Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 10·
Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 10·Statistici estimate
Goluri
50%
24%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,651,102,75sigur0,69–2,620,25–1,950,93–4,58mai sigur0,43–2,870,02–2,180,45–5,06
Șuturi pe poartă
64%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,193,588,76sigur3,32–7,051,84–5,325,16–12,37mai sigur2,83–7,541,37–5,794,20–13,32
Total șuturi
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,1110,7126,82sigur12,18–20,037,15–14,2819,34–34,31mai sigur11,09–21,126,19–15,2417,28–36,36
Șuturi din careu
72%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,187,2817,46sigur7,24–13,124,60–9,9611,83–23,08mai sigur6,41–13,953,86–10,7010,27–24,65
Șuturi blocate
63%
13%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,443,047,48sigur2,56–6,321,38–4,693,94–11,01mai sigur2,02–6,870,89–5,182,91–12,05
Cornere
77%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,653,7710,42sigur4,43–8,861,77–5,776,20–14,63mai sigur3,86–9,431,24–6,305,10–15,74
Posesie %
82%
15%
gazdeoaspețipredicție57,7041,52sigur50,91–64,4934,74–48,31mai sigur49,24–66,1633,07–49,98
Pase
90%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție547392939sigur480–614325–458805–1072mai sigur462–632308–476769–1108
Precizie pase %
70%
26%
gazdeoaspețipredicție71,7367,17sigur67,70–75,7662,85–71,50mai sigur66,41–77,0561,54–72,80
Faulturi
39%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,9411,7922,73sigur8,11–13,788,84–14,7316,95–28,51mai sigur7,35–14,548,09–15,4815,44–30,02
Ofsaiduri
56%
19%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,421,573,99sigur1,26–3,580,48–2,671,74–6,25mai sigur0,96–3,880,19–2,951,15–6,84
Cartonașe galbene
28%
21%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,562,133,70sigur0,51–2,611,01–3,261,52–5,87mai sigur0,25–2,880,71–3,550,96–6,43
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,090,16sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,280,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,410,00–0,79
Parade portar
32%
16%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,703,326,03sigur1,27–4,141,77–4,883,04–9,02mai sigur0,88–4,531,34–5,302,22–9,83
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,65 0,69–2,62 0,43–2,87 | 1,10 0,25–1,95 0,02–2,18 | 2,75 0,93–4,58 0,45–5,06 | 50% 24% 25% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,19 3,32–7,05 2,83–7,54 | 3,58 1,84–5,32 1,37–5,79 | 8,76 5,16–12,37 4,20–13,32 | 64% 24% |
| Total șuturi | 16,11 12,18–20,03 11,09–21,12 | 10,71 7,15–14,28 6,19–15,24 | 26,82 19,34–34,31 17,28–36,36 | 83% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,18 7,24–13,12 6,41–13,95 | 7,28 4,60–9,96 3,86–10,70 | 17,46 11,83–23,08 10,27–24,65 | 72% 21% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,44 2,56–6,32 2,02–6,87 | 3,04 1,38–4,69 0,89–5,18 | 7,48 3,94–11,01 2,91–12,05 | 63% 13% 24% |
| Cornere | 6,65 4,43–8,86 3,86–9,43 | 3,77 1,77–5,77 1,24–6,30 | 10,42 6,20–14,63 5,10–15,74 | 77% 14% |
| Posesie % | 57,70 50,91–64,49 49,24–66,16 | 41,52 34,74–48,31 33,07–49,98 | — | 82% 15% |
| Pase | 547 480–614 462–632 | 392 325–458 308–476 | 939 805–1072 769–1108 | 90% |
| Precizie pase % | 71,73 67,70–75,76 66,41–77,05 | 67,17 62,85–71,50 61,54–72,80 | — | 70% 26% |
| Faulturi | 10,94 8,11–13,78 7,35–14,54 | 11,79 8,84–14,73 8,09–15,48 | 22,73 16,95–28,51 15,44–30,02 | 39% 53% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,42 1,26–3,58 0,96–3,88 | 1,57 0,48–2,67 0,19–2,95 | 3,99 1,74–6,25 1,15–6,84 | 56% 19% 24% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,56 0,51–2,61 0,25–2,88 | 2,13 1,01–3,26 0,71–3,55 | 3,70 1,52–5,87 0,96–6,43 | 28% 21% 51% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,16 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,70 1,27–4,14 0,88–4,53 | 3,32 1,77–4,88 1,34–5,30 | 6,03 3,04–9,02 2,22–9,83 | 32% 16% 52% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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