Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 11·
Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 11·Statistici estimate
Goluri
48%
25%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,611,162,78sigur0,65–2,580,31–2,020,96–4,60mai sigur0,39–2,830,08–2,250,48–5,08
Șuturi pe poartă
57%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,514,429,93sigur3,65–7,372,68–6,166,32–13,53mai sigur3,16–7,862,21–6,635,37–14,49
Total șuturi
70%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,5712,2627,83sigur11,64–19,498,70–15,8220,34–35,31mai sigur10,55–20,587,74–16,7818,29–37,36
Șuturi din careu
71%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,677,7618,43sigur7,73–13,615,08–10,4412,80–24,05mai sigur6,90–14,444,34–11,1811,24–25,62
Șuturi blocate
51%
14%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,333,788,12sigur2,45–6,222,13–5,444,58–11,65mai sigur1,91–6,761,64–5,933,55–12,69
Cornere
65%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,004,2910,28sigur3,78–8,212,29–6,296,07–14,50mai sigur3,21–8,791,75–6,824,96–15,60
Posesie %
35%
60%
gazdeoaspețipredicție47,6452,98sigur40,85–54,4346,20–59,77mai sigur39,18–56,1044,52–61,44
Pase
40%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție460490950sigur393–527424–557817–1084mai sigur375–545406–574781–1120
Precizie pase %
16%
81%
gazdeoaspețipredicție65,0872,33sigur61,05–69,1168,00–76,65mai sigur59,76–70,4166,69–77,96
Faulturi
47%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,9010,7021,60sigur8,06–13,737,76–13,6415,81–27,38mai sigur7,30–14,497,01–14,3914,31–28,88
Ofsaiduri
47%
23%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,761,363,12sigur0,60–2,920,26–2,450,86–5,37mai sigur0,30–3,220,00–2,740,27–5,96
Cartonașe galbene
32%
20%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,782,193,97sigur0,73–2,831,06–3,321,79–6,15mai sigur0,47–3,100,77–3,611,23–6,71
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,120,18sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,310,00–0,53mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,440,00–0,81
Parade portar
31%
15%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,833,576,39sigur1,39–4,262,01–5,123,40–9,38mai sigur1,00–4,651,59–5,552,59–10,20
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,61 0,65–2,58 0,39–2,83 | 1,16 0,31–2,02 0,08–2,25 | 2,78 0,96–4,60 0,48–5,08 | 48% 25% 28% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,51 3,65–7,37 3,16–7,86 | 4,42 2,68–6,16 2,21–6,63 | 9,93 6,32–13,53 5,37–14,49 | 57% 31% |
| Total șuturi | 15,57 11,64–19,49 10,55–20,58 | 12,26 8,70–15,82 7,74–16,78 | 27,83 20,34–35,31 18,29–37,36 | 70% 23% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,67 7,73–13,61 6,90–14,44 | 7,76 5,08–10,44 4,34–11,18 | 18,43 12,80–24,05 11,24–25,62 | 71% 21% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,33 2,45–6,22 1,91–6,76 | 3,78 2,13–5,44 1,64–5,93 | 8,12 4,58–11,65 3,55–12,69 | 51% 14% 35% |
| Cornere | 6,00 3,78–8,21 3,21–8,79 | 4,29 2,29–6,29 1,75–6,82 | 10,28 6,07–14,50 4,96–15,60 | 65% 24% |
| Posesie % | 47,64 40,85–54,43 39,18–56,10 | 52,98 46,20–59,77 44,52–61,44 | — | 35% 60% |
| Pase | 460 393–527 375–545 | 490 424–557 406–574 | 950 817–1084 781–1120 | 40% 60% |
| Precizie pase % | 65,08 61,05–69,11 59,76–70,41 | 72,33 68,00–76,65 66,69–77,96 | — | 16% 81% |
| Faulturi | 10,90 8,06–13,73 7,30–14,49 | 10,70 7,76–13,64 7,01–14,39 | 21,60 15,81–27,38 14,31–28,88 | 47% 44% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,76 0,60–2,92 0,30–3,22 | 1,36 0,26–2,45 0,00–2,74 | 3,12 0,86–5,37 0,27–5,96 | 47% 23% 30% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,78 0,73–2,83 0,47–3,10 | 2,19 1,06–3,32 0,77–3,61 | 3,97 1,79–6,15 1,23–6,71 | 32% 20% 48% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,12 0,00–0,31 0,00–0,44 | 0,18 0,00–0,53 0,00–0,81 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 2,83 1,39–4,26 1,00–4,65 | 3,57 2,01–5,12 1,59–5,55 | 6,39 3,40–9,38 2,59–10,20 | 31% 15% 54% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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