Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 12·
Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 12·Statistici estimate
Goluri
34%
25%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,331,462,79sigur0,36–2,300,61–2,320,97–4,62mai sigur0,11–2,550,38–2,550,49–5,10
Șuturi pe poartă
47%
13%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,664,399,04sigur2,80–6,522,64–6,135,44–12,65mai sigur2,31–7,012,18–6,594,48–13,60
Total șuturi
68%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,5511,6726,22sigur10,62–18,478,11–15,2418,74–33,71mai sigur9,53–19,567,15–16,2016,68–35,76
Șuturi din careu
55%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,308,2817,58sigur6,36–12,245,60–10,9611,95–23,20mai sigur5,53–13,074,86–11,7010,39–24,77
Șuturi blocate
54%
14%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,263,467,71sigur2,37–6,141,80–5,114,18–11,25mai sigur1,83–6,681,31–5,603,14–12,28
Cornere
51%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,434,8710,30sigur3,22–7,652,87–6,876,09–14,52mai sigur2,65–8,222,33–7,404,98–15,62
Posesie %
57%
38%
gazdeoaspețipredicție51,6847,71sigur44,89–58,4740,92–54,49mai sigur43,22–60,1439,25–56,17
Pase
59%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție460434894sigur393–528367–500760–1028mai sigur375–546350–518725–1063
Precizie pase %
33%
62%
gazdeoaspețipredicție66,8969,77sigur62,86–70,9265,44–74,09mai sigur61,56–72,2164,13–75,40
Faulturi
36%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,2711,4121,68sigur7,43–13,118,46–14,3515,90–27,46mai sigur6,68–13,867,71–15,1014,39–28,97
Ofsaiduri
35%
21%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,761,963,72sigur0,60–2,920,87–3,061,47–5,98mai sigur0,30–3,220,58–3,350,88–6,57
Cartonașe galbene
29%
22%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,512,003,51sigur0,46–2,560,87–3,131,33–5,68mai sigur0,19–2,820,58–3,420,77–6,24
Cartonașe roșii
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,040,090,13sigur0,00–0,210,00–0,280,00–0,48mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,410,00–0,76
Parade portar
34%
16%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,793,286,07sigur1,35–4,221,72–4,833,07–9,06mai sigur0,96–4,611,30–5,262,26–9,87
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,33 0,36–2,30 0,11–2,55 | 1,46 0,61–2,32 0,38–2,55 | 2,79 0,97–4,62 0,49–5,10 | 34% 25% 40% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,66 2,80–6,52 2,31–7,01 | 4,39 2,64–6,13 2,18–6,59 | 9,04 5,44–12,65 4,48–13,60 | 47% 13% 40% |
| Total șuturi | 14,55 10,62–18,47 9,53–19,56 | 11,67 8,11–15,24 7,15–16,20 | 26,22 18,74–33,71 16,68–35,76 | 68% 25% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,30 6,36–12,24 5,53–13,07 | 8,28 5,60–10,96 4,86–11,70 | 17,58 11,95–23,20 10,39–24,77 | 55% 36% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,26 2,37–6,14 1,83–6,68 | 3,46 1,80–5,11 1,31–5,60 | 7,71 4,18–11,25 3,14–12,28 | 54% 14% 32% |
| Cornere | 5,43 3,22–7,65 2,65–8,22 | 4,87 2,87–6,87 2,33–7,40 | 10,30 6,09–14,52 4,98–15,62 | 51% 37% |
| Posesie % | 51,68 44,89–58,47 43,22–60,14 | 47,71 40,92–54,49 39,25–56,17 | — | 57% 38% |
| Pase | 460 393–528 375–546 | 434 367–500 350–518 | 894 760–1028 725–1063 | 59% 41% |
| Precizie pase % | 66,89 62,86–70,92 61,56–72,21 | 69,77 65,44–74,09 64,13–75,40 | — | 33% 62% |
| Faulturi | 10,27 7,43–13,11 6,68–13,86 | 11,41 8,46–14,35 7,71–15,10 | 21,68 15,90–27,46 14,39–28,97 | 36% 55% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,76 0,60–2,92 0,30–3,22 | 1,96 0,87–3,06 0,58–3,35 | 3,72 1,47–5,98 0,88–6,57 | 35% 21% 43% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,51 0,46–2,56 0,19–2,82 | 2,00 0,87–3,13 0,58–3,42 | 3,51 1,33–5,68 0,77–6,24 | 29% 22% 49% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,04 0,00–0,21 0,00–0,36 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,13 0,00–0,48 0,00–0,76 | 88% |
| Parade portar | 2,79 1,35–4,22 0,96–4,61 | 3,28 1,72–4,83 1,30–5,26 | 6,07 3,07–9,06 2,26–9,87 | 34% 16% 50% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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