Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 8·
Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 8·Statistici estimate
Goluri
30%
25%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,251,612,86sigur0,29–2,220,76–2,461,04–4,69mai sigur0,03–2,470,53–2,690,56–5,17
Șuturi pe poartă
27%
61%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,135,509,63sigur2,27–5,993,76–7,246,03–13,24mai sigur1,78–6,483,29–7,715,07–14,19
Total șuturi
31%
62%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,4114,5026,91sigur8,49–16,3410,94–18,0619,43–34,40mai sigur7,40–17,439,98–19,0217,38–36,45
Șuturi din careu
25%
66%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,7710,0617,83sigur4,83–10,727,38–12,7412,21–23,45mai sigur4,00–11,556,64–13,4810,64–25,02
Șuturi blocate
35%
15%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,474,037,51sigur1,59–5,362,38–5,693,97–11,04mai sigur1,05–5,901,89–6,182,94–12,08
Cornere
45%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,355,2110,56sigur3,14–7,563,21–7,216,35–14,78mai sigur2,56–8,142,68–7,755,24–15,88
Posesie %
28%
68%
gazdeoaspețipredicție46,2855,12sigur39,48–53,0748,33–61,90mai sigur37,82–54,7446,66–63,57
Pase
24%
76%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție403487890sigur336–470420–553756–1024mai sigur318–489403–571721–1059
Precizie pase %
85%
gazdeoaspețipredicție66,9475,36sigur62,92–70,9771,03–79,68mai sigur61,62–72,2769,72–80,99
Faulturi
34%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,2312,8124,03sigur8,39–14,069,86–15,7518,25–29,82mai sigur7,63–14,829,11–16,5016,75–31,32
Ofsaiduri
44%
22%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,921,673,59sigur0,76–3,080,58–2,761,34–5,84mai sigur0,46–3,380,29–3,050,75–6,43
Cartonașe galbene
35%
21%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,741,973,72sigur0,69–2,790,85–3,101,54–5,90mai sigur0,43–3,060,55–3,390,98–6,45
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,090,17sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,270,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,410,00–0,80
Parade portar
55%
16%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,462,646,10sigur2,02–4,891,09–4,203,11–9,09mai sigur1,63–5,280,66–4,632,30–9,91
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,25 0,29–2,22 0,03–2,47 | 1,61 0,76–2,46 0,53–2,69 | 2,86 1,04–4,69 0,56–5,17 | 30% 25% 46% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,13 2,27–5,99 1,78–6,48 | 5,50 3,76–7,24 3,29–7,71 | 9,63 6,03–13,24 5,07–14,19 | 27% 61% |
| Total șuturi | 12,41 8,49–16,34 7,40–17,43 | 14,50 10,94–18,06 9,98–19,02 | 26,91 19,43–34,40 17,38–36,45 | 31% 62% |
| Șuturi din careu | 7,77 4,83–10,72 4,00–11,55 | 10,06 7,38–12,74 6,64–13,48 | 17,83 12,21–23,45 10,64–25,02 | 25% 66% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,47 1,59–5,36 1,05–5,90 | 4,03 2,38–5,69 1,89–6,18 | 7,51 3,97–11,04 2,94–12,08 | 35% 15% 51% |
| Cornere | 5,35 3,14–7,56 2,56–8,14 | 5,21 3,21–7,21 2,68–7,75 | 10,56 6,35–14,78 5,24–15,88 | 45% 42% |
| Posesie % | 46,28 39,48–53,07 37,82–54,74 | 55,12 48,33–61,90 46,66–63,57 | — | 28% 68% |
| Pase | 403 336–470 318–489 | 487 420–553 403–571 | 890 756–1024 721–1059 | 24% 76% |
| Precizie pase % | 66,94 62,92–70,97 61,62–72,27 | 75,36 71,03–79,68 69,72–80,99 | — | 85% |
| Faulturi | 11,23 8,39–14,06 7,63–14,82 | 12,81 9,86–15,75 9,11–16,50 | 24,03 18,25–29,82 16,75–31,32 | 34% 59% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,92 0,76–3,08 0,46–3,38 | 1,67 0,58–2,76 0,29–3,05 | 3,59 1,34–5,84 0,75–6,43 | 44% 22% 34% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,74 0,69–2,79 0,43–3,06 | 1,97 0,85–3,10 0,55–3,39 | 3,72 1,54–5,90 0,98–6,45 | 35% 21% 44% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,09 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,41 | 0,17 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 3,46 2,02–4,89 1,63–5,28 | 2,64 1,09–4,20 0,66–4,63 | 6,10 3,11–9,09 2,30–9,91 | 55% 16% 29% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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