070,12sigur0,00–0,210,00–0,260,00–0,47mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,390,00–0,75
Parade portar
34%
17%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,633,095,71sigur1,19–4,061,53–4,642,72–8,70mai sigur0,80–4,451,11–5,071,91–9,52
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,58 0,61–2,55 0,36–2,80 | 1,11 0,25–1,96 0,02–2,19 | 2,69 0,86–4,51 0,38–4,99 | 48% 25% 27% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,86 2,99–6,72 2,50–7,21 | 3,80 2,06–5,54 1,59–6,01 | 8,66 5,05–12,26 4,09–13,22 | 57% 30% |
| Total șuturi | 14,71 10,78–18,63 9,69–19,72 | 11,68 8,11–15,24 7,16–16,20 | 26,39 18,90–33,87 16,85–35,92 | 69% 25% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,85 6,91–12,79 6,08–13,62 | 8,49 5,80–11,17 5,07–11,90 | 18,33 12,71–23,96 11,14–25,52 | 58% 33% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,46 2,58–6,35 2,04–6,89 | 2,75 1,10–4,40 0,60–4,89 | 7,21 3,68–10,75 2,64–11,78 | 67% 20% |
| Cornere | 5,74 3,53–7,96 2,96–8,53 | 4,54 2,54–6,54 2,00–7,07 | 10,28 6,07–14,50 4,96–15,60 | 59% 30% |
| Posesie % | 55,76 48,97–62,55 47,30–64,22 | 43,60 36,82–50,39 35,14–52,06 | — | 75% 22% |
| Pase | 503 435–570 417–588 | 386 319–452 302–470 | 888 755–1022 719–1058 | 83% 16% |
| Precizie pase % | 72,32 68,29–76,35 66,99–77,64 | 69,00 64,68–73,32 63,37–74,63 | — | 64% 31% |
| Faulturi | 10,89 8,05–13,72 7,29–14,48 | 11,95 9,01–14,89 8,26–15,64 | 22,84 17,05–28,62 15,55–30,12 | 37% 55% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,04 0,88–3,20 0,58–3,50 | 3,11 2,02–4,21 1,73–4,50 | 5,15 2,90–7,41 2,31–8,00 | 24% 16% 60% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,37 0,32–2,42 0,05–2,68 | 2,10 0,97–3,22 0,68–3,52 | 3,46 1,29–5,64 0,73–6,20 | 25% 21% 54% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,21 0,00–0,36 | 0,07 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,39 | 0,12 0,00–0,47 0,00–0,75 | 89% |
| Parade portar | 2,63 1,19–4,06 0,80–4,45 | 3,09 1,53–4,64 1,11–5,07 | 5,71 2,72–8,70 1,91–9,52 | 34% 17% 49% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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