Premier League·Etapa 35·
Premier League·Etapa 35·Statistici estimate
Goluri
42%
27%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,351,132,48sigur0,39–2,320,28–1,990,66–4,31mai sigur0,13–2,570,05–2,210,18–4,79
Șuturi pe poartă
55%
13%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,803,908,70sigur2,94–6,662,16–5,645,10–12,31mai sigur2,45–7,151,69–6,114,14–13,26
Total șuturi
70%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,8111,6026,41sigur10,88–18,738,04–15,1618,92–33,90mai sigur9,79–19,827,08–16,1216,87–35,95
Șuturi din careu
62%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,427,6517,08sigur6,48–12,364,97–10,3411,45–22,70mai sigur5,65–13,194,24–11,079,89–24,27
Șuturi blocate
64%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,563,087,63sigur2,67–6,441,42–4,734,10–11,17mai sigur2,13–6,980,93–5,223,06–12,20
Cornere
53%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,304,589,88sigur3,09–7,512,58–6,585,67–14,09mai sigur2,51–8,092,04–7,114,56–15,20
Posesie %
42%
53%
gazdeoaspețipredicție48,8751,18sigur42,08–55,6644,39–57,96mai sigur40,41–57,3342,72–59,63
Pase
47%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție430439869sigur363–497373–506736–1003mai sigur345–516355–523700–1039
Precizie pase %
28%
68%
gazdeoaspețipredicție66,7670,81sigur62,74–70,7966,49–75,14mai sigur61,44–72,0965,18–76,45
Faulturi
46%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,2111,2022,41sigur8,37–14,058,25–14,1416,63–28,19mai sigur7,62–14,807,51–14,8915,12–29,70
Ofsaiduri
26%
22%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,382,023,40sigur0,22–2,540,93–3,121,15–5,66mai sigur0,00–2,840,64–3,400,56–6,25
Cartonașe galbene
32%
23%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,461,793,25sigur0,42–2,510,66–2,921,08–5,43mai sigur0,15–2,780,37–3,210,52–5,99
Cartonașe roșii
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,080,15sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,270,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,400,00–0,78
Parade portar
30%
16%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,593,395,98sigur1,16–4,031,83–4,942,99–8,97mai sigur0,77–4,421,41–5,372,17–9,78
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,35 0,39–2,32 0,13–2,57 | 1,13 0,28–1,99 0,05–2,21 | 2,48 0,66–4,31 0,18–4,79 | 42% 27% 31% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,80 2,94–6,66 2,45–7,15 | 3,90 2,16–5,64 1,69–6,11 | 8,70 5,10–12,31 4,14–13,26 | 55% 13% 32% |
| Total șuturi | 14,81 10,88–18,73 9,79–19,82 | 11,60 8,04–15,16 7,08–16,12 | 26,41 18,92–33,90 16,87–35,95 | 70% 23% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,42 6,48–12,36 5,65–13,19 | 7,65 4,97–10,34 4,24–11,07 | 17,08 11,45–22,70 9,89–24,27 | 62% 29% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,56 2,67–6,44 2,13–6,98 | 3,08 1,42–4,73 0,93–5,22 | 7,63 4,10–11,17 3,06–12,20 | 64% 23% |
| Cornere | 5,30 3,09–7,51 2,51–8,09 | 4,58 2,58–6,58 2,04–7,11 | 9,88 5,67–14,09 4,56–15,20 | 53% 35% |
| Posesie % | 48,87 42,08–55,66 40,41–57,33 | 51,18 44,39–57,96 42,72–59,63 | — | 42% 53% |
| Pase | 430 363–497 345–516 | 439 373–506 355–523 | 869 736–1003 700–1039 | 47% 53% |
| Precizie pase % | 66,76 62,74–70,79 61,44–72,09 | 70,81 66,49–75,14 65,18–76,45 | — | 28% 68% |
| Faulturi | 11,21 8,37–14,05 7,62–14,80 | 11,20 8,25–14,14 7,51–14,89 | 22,41 16,63–28,19 15,12–29,70 | 46% 46% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,38 0,22–2,54 0,00–2,84 | 2,02 0,93–3,12 0,64–3,40 | 3,40 1,15–5,66 0,56–6,25 | 26% 22% 52% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,46 0,42–2,51 0,15–2,78 | 1,79 0,66–2,92 0,37–3,21 | 3,25 1,08–5,43 0,52–5,99 | 32% 23% 45% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,15 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,78 | 87% |
| Parade portar | 2,59 1,16–4,03 0,77–4,42 | 3,39 1,83–4,94 1,41–5,37 | 5,98 2,99–8,97 2,17–9,78 | 30% 16% 55% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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