Premier League·Etapa 37·
Premier League·Etapa 37·Statistici estimate
Goluri
72%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,550,953,50sigur1,58–3,510,10–1,811,68–5,32mai sigur1,33–3,760,00–2,041,20–5,80
Șuturi pe poartă
77%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,633,7810,41sigur4,77–8,492,04–5,526,80–14,01mai sigur4,28–8,981,57–5,995,85–14,97
Total șuturi
91%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție17,6110,0427,65sigur13,69–21,546,48–13,6020,16–35,14mai sigur12,59–22,635,52–14,5618,11–37,19
Șuturi din careu
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,856,9318,78sigur8,91–14,794,25–9,6113,16–24,41mai sigur8,08–15,623,52–10,3511,59–25,97
Șuturi blocate
75%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,572,306,86sigur2,69–6,450,64–3,953,33–10,40mai sigur2,14–6,990,15–4,442,29–11,44
Cornere
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,723,5210,24sigur4,50–8,931,52–5,526,02–14,45mai sigur3,93–9,500,99–6,054,92–15,56
Posesie %
94%
gazdeoaspețipredicție63,3436,71sigur56,55–70,1329,93–43,50mai sigur54,88–71,8028,25–45,17
Pase
99%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție634357991sigur567–701291–424858–1125mai sigur549–719273–441822–1161
Precizie pase %
86%
gazdeoaspețipredicție82,0673,21sigur78,03–86,0868,89–77,54mai sigur76,73–87,3867,58–78,85
Faulturi
41%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,9711,5122,48sigur8,13–13,818,56–14,4516,70–28,26mai sigur7,38–14,577,81–15,2015,19–29,77
Ofsaiduri
47%
18%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,802,435,23sigur1,64–3,961,34–3,532,98–7,49mai sigur1,34–4,261,05–3,812,39–8,08
Cartonașe galbene
31%
22%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,501,873,37sigur0,45–2,550,74–3,001,20–5,55mai sigur0,19–2,820,45–3,290,64–6,11
Cartonașe roșii
89%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,080,12sigur0,00–0,210,00–0,260,00–0,47mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,400,00–0,75
Parade portar
22%
14%
64%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,453,846,29sigur1,02–3,892,29–5,403,30–9,29mai sigur0,63–4,281,86–5,822,49–10,10
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,55 1,58–3,51 1,33–3,76 | 0,95 0,10–1,81 0,00–2,04 | 3,50 1,68–5,32 1,20–5,80 | 72% 16% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,63 4,77–8,49 4,28–8,98 | 3,78 2,04–5,52 1,57–5,99 | 10,41 6,80–14,01 5,85–14,97 | 77% 15% |
| Total șuturi | 17,61 13,69–21,54 12,59–22,63 | 10,04 6,48–13,60 5,52–14,56 | 27,65 20,16–35,14 18,11–37,19 | 91% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,85 8,91–14,79 8,08–15,62 | 6,93 4,25–9,61 3,52–10,35 | 18,78 13,16–24,41 11,59–25,97 | 85% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,57 2,69–6,45 2,14–6,99 | 2,30 0,64–3,95 0,15–4,44 | 6,86 3,33–10,40 2,29–11,44 | 75% 14% |
| Cornere | 6,72 4,50–8,93 3,93–9,50 | 3,52 1,52–5,52 0,99–6,05 | 10,24 6,02–14,45 4,92–15,56 | 80% |
| Posesie % | 63,34 56,55–70,13 54,88–71,80 | 36,71 29,93–43,50 28,25–45,17 | — | 94% |
| Pase | 634 567–701 549–719 | 357 291–424 273–441 | 991 858–1125 822–1161 | 99% |
| Precizie pase % | 82,06 78,03–86,08 76,73–87,38 | 73,21 68,89–77,54 67,58–78,85 | — | 86% |
| Faulturi | 10,97 8,13–13,81 7,38–14,57 | 11,51 8,56–14,45 7,81–15,20 | 22,48 16,70–28,26 15,19–29,77 | 41% 50% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,80 1,64–3,96 1,34–4,26 | 2,43 1,34–3,53 1,05–3,81 | 5,23 2,98–7,49 2,39–8,08 | 47% 18% 35% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,50 0,45–2,55 0,19–2,82 | 1,87 0,74–3,00 0,45–3,29 | 3,37 1,20–5,55 0,64–6,11 | 31% 22% 47% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,21 0,00–0,36 | 0,08 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,40 | 0,12 0,00–0,47 0,00–0,75 | 89% |
| Parade portar | 2,45 1,02–3,89 0,63–4,28 | 3,84 2,29–5,40 1,86–5,82 | 6,29 3,30–9,29 2,49–10,10 | 22% 14% 64% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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