Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 10·
Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 10·Statistici estimate
Goluri
51%
24%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,671,072,75sigur0,70–2,640,22–1,930,92–4,57mai sigur0,45–2,890,00–2,160,44–5,05
Șuturi pe poartă
63%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,193,738,92sigur3,33–7,051,99–5,475,31–12,52mai sigur2,84–7,541,52–5,944,36–13,48
Total șuturi
69%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,6611,6126,28sigur10,74–18,598,05–15,1818,79–33,76mai sigur9,65–19,687,09–16,1416,74–35,81
Șuturi din careu
67%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,717,4317,14sigur6,77–12,654,75–10,1111,51–22,76mai sigur5,94–13,484,01–10,859,95–24,33
Șuturi blocate
47%
15%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,723,427,14sigur1,84–5,601,76–5,073,60–10,67mai sigur1,30–6,151,27–5,562,57–11,71
Cornere
66%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,074,2210,29sigur3,86–8,292,22–6,226,08–14,50mai sigur3,29–8,861,68–6,754,97–15,61
Posesie %
63%
33%
gazdeoaspețipredicție53,8647,21sigur47,07–60,6540,43–54,00mai sigur45,40–62,3238,76–55,67
Pase
76%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție485401886sigur418–552335–468753–1020mai sigur400–570317–485717–1056
Precizie pase %
40%
55%
gazdeoaspețipredicție67,5468,94sigur63,51–71,5764,62–73,26mai sigur62,22–72,8663,31–74,57
Faulturi
23%
71%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,3713,5323,89sigur7,53–13,2010,58–16,4718,11–29,67mai sigur6,77–13,969,83–17,2216,61–31,18
Ofsaiduri
39%
21%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,962,013,97sigur0,80–3,120,91–3,101,71–6,22mai sigur0,50–3,420,62–3,391,12–6,81
Cartonașe galbene
30%
21%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,572,033,60sigur0,52–2,610,91–3,161,42–5,78mai sigur0,25–2,880,61–3,450,86–6,34
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,120,19sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,300,00–0,53mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,440,00–0,82
Parade portar
30%
16%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,593,315,90sigur1,15–4,031,76–4,872,91–8,90mai sigur0,77–4,411,33–5,302,10–9,71
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,67 0,70–2,64 0,45–2,89 | 1,07 0,22–1,93 0,00–2,16 | 2,75 0,92–4,57 0,44–5,05 | 51% 24% 24% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,19 3,33–7,05 2,84–7,54 | 3,73 1,99–5,47 1,52–5,94 | 8,92 5,31–12,52 4,36–13,48 | 63% 25% |
| Total șuturi | 14,66 10,74–18,59 9,65–19,68 | 11,61 8,05–15,18 7,09–16,14 | 26,28 18,79–33,76 16,74–35,81 | 69% 24% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,71 6,77–12,65 5,94–13,48 | 7,43 4,75–10,11 4,01–10,85 | 17,14 11,51–22,76 9,95–24,33 | 67% 25% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,72 1,84–5,60 1,30–6,15 | 3,42 1,76–5,07 1,27–5,56 | 7,14 3,60–10,67 2,57–11,71 | 47% 15% 38% |
| Cornere | 6,07 3,86–8,29 3,29–8,86 | 4,22 2,22–6,22 1,68–6,75 | 10,29 6,08–14,50 4,97–15,61 | 66% 23% |
| Posesie % | 53,86 47,07–60,65 45,40–62,32 | 47,21 40,43–54,00 38,76–55,67 | — | 63% 33% |
| Pase | 485 418–552 400–570 | 401 335–468 317–485 | 886 753–1020 717–1056 | 76% 24% |
| Precizie pase % | 67,54 63,51–71,57 62,22–72,86 | 68,94 64,62–73,26 63,31–74,57 | — | 40% 55% |
| Faulturi | 10,37 7,53–13,20 6,77–13,96 | 13,53 10,58–16,47 9,83–17,22 | 23,89 18,11–29,67 16,61–31,18 | 23% 71% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,96 0,80–3,12 0,50–3,42 | 2,01 0,91–3,10 0,62–3,39 | 3,97 1,71–6,22 1,12–6,81 | 39% 21% 41% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,57 0,52–2,61 0,25–2,88 | 2,03 0,91–3,16 0,61–3,45 | 3,60 1,42–5,78 0,86–6,34 | 30% 21% 49% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,12 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,44 | 0,19 0,00–0,53 0,00–0,82 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 2,59 1,15–4,03 0,77–4,41 | 3,31 1,76–4,87 1,33–5,30 | 5,90 2,91–8,90 2,10–9,71 | 30% 16% 53% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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