Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 9·
Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 9·Statistici estimate
Goluri
51%
24%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,671,082,75sigur0,70–2,640,23–1,930,92–4,57mai sigur0,45–2,890,00–2,160,45–5,05
Șuturi pe poartă
62%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,063,648,70sigur3,20–6,921,90–5,395,10–12,31mai sigur2,71–7,411,44–5,854,14–13,26
Total șuturi
81%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,0511,0627,12sigur12,13–19,987,50–14,6319,63–34,60mai sigur11,04–21,076,54–15,5917,58–36,65
Șuturi din careu
74%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,637,4518,08sigur7,69–13,574,77–10,1312,46–23,70mai sigur6,86–14,404,03–10,8710,89–25,27
Șuturi blocate
56%
14%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,413,487,89sigur2,53–6,291,82–5,134,35–11,42mai sigur1,99–6,841,33–5,623,32–12,46
Cornere
62%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,834,3710,20sigur3,62–8,052,37–6,375,99–14,42mai sigur3,05–8,621,84–6,904,88–15,52
Posesie %
42%
53%
gazdeoaspețipredicție48,9351,17sigur42,14–55,7244,39–57,96mai sigur40,47–57,3942,71–59,63
Pase
45%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție426442868sigur359–494375–508735–1002mai sigur341–512358–526699–1038
Precizie pase %
14%
83%
gazdeoaspețipredicție62,0069,89sigur57,97–66,0365,57–74,22mai sigur56,67–67,3264,26–75,53
Faulturi
57%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,6511,2923,94sigur9,82–15,498,34–14,2318,16–29,72mai sigur9,06–16,257,59–14,9816,66–31,23
Ofsaiduri
27%
19%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,762,464,22sigur0,60–2,921,37–3,551,97–6,47mai sigur0,30–3,221,08–3,841,38–7,06
Cartonașe galbene
45%
21%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,051,773,82sigur1,00–3,100,64–2,891,64–6,00mai sigur0,74–3,370,35–3,191,08–6,55
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,080,17sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,270,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,400,00–0,80
Parade portar
26%
16%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,423,415,83sigur0,98–3,851,86–4,972,84–8,82mai sigur0,59–4,241,43–5,392,02–9,63
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,67 0,70–2,64 0,45–2,89 | 1,08 0,23–1,93 0,00–2,16 | 2,75 0,92–4,57 0,45–5,05 | 51% 24% 25% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,06 3,20–6,92 2,71–7,41 | 3,64 1,90–5,39 1,44–5,85 | 8,70 5,10–12,31 4,14–13,26 | 62% 26% |
| Total șuturi | 16,05 12,13–19,98 11,04–21,07 | 11,06 7,50–14,63 6,54–15,59 | 27,12 19,63–34,60 17,58–36,65 | 81% 14% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,63 7,69–13,57 6,86–14,40 | 7,45 4,77–10,13 4,03–10,87 | 18,08 12,46–23,70 10,89–25,27 | 74% 19% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,41 2,53–6,29 1,99–6,84 | 3,48 1,82–5,13 1,33–5,62 | 7,89 4,35–11,42 3,32–12,46 | 56% 14% 30% |
| Cornere | 5,83 3,62–8,05 3,05–8,62 | 4,37 2,37–6,37 1,84–6,90 | 10,20 5,99–14,42 4,88–15,52 | 62% 27% |
| Posesie % | 48,93 42,14–55,72 40,47–57,39 | 51,17 44,39–57,96 42,71–59,63 | — | 42% 53% |
| Pase | 426 359–494 341–512 | 442 375–508 358–526 | 868 735–1002 699–1038 | 45% 55% |
| Precizie pase % | 62,00 57,97–66,03 56,67–67,32 | 69,89 65,57–74,22 64,26–75,53 | — | 14% 83% |
| Faulturi | 12,65 9,82–15,49 9,06–16,25 | 11,29 8,34–14,23 7,59–14,98 | 23,94 18,16–29,72 16,66–31,23 | 57% 35% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,76 0,60–2,92 0,30–3,22 | 2,46 1,37–3,55 1,08–3,84 | 4,22 1,97–6,47 1,38–7,06 | 27% 19% 53% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,05 1,00–3,10 0,74–3,37 | 1,77 0,64–2,89 0,35–3,19 | 3,82 1,64–6,00 1,08–6,55 | 45% 21% 34% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,17 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,42 0,98–3,85 0,59–4,24 | 3,41 1,86–4,97 1,43–5,39 | 5,83 2,84–8,82 2,02–9,63 | 26% 16% 58% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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