Premier League·Etapa 38·
Premier League·Etapa 38·Statistici estimate
Goluri
54%
24%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,731,032,76sigur0,76–2,690,18–1,890,93–4,58mai sigur0,51–2,940,00–2,110,45–5,06
Șuturi pe poartă
67%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,643,789,42sigur3,78–7,512,03–5,525,81–13,03mai sigur3,29–8,001,57–5,994,86–13,98
Total șuturi
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție17,1411,2528,38sigur13,21–21,067,68–14,8120,90–35,87mai sigur12,12–22,156,72–15,7718,85–37,92
Șuturi din careu
78%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,817,0417,85sigur7,87–13,754,36–9,7212,23–23,47mai sigur7,04–14,583,62–10,4610,66–25,04
Șuturi blocate
59%
14%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,343,197,53sigur2,46–6,221,54–4,844,00–11,07mai sigur1,91–6,771,05–5,342,96–12,10
Cornere
74%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,133,669,79sigur3,92–8,351,66–5,665,58–14,00mai sigur3,35–8,921,12–6,194,47–15,11
Posesie %
82%
15%
gazdeoaspețipredicție58,4441,64sigur51,65–65,2334,85–48,42mai sigur49,98–66,9033,18–50,09
Pase
93%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție538365903sigur471–606298–431769–1037mai sigur453–624281–449734–1073
Precizie pase %
63%
32%
gazdeoaspețipredicție73,9270,85sigur69,89–77,9566,53–75,18mai sigur68,60–79,2465,22–76,49
Faulturi
51%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,3710,7622,14sigur8,54–14,217,82–13,7116,35–27,92mai sigur7,78–14,977,07–14,4514,85–29,42
Ofsaiduri
25%
20%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,552,343,89sigur0,39–2,711,25–3,431,64–6,15mai sigur0,09–3,010,96–3,721,05–6,74
Cartonașe galbene
36%
22%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,651,783,43sigur0,60–2,700,65–2,911,25–5,61mai sigur0,33–2,960,36–3,200,69–6,16
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,080,15sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,270,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,400,00–0,78
Parade portar
29%
16%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,523,325,84sigur1,09–3,961,76–4,872,85–8,83mai sigur0,70–4,351,34–5,302,04–9,65
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,73 0,76–2,69 0,51–2,94 | 1,03 0,18–1,89 0,00–2,11 | 2,76 0,93–4,58 0,45–5,06 | 54% 24% 23% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,64 3,78–7,51 3,29–8,00 | 3,78 2,03–5,52 1,57–5,99 | 9,42 5,81–13,03 4,86–13,98 | 67% 22% |
| Total șuturi | 17,14 13,21–21,06 12,12–22,15 | 11,25 7,68–14,81 6,72–15,77 | 28,38 20,90–35,87 18,85–37,92 | 85% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,81 7,87–13,75 7,04–14,58 | 7,04 4,36–9,72 3,62–10,46 | 17,85 12,23–23,47 10,66–25,04 | 78% 15% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,34 2,46–6,22 1,91–6,77 | 3,19 1,54–4,84 1,05–5,34 | 7,53 4,00–11,07 2,96–12,10 | 59% 14% 27% |
| Cornere | 6,13 3,92–8,35 3,35–8,92 | 3,66 1,66–5,66 1,12–6,19 | 9,79 5,58–14,00 4,47–15,11 | 74% 17% |
| Posesie % | 58,44 51,65–65,23 49,98–66,90 | 41,64 34,85–48,42 33,18–50,09 | — | 82% 15% |
| Pase | 538 471–606 453–624 | 365 298–431 281–449 | 903 769–1037 734–1073 | 93% |
| Precizie pase % | 73,92 69,89–77,95 68,60–79,24 | 70,85 66,53–75,18 65,22–76,49 | — | 63% 32% |
| Faulturi | 11,37 8,54–14,21 7,78–14,97 | 10,76 7,82–13,71 7,07–14,45 | 22,14 16,35–27,92 14,85–29,42 | 51% 41% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,55 0,39–2,71 0,09–3,01 | 2,34 1,25–3,43 0,96–3,72 | 3,89 1,64–6,15 1,05–6,74 | 25% 20% 55% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,65 0,60–2,70 0,33–2,96 | 1,78 0,65–2,91 0,36–3,20 | 3,43 1,25–5,61 0,69–6,16 | 36% 22% 42% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,15 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,78 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,52 1,09–3,96 0,70–4,35 | 3,32 1,76–4,87 1,34–5,30 | 5,84 2,85–8,83 2,04–9,65 | 29% 16% 55% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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