Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 9·
Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 9·Statistici estimate
Goluri
59%
22%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,870,962,83sigur0,90–2,840,10–1,811,01–4,65mai sigur0,65–3,090,00–2,040,53–5,13
Șuturi pe poartă
75%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,883,339,21sigur4,01–7,741,59–5,075,60–12,81mai sigur3,52–8,231,12–5,544,65–13,77
Total șuturi
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,1010,0526,15sigur12,17–20,026,49–13,6118,66–33,64mai sigur11,08–21,125,53–14,5716,61–35,69
Șuturi din careu
81%
13%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,386,3316,71sigur7,44–13,323,65–9,0111,09–22,34mai sigur6,61–14,152,91–9,759,52–23,90
Șuturi blocate
69%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,712,877,58sigur2,83–6,591,22–4,524,04–11,12mai sigur2,28–7,130,73–5,023,01–12,15
Cornere
71%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,243,9810,21sigur4,02–8,451,98–5,986,00–14,43mai sigur3,45–9,021,44–6,514,89–15,53
Posesie %
66%
29%
gazdeoaspețipredicție54,4746,33sigur47,68–61,2639,55–53,12mai sigur46,01–62,9337,87–54,79
Pase
73%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție506431937sigur439–573364–497803–1071mai sigur421–592347–515768–1106
Precizie pase %
46%
49%
gazdeoaspețipredicție68,9569,27sigur64,92–72,9864,94–73,59mai sigur63,63–74,2763,63–74,90
Faulturi
44%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,9811,2122,19sigur8,14–13,828,27–14,1616,41–27,98mai sigur7,39–14,577,52–14,9114,91–29,48
Ofsaiduri
40%
23%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,731,653,39sigur0,57–2,890,56–2,751,13–5,64mai sigur0,27–3,200,27–3,030,54–6,23
Cartonașe galbene
28%
22%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,371,883,25sigur0,32–2,420,75–3,011,07–5,43mai sigur0,06–2,690,46–3,300,51–5,98
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,100,16sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,290,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,420,00–0,79
Parade portar
20%
13%
67%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,384,006,38sigur0,95–3,822,44–5,563,39–9,38mai sigur0,56–4,212,02–5,982,58–10,19
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,87 0,90–2,84 0,65–3,09 | 0,96 0,10–1,81 0,00–2,04 | 2,83 1,01–4,65 0,53–5,13 | 59% 22% 19% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,88 4,01–7,74 3,52–8,23 | 3,33 1,59–5,07 1,12–5,54 | 9,21 5,60–12,81 4,65–13,77 | 75% 15% |
| Total șuturi | 16,10 12,17–20,02 11,08–21,12 | 10,05 6,49–13,61 5,53–14,57 | 26,15 18,66–33,64 16,61–35,69 | 86% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,38 7,44–13,32 6,61–14,15 | 6,33 3,65–9,01 2,91–9,75 | 16,71 11,09–22,34 9,52–23,90 | 81% 13% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,71 2,83–6,59 2,28–7,13 | 2,87 1,22–4,52 0,73–5,02 | 7,58 4,04–11,12 3,01–12,15 | 69% 19% |
| Cornere | 6,24 4,02–8,45 3,45–9,02 | 3,98 1,98–5,98 1,44–6,51 | 10,21 6,00–14,43 4,89–15,53 | 71% 19% |
| Posesie % | 54,47 47,68–61,26 46,01–62,93 | 46,33 39,55–53,12 37,87–54,79 | — | 66% 29% |
| Pase | 506 439–573 421–592 | 431 364–497 347–515 | 937 803–1071 768–1106 | 73% 26% |
| Precizie pase % | 68,95 64,92–72,98 63,63–74,27 | 69,27 64,94–73,59 63,63–74,90 | — | 46% 49% |
| Faulturi | 10,98 8,14–13,82 7,39–14,57 | 11,21 8,27–14,16 7,52–14,91 | 22,19 16,41–27,98 14,91–29,48 | 44% 48% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,73 0,57–2,89 0,27–3,20 | 1,65 0,56–2,75 0,27–3,03 | 3,39 1,13–5,64 0,54–6,23 | 40% 23% 37% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,37 0,32–2,42 0,06–2,69 | 1,88 0,75–3,01 0,46–3,30 | 3,25 1,07–5,43 0,51–5,98 | 28% 22% 49% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,16 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,38 0,95–3,82 0,56–4,21 | 4,00 2,44–5,56 2,02–5,98 | 6,38 3,39–9,38 2,58–10,19 | 20% 13% 67% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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