Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 8·
Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 8·Statistici estimate
Goluri
42%
26%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,381,172,55sigur0,41–2,350,31–2,020,73–4,37mai sigur0,16–2,600,09–2,250,25–4,85
Șuturi pe poartă
51%
13%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,664,118,77sigur2,80–6,522,36–5,855,16–12,37mai sigur2,31–7,011,90–6,314,21–13,33
Total șuturi
58%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,0813,5028,58sigur11,15–19,009,93–17,0621,09–36,06mai sigur10,06–20,108,97–18,0219,04–38,11
Șuturi din careu
52%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,158,4817,63sigur6,21–12,105,80–11,1612,01–23,25mai sigur5,38–12,935,06–11,8910,44–24,82
Șuturi blocate
54%
14%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,163,347,49sigur2,27–6,041,68–4,993,96–11,03mai sigur1,73–6,581,19–5,482,92–12,06
Cornere
56%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,464,499,95sigur3,25–7,672,49–6,495,74–14,17mai sigur2,67–8,251,96–7,034,63–15,27
Posesie %
49%
46%
gazdeoaspețipredicție50,5149,93sigur43,72–57,3043,15–56,72mai sigur42,05–58,9741,48–58,39
Pase
55%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție469452921sigur401–536386–519787–1055mai sigur383–554368–536752–1090
Precizie pase %
24%
72%
gazdeoaspețipredicție66,5371,54sigur62,50–70,5667,22–75,87mai sigur61,21–71,8665,91–77,18
Faulturi
50%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,6011,1022,70sigur8,76–14,448,16–14,0416,92–28,48mai sigur8,01–15,197,41–14,7915,41–29,99
Ofsaiduri
46%
20%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,191,854,04sigur1,03–3,350,76–2,941,79–6,29mai sigur0,73–3,650,47–3,231,20–6,88
Cartonașe galbene
40%
21%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,881,863,74sigur0,83–2,930,73–2,991,56–5,92mai sigur0,56–3,200,44–3,281,01–6,48
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,090,17sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,270,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,410,00–0,80
Parade portar
33%
16%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,803,396,19sigur1,36–4,231,84–4,953,20–9,18mai sigur0,97–4,621,41–5,372,39–9,99
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,38 0,41–2,35 0,16–2,60 | 1,17 0,31–2,02 0,09–2,25 | 2,55 0,73–4,37 0,25–4,85 | 42% 26% 32% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,66 2,80–6,52 2,31–7,01 | 4,11 2,36–5,85 1,90–6,31 | 8,77 5,16–12,37 4,21–13,33 | 51% 13% 36% |
| Total șuturi | 15,08 11,15–19,00 10,06–20,10 | 13,50 9,93–17,06 8,97–18,02 | 28,58 21,09–36,06 19,04–38,11 | 58% 35% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,15 6,21–12,10 5,38–12,93 | 8,48 5,80–11,16 5,06–11,89 | 17,63 12,01–23,25 10,44–24,82 | 52% 39% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,16 2,27–6,04 1,73–6,58 | 3,34 1,68–4,99 1,19–5,48 | 7,49 3,96–11,03 2,92–12,06 | 54% 14% 31% |
| Cornere | 5,46 3,25–7,67 2,67–8,25 | 4,49 2,49–6,49 1,96–7,03 | 9,95 5,74–14,17 4,63–15,27 | 56% 32% |
| Posesie % | 50,51 43,72–57,30 42,05–58,97 | 49,93 43,15–56,72 41,48–58,39 | — | 49% 46% |
| Pase | 469 401–536 383–554 | 452 386–519 368–536 | 921 787–1055 752–1090 | 55% 44% |
| Precizie pase % | 66,53 62,50–70,56 61,21–71,86 | 71,54 67,22–75,87 65,91–77,18 | — | 24% 72% |
| Faulturi | 11,60 8,76–14,44 8,01–15,19 | 11,10 8,16–14,04 7,41–14,79 | 22,70 16,92–28,48 15,41–29,99 | 50% 42% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,19 1,03–3,35 0,73–3,65 | 1,85 0,76–2,94 0,47–3,23 | 4,04 1,79–6,29 1,20–6,88 | 46% 20% 33% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,88 0,83–2,93 0,56–3,20 | 1,86 0,73–2,99 0,44–3,28 | 3,74 1,56–5,92 1,01–6,48 | 40% 21% 39% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,09 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,41 | 0,17 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,80 1,36–4,23 0,97–4,62 | 3,39 1,84–4,95 1,41–5,37 | 6,19 3,20–9,18 2,39–9,99 | 33% 16% 51% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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