Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 9·
Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 9·Statistici estimate
Goluri
60%
23%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,800,852,65sigur0,83–2,760,00–1,700,82–4,47mai sigur0,58–3,010,00–1,930,34–4,95
Șuturi pe poartă
78%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,993,139,13sigur4,13–7,851,39–4,885,52–12,73mai sigur3,64–8,340,92–5,344,57–13,69
Total șuturi
89%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,589,8926,47sigur12,66–20,516,33–13,4618,99–33,96mai sigur11,56–21,605,37–14,4216,94–36,01
Șuturi din careu
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,326,3217,63sigur8,37–14,263,64–9,0012,01–23,26mai sigur7,55–15,092,90–9,7310,44–24,82
Șuturi blocate
68%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,592,817,40sigur2,71–6,471,15–4,463,86–10,93mai sigur2,16–7,010,66–4,952,83–11,97
Cornere
77%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,633,8010,43sigur4,42–8,841,80–5,806,21–14,64mai sigur3,84–9,421,27–6,335,11–15,75
Posesie %
87%
gazdeoaspețipredicție59,6740,00sigur52,88–66,4633,22–46,79mai sigur51,21–68,1331,55–48,46
Pase
96%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție550346896sigur483–617280–413763–1030mai sigur465–635262–430727–1066
Precizie pase %
73%
23%
gazdeoaspețipredicție67,6862,33sigur63,65–71,7158,01–66,66mai sigur62,36–73,0156,70–67,97
Faulturi
35%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,2212,5423,77sigur8,39–14,069,60–15,4917,98–29,55mai sigur7,63–14,828,85–16,2416,48–31,05
Ofsaiduri
43%
25%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,531,272,80sigur0,37–2,690,18–2,370,55–5,05mai sigur0,06–2,990,00–2,660,00–5,64
Cartonașe galbene
24%
20%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,432,273,70sigur0,38–2,481,14–3,401,52–5,88mai sigur0,12–2,750,85–3,690,96–6,44
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,120,17sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,300,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,440,00–0,80
Parade portar
19%
14%
67%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,223,846,05sigur0,78–3,652,28–5,393,06–9,05mai sigur0,39–4,041,86–5,822,25–9,86
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,80 0,83–2,76 0,58–3,01 | 0,85 0,00–1,70 0,00–1,93 | 2,65 0,82–4,47 0,34–4,95 | 60% 23% 17% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,99 4,13–7,85 3,64–8,34 | 3,13 1,39–4,88 0,92–5,34 | 9,13 5,52–12,73 4,57–13,69 | 78% |
| Total șuturi | 16,58 12,66–20,51 11,56–21,60 | 9,89 6,33–13,46 5,37–14,42 | 26,47 18,99–33,96 16,94–36,01 | 89% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,32 8,37–14,26 7,55–15,09 | 6,32 3,64–9,00 2,90–9,73 | 17,63 12,01–23,26 10,44–24,82 | 86% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,59 2,71–6,47 2,16–7,01 | 2,81 1,15–4,46 0,66–4,95 | 7,40 3,86–10,93 2,83–11,97 | 68% 20% |
| Cornere | 6,63 4,42–8,84 3,84–9,42 | 3,80 1,80–5,80 1,27–6,33 | 10,43 6,21–14,64 5,11–15,75 | 77% 15% |
| Posesie % | 59,67 52,88–66,46 51,21–68,13 | 40,00 33,22–46,79 31,55–48,46 | — | 87% |
| Pase | 550 483–617 465–635 | 346 280–413 262–430 | 896 763–1030 727–1066 | 96% |
| Precizie pase % | 67,68 63,65–71,71 62,36–73,01 | 62,33 58,01–66,66 56,70–67,97 | — | 73% 23% |
| Faulturi | 11,22 8,39–14,06 7,63–14,82 | 12,54 9,60–15,49 8,85–16,24 | 23,77 17,98–29,55 16,48–31,05 | 35% 57% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,53 0,37–2,69 0,06–2,99 | 1,27 0,18–2,37 0,00–2,66 | 2,80 0,55–5,05 0,00–5,64 | 43% 25% 32% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,43 0,38–2,48 0,12–2,75 | 2,27 1,14–3,40 0,85–3,69 | 3,70 1,52–5,88 0,96–6,44 | 24% 20% 56% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,12 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,44 | 0,17 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,22 0,78–3,65 0,39–4,04 | 3,84 2,28–5,39 1,86–5,82 | 6,05 3,06–9,05 2,25–9,86 | 19% 14% 67% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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