Premier League·Etapa 34·
Premier League·Etapa 34·Statistici estimate
Goluri
45%
26%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,431,082,51sigur0,46–2,400,22–1,930,68–4,33mai sigur0,21–2,650,00–2,160,20–4,81
Șuturi pe poartă
62%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,013,598,60sigur3,15–6,871,85–5,334,99–12,20mai sigur2,66–7,361,38–5,804,04–13,16
Total șuturi
78%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,8911,3827,27sigur11,96–19,817,82–14,9519,78–34,76mai sigur10,87–20,906,86–15,9117,73–36,81
Șuturi din careu
73%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,367,3217,69sigur7,42–13,314,64–10,0112,07–23,31mai sigur6,59–14,143,91–10,7410,50–24,88
Șuturi blocate
61%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,653,337,98sigur2,76–6,531,68–4,994,45–11,52mai sigur2,22–7,071,19–5,483,41–12,55
Cornere
62%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,934,4210,35sigur3,72–8,152,42–6,426,14–14,56mai sigur3,15–8,721,88–6,955,03–15,67
Posesie %
32%
63%
gazdeoaspețipredicție46,5353,34sigur39,74–53,3246,55–60,12mai sigur38,07–54,9944,88–61,79
Pase
32%
68%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție390447837sigur323–457380–513703–971mai sigur305–476363–531667–1006
Precizie pase %
24%
72%
gazdeoaspețipredicție69,0073,94sigur64,97–73,0369,62–78,26mai sigur63,68–74,3268,31–79,57
Faulturi
44%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,9812,2324,21sigur9,14–14,819,29–15,1818,43–29,99mai sigur8,38–15,578,54–15,9316,92–31,50
Ofsaiduri
47%
24%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,641,242,88sigur0,47–2,800,15–2,340,63–5,13mai sigur0,17–3,100,00–2,630,04–5,72
Cartonașe galbene
35%
21%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,802,053,85sigur0,75–2,840,92–3,181,67–6,02mai sigur0,48–3,110,63–3,471,11–6,58
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,100,17sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,280,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,420,00–0,80
Parade portar
30%
17%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,443,165,60sigur1,01–3,881,60–4,712,61–8,59mai sigur0,62–4,271,18–5,141,79–9,40
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,43 0,46–2,40 0,21–2,65 | 1,08 0,22–1,93 0,00–2,16 | 2,51 0,68–4,33 0,20–4,81 | 45% 26% 28% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,01 3,15–6,87 2,66–7,36 | 3,59 1,85–5,33 1,38–5,80 | 8,60 4,99–12,20 4,04–13,16 | 62% 25% |
| Total șuturi | 15,89 11,96–19,81 10,87–20,90 | 11,38 7,82–14,95 6,86–15,91 | 27,27 19,78–34,76 17,73–36,81 | 78% 17% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,36 7,42–13,31 6,59–14,14 | 7,32 4,64–10,01 3,91–10,74 | 17,69 12,07–23,31 10,50–24,88 | 73% 20% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,65 2,76–6,53 2,22–7,07 | 3,33 1,68–4,99 1,19–5,48 | 7,98 4,45–11,52 3,41–12,55 | 61% 26% |
| Cornere | 5,93 3,72–8,15 3,15–8,72 | 4,42 2,42–6,42 1,88–6,95 | 10,35 6,14–14,56 5,03–15,67 | 62% 26% |
| Posesie % | 46,53 39,74–53,32 38,07–54,99 | 53,34 46,55–60,12 44,88–61,79 | — | 32% 63% |
| Pase | 390 323–457 305–476 | 447 380–513 363–531 | 837 703–971 667–1006 | 32% 68% |
| Precizie pase % | 69,00 64,97–73,03 63,68–74,32 | 73,94 69,62–78,26 68,31–79,57 | — | 24% 72% |
| Faulturi | 11,98 9,14–14,81 8,38–15,57 | 12,23 9,29–15,18 8,54–15,93 | 24,21 18,43–29,99 16,92–31,50 | 44% 48% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,64 0,47–2,80 0,17–3,10 | 1,24 0,15–2,34 0,00–2,63 | 2,88 0,63–5,13 0,04–5,72 | 47% 24% 29% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,80 0,75–2,84 0,48–3,11 | 2,05 0,92–3,18 0,63–3,47 | 3,85 1,67–6,02 1,11–6,58 | 35% 21% 44% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,10 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,42 | 0,17 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,44 1,01–3,88 0,62–4,27 | 3,16 1,60–4,71 1,18–5,14 | 5,60 2,61–8,59 1,79–9,40 | 30% 17% 53% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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