Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 12·
Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 12·Statistici estimate
Goluri
18%
21%
61%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,992,013,00sigur0,02–1,961,15–2,861,17–4,82mai sigur0,00–2,210,93–3,090,69–5,30
Șuturi pe poartă
20%
69%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,485,498,97sigur1,62–5,343,75–7,235,37–12,58mai sigur1,13–5,833,28–7,704,41–13,53
Total șuturi
23%
71%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,9315,3427,27sigur8,00–15,8511,78–18,9019,78–34,76mai sigur6,91–16,9410,82–19,8617,73–36,81
Șuturi din careu
16%
77%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,7610,3617,13sigur3,82–9,717,68–13,0511,51–22,75mai sigur2,99–10,546,95–13,789,94–24,32
Șuturi blocate
32%
14%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,364,117,47sigur1,48–5,252,46–5,763,94–11,01mai sigur0,94–5,791,96–6,252,90–12,04
Cornere
30%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,385,569,93sigur2,16–6,593,56–7,565,72–14,15mai sigur1,59–7,163,02–8,094,61–15,25
Posesie %
26%
70%
gazdeoaspețipredicție45,0954,93sigur38,30–51,8848,15–61,72mai sigur36,63–53,5546,48–63,39
Pase
32%
68%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție410465875sigur343–477399–532742–1009mai sigur325–495381–549706–1045
Precizie pase %
88%
gazdeoaspețipredicție59,9969,67sigur55,96–64,0265,35–74,00mai sigur54,67–65,3164,04–75,31
Faulturi
46%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,5512,6025,15sigur9,71–15,399,66–15,5519,37–30,94mai sigur8,96–16,148,91–16,3017,87–32,44
Ofsaiduri
33%
21%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,672,013,68sigur0,51–2,830,92–3,101,43–5,94mai sigur0,21–3,130,63–3,390,84–6,53
Cartonașe galbene
42%
20%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,142,054,18sigur1,09–3,190,92–3,182,01–6,36mai sigur0,82–3,450,63–3,471,45–6,92
Cartonașe roșii
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,130,110,24sigur0,00–0,290,00–0,300,00–0,59mai sigur0,00–0,440,00–0,430,00–0,87
Parade portar
56%
16%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,512,616,12sigur2,07–4,941,05–4,163,12–9,11mai sigur1,68–5,330,63–4,592,31–9,92
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 0,99 0,02–1,96 0,00–2,21 | 2,01 1,15–2,86 0,93–3,09 | 3,00 1,17–4,82 0,69–5,30 | 18% 21% 61% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,48 1,62–5,34 1,13–5,83 | 5,49 3,75–7,23 3,28–7,70 | 8,97 5,37–12,58 4,41–13,53 | 20% 69% |
| Total șuturi | 11,93 8,00–15,85 6,91–16,94 | 15,34 11,78–18,90 10,82–19,86 | 27,27 19,78–34,76 17,73–36,81 | 23% 71% |
| Șuturi din careu | 6,76 3,82–9,71 2,99–10,54 | 10,36 7,68–13,05 6,95–13,78 | 17,13 11,51–22,75 9,94–24,32 | 16% 77% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,36 1,48–5,25 0,94–5,79 | 4,11 2,46–5,76 1,96–6,25 | 7,47 3,94–11,01 2,90–12,04 | 32% 14% 53% |
| Cornere | 4,38 2,16–6,59 1,59–7,16 | 5,56 3,56–7,56 3,02–8,09 | 9,93 5,72–14,15 4,61–15,25 | 30% 58% |
| Posesie % | 45,09 38,30–51,88 36,63–53,55 | 54,93 48,15–61,72 46,48–63,39 | — | 26% 70% |
| Pase | 410 343–477 325–495 | 465 399–532 381–549 | 875 742–1009 706–1045 | 32% 68% |
| Precizie pase % | 59,99 55,96–64,02 54,67–65,31 | 69,67 65,35–74,00 64,04–75,31 | — | 88% |
| Faulturi | 12,55 9,71–15,39 8,96–16,14 | 12,60 9,66–15,55 8,91–16,30 | 25,15 19,37–30,94 17,87–32,44 | 46% 46% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,67 0,51–2,83 0,21–3,13 | 2,01 0,92–3,10 0,63–3,39 | 3,68 1,43–5,94 0,84–6,53 | 33% 21% 46% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,14 1,09–3,19 0,82–3,45 | 2,05 0,92–3,18 0,63–3,47 | 4,18 2,01–6,36 1,45–6,92 | 42% 20% 38% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,13 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,44 | 0,11 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,43 | 0,24 0,00–0,59 0,00–0,87 | 80% |
| Parade portar | 3,51 2,07–4,94 1,68–5,33 | 2,61 1,05–4,16 0,63–4,59 | 6,12 3,12–9,11 2,31–9,92 | 56% 16% 28% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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