Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 8·
Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 8·Statistici estimate
Goluri
34%
26%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,261,382,64sigur0,29–2,230,53–2,240,82–4,46mai sigur0,04–2,480,30–2,460,34–4,94
Șuturi pe poartă
48%
14%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,323,998,31sigur2,46–6,182,25–5,734,71–11,92mai sigur1,97–6,671,78–6,203,75–12,87
Total șuturi
51%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,9012,3125,21sigur8,98–16,838,75–15,8717,72–32,70mai sigur7,89–17,927,79–16,8315,67–34,75
Șuturi din careu
40%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,018,5316,54sigur5,07–10,965,85–11,2110,92–22,17mai sigur4,24–11,795,11–11,959,35–23,73
Șuturi blocate
54%
15%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,933,187,11sigur2,05–5,811,53–4,833,57–10,64mai sigur1,50–6,351,04–5,332,54–11,68
Cornere
45%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,185,1110,29sigur2,97–7,403,11–7,116,08–14,51mai sigur2,40–7,972,58–7,644,97–15,61
Posesie %
55%
41%
gazdeoaspețipredicție51,4148,43sigur44,62–58,2041,65–55,22mai sigur42,95–59,8739,98–56,89
Pase
66%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție472420892sigur405–539354–487759–1026mai sigur386–557336–504723–1062
Precizie pase %
32%
63%
gazdeoaspețipredicție65,6168,64sigur61,58–69,6464,32–72,97mai sigur60,29–70,9363,01–74,28
Faulturi
27%
66%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,4713,0023,46sigur7,63–13,3010,05–15,9417,68–29,24mai sigur6,87–14,069,30–16,6916,18–30,75
Ofsaiduri
27%
21%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,462,053,51sigur0,30–2,620,96–3,151,26–5,76mai sigur0,00–2,920,67–3,440,67–6,35
Cartonașe galbene
29%
20%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,752,314,06sigur0,70–2,801,18–3,441,89–6,24mai sigur0,44–3,070,89–3,731,33–6,80
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,110,19sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,290,00–0,54mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,430,00–0,82
Parade portar
37%
17%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,843,155,99sigur1,41–4,281,60–4,713,00–8,99mai sigur1,02–4,671,17–5,132,19–9,80
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,26 0,29–2,23 0,04–2,48 | 1,38 0,53–2,24 0,30–2,46 | 2,64 0,82–4,46 0,34–4,94 | 34% 26% 40% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,32 2,46–6,18 1,97–6,67 | 3,99 2,25–5,73 1,78–6,20 | 8,31 4,71–11,92 3,75–12,87 | 48% 14% 39% |
| Total șuturi | 12,90 8,98–16,83 7,89–17,92 | 12,31 8,75–15,87 7,79–16,83 | 25,21 17,72–32,70 15,67–34,75 | 51% 41% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,01 5,07–10,96 4,24–11,79 | 8,53 5,85–11,21 5,11–11,95 | 16,54 10,92–22,17 9,35–23,73 | 40% 50% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,93 2,05–5,81 1,50–6,35 | 3,18 1,53–4,83 1,04–5,33 | 7,11 3,57–10,64 2,54–11,68 | 54% 15% 32% |
| Cornere | 5,18 2,97–7,40 2,40–7,97 | 5,11 3,11–7,11 2,58–7,64 | 10,29 6,08–14,51 4,97–15,61 | 45% 43% |
| Posesie % | 51,41 44,62–58,20 42,95–59,87 | 48,43 41,65–55,22 39,98–56,89 | — | 55% 41% |
| Pase | 472 405–539 386–557 | 420 354–487 336–504 | 892 759–1026 723–1062 | 66% 33% |
| Precizie pase % | 65,61 61,58–69,64 60,29–70,93 | 68,64 64,32–72,97 63,01–74,28 | — | 32% 63% |
| Faulturi | 10,47 7,63–13,30 6,87–14,06 | 13,00 10,05–15,94 9,30–16,69 | 23,46 17,68–29,24 16,18–30,75 | 27% 66% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,46 0,30–2,62 0,00–2,92 | 2,05 0,96–3,15 0,67–3,44 | 3,51 1,26–5,76 0,67–6,35 | 27% 21% 51% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,75 0,70–2,80 0,44–3,07 | 2,31 1,18–3,44 0,89–3,73 | 4,06 1,89–6,24 1,33–6,80 | 29% 20% 51% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,11 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,43 | 0,19 0,00–0,54 0,00–0,82 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 2,84 1,41–4,28 1,02–4,67 | 3,15 1,60–4,71 1,17–5,13 | 5,99 3,00–8,99 2,19–9,80 | 37% 17% 47% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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