Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 11·
Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 11·Statistici estimate
Goluri
54%
23%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,771,052,82sigur0,80–2,740,20–1,911,00–4,64mai sigur0,55–2,990,00–2,130,52–5,12
Șuturi pe poartă
64%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,323,749,06sigur3,46–7,182,00–5,485,45–12,66mai sigur2,97–7,671,53–5,954,50–13,62
Total șuturi
75%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,8310,9025,73sigur10,90–18,757,34–14,4618,24–33,21mai sigur9,81–19,846,38–15,4216,19–35,26
Șuturi din careu
72%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,047,0917,13sigur7,10–12,984,41–9,7711,51–22,75mai sigur6,27–13,813,67–10,519,94–24,32
Șuturi blocate
47%
15%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,013,707,71sigur2,12–5,892,05–5,364,18–11,25mai sigur1,58–6,431,56–5,853,14–12,28
Cornere
70%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,083,9410,02sigur3,87–8,291,94–5,945,81–14,23mai sigur3,29–8,871,41–6,474,70–15,34
Posesie %
53%
43%
gazdeoaspețipredicție51,7749,67sigur44,98–58,5642,89–56,46mai sigur43,31–60,2341,21–58,13
Pase
62%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție495459954sigur428–562392–525820–1087mai sigur409–580375–543784–1123
Precizie pase %
37%
58%
gazdeoaspețipredicție68,6270,72sigur64,59–72,6566,40–75,05mai sigur63,30–73,9465,09–76,35
Faulturi
34%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,2311,7221,95sigur7,39–13,078,77–14,6616,16–27,73mai sigur6,64–13,828,02–15,4114,66–29,23
Ofsaiduri
40%
21%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,901,893,78sigur0,74–3,060,79–2,981,53–6,04mai sigur0,44–3,360,50–3,270,94–6,63
Cartonașe galbene
31%
23%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,431,763,19sigur0,38–2,480,63–2,891,01–5,37mai sigur0,12–2,750,34–3,180,45–5,93
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,110,18sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,300,00–0,53mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,430,00–0,81
Parade portar
29%
16%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,573,405,97sigur1,14–4,011,84–4,952,98–8,96mai sigur0,75–4,401,41–5,382,16–9,77
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,77 0,80–2,74 0,55–2,99 | 1,05 0,20–1,91 0,00–2,13 | 2,82 1,00–4,64 0,52–5,12 | 54% 23% 22% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,32 3,46–7,18 2,97–7,67 | 3,74 2,00–5,48 1,53–5,95 | 9,06 5,45–12,66 4,50–13,62 | 64% 24% |
| Total șuturi | 14,83 10,90–18,75 9,81–19,84 | 10,90 7,34–14,46 6,38–15,42 | 25,73 18,24–33,21 16,19–35,26 | 75% 19% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,04 7,10–12,98 6,27–13,81 | 7,09 4,41–9,77 3,67–10,51 | 17,13 11,51–22,75 9,94–24,32 | 72% 20% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,01 2,12–5,89 1,58–6,43 | 3,70 2,05–5,36 1,56–5,85 | 7,71 4,18–11,25 3,14–12,28 | 47% 15% 38% |
| Cornere | 6,08 3,87–8,29 3,29–8,87 | 3,94 1,94–5,94 1,41–6,47 | 10,02 5,81–14,23 4,70–15,34 | 70% 20% |
| Posesie % | 51,77 44,98–58,56 43,31–60,23 | 49,67 42,89–56,46 41,21–58,13 | — | 53% 43% |
| Pase | 495 428–562 409–580 | 459 392–525 375–543 | 954 820–1087 784–1123 | 62% 38% |
| Precizie pase % | 68,62 64,59–72,65 63,30–73,94 | 70,72 66,40–75,05 65,09–76,35 | — | 37% 58% |
| Faulturi | 10,23 7,39–13,07 6,64–13,82 | 11,72 8,77–14,66 8,02–15,41 | 21,95 16,16–27,73 14,66–29,23 | 34% 58% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,90 0,74–3,06 0,44–3,36 | 1,89 0,79–2,98 0,50–3,27 | 3,78 1,53–6,04 0,94–6,63 | 40% 21% 39% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,43 0,38–2,48 0,12–2,75 | 1,76 0,63–2,89 0,34–3,18 | 3,19 1,01–5,37 0,45–5,93 | 31% 23% 45% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,11 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,43 | 0,18 0,00–0,53 0,00–0,81 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 2,57 1,14–4,01 0,75–4,40 | 3,40 1,84–4,95 1,41–5,38 | 5,97 2,98–8,96 2,16–9,77 | 29% 16% 55% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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