Premier League·Etapa 33·
Premier League·Etapa 33·Statistici estimate
Goluri
57%
22%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,931,062,99sigur0,96–2,890,21–1,921,17–4,81mai sigur0,71–3,150,00–2,150,69–5,29
Șuturi pe poartă
71%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,983,799,77sigur4,12–7,842,05–5,536,17–13,38mai sigur3,63–8,331,58–6,005,21–14,33
Total șuturi
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,5610,8127,38sigur12,64–20,497,25–14,3819,89–34,86mai sigur11,55–21,586,29–15,3417,84–36,91
Șuturi din careu
76%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,257,7318,97sigur8,30–14,195,05–10,4113,35–24,60mai sigur7,47–15,024,31–11,1411,78–26,16
Șuturi blocate
69%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,143,228,35sigur3,25–7,021,56–4,874,82–11,89mai sigur2,71–7,561,07–5,363,78–12,92
Cornere
68%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,364,2910,65sigur4,15–8,572,29–6,296,44–14,86mai sigur3,57–9,151,76–6,825,33–15,97
Posesie %
78%
19%
gazdeoaspețipredicție57,1143,27sigur50,32–63,9036,49–50,06mai sigur48,65–65,5734,82–51,73
Pase
89%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție558408966sigur491–625342–474832–1099mai sigur472–643324–492796–1135
Precizie pase %
71%
25%
gazdeoaspețipredicție75,0770,40sigur71,04–79,1066,07–74,72mai sigur69,75–80,4064,76–76,03
Faulturi
33%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,6211,1020,72sigur6,78–12,468,15–14,0414,93–26,50mai sigur6,03–13,217,40–14,7913,43–28,00
Ofsaiduri
31%
23%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,391,753,14sigur0,23–2,550,66–2,840,89–5,40mai sigur0,00–2,860,37–3,130,30–5,99
Cartonașe galbene
26%
23%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,251,833,08sigur0,20–2,300,70–2,960,90–5,26mai sigur0,00–2,570,41–3,250,34–5,81
Cartonașe roșii
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,080,13sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,260,00–0,48mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,400,00–0,76
Parade portar
21%
14%
65%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,514,006,51sigur1,07–3,942,44–5,553,51–9,50mai sigur0,68–4,332,02–5,982,70–10,31
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,93 0,96–2,89 0,71–3,15 | 1,06 0,21–1,92 0,00–2,15 | 2,99 1,17–4,81 0,69–5,29 | 57% 22% 21% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,98 4,12–7,84 3,63–8,33 | 3,79 2,05–5,53 1,58–6,00 | 9,77 6,17–13,38 5,21–14,33 | 71% 19% |
| Total șuturi | 16,56 12,64–20,49 11,55–21,58 | 10,81 7,25–14,38 6,29–15,34 | 27,38 19,89–34,86 17,84–36,91 | 84% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,25 8,30–14,19 7,47–15,02 | 7,73 5,05–10,41 4,31–11,14 | 18,97 13,35–24,60 11,78–26,16 | 76% 18% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,14 3,25–7,02 2,71–7,56 | 3,22 1,56–4,87 1,07–5,36 | 8,35 4,82–11,89 3,78–12,92 | 69% 20% |
| Cornere | 6,36 4,15–8,57 3,57–9,15 | 4,29 2,29–6,29 1,76–6,82 | 10,65 6,44–14,86 5,33–15,97 | 68% 21% |
| Posesie % | 57,11 50,32–63,90 48,65–65,57 | 43,27 36,49–50,06 34,82–51,73 | — | 78% 19% |
| Pase | 558 491–625 472–643 | 408 342–474 324–492 | 966 832–1099 796–1135 | 89% |
| Precizie pase % | 75,07 71,04–79,10 69,75–80,40 | 70,40 66,07–74,72 64,76–76,03 | — | 71% 25% |
| Faulturi | 9,62 6,78–12,46 6,03–13,21 | 11,10 8,15–14,04 7,40–14,79 | 20,72 14,93–26,50 13,43–28,00 | 33% 58% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,39 0,23–2,55 0,00–2,86 | 1,75 0,66–2,84 0,37–3,13 | 3,14 0,89–5,40 0,30–5,99 | 31% 23% 46% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,25 0,20–2,30 0,00–2,57 | 1,83 0,70–2,96 0,41–3,25 | 3,08 0,90–5,26 0,34–5,81 | 26% 23% 51% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,08 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,40 | 0,13 0,00–0,48 0,00–0,76 | 88% |
| Parade portar | 2,51 1,07–3,94 0,68–4,33 | 4,00 2,44–5,55 2,02–5,98 | 6,51 3,51–9,50 2,70–10,31 | 21% 14% 65% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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