Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 13·
Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 13·Statistici estimate
Goluri
64%
20%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,040,902,94sigur1,07–3,010,04–1,751,11–4,76mai sigur0,82–3,260,00–1,980,63–5,24
Șuturi pe poartă
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,183,129,30sigur4,32–8,051,38–4,865,70–12,91mai sigur3,83–8,540,91–5,334,74–13,86
Total șuturi
95%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție18,469,4427,90sigur14,53–22,385,88–13,0120,41–35,39mai sigur13,44–23,474,92–13,9718,36–37,44
Șuturi din careu
91%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,655,7117,36sigur8,71–14,603,03–8,3911,74–22,99mai sigur7,88–15,422,29–9,1310,17–24,55
Șuturi blocate
66%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,893,238,11sigur3,00–6,771,57–4,884,58–11,65mai sigur2,46–7,311,08–5,373,54–12,68
Cornere
74%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,333,7810,11sigur4,11–8,541,78–5,795,90–14,33mai sigur3,54–9,111,25–6,324,79–15,43
Posesie %
71%
25%
gazdeoaspețipredicție55,6345,19sigur48,84–62,4238,40–51,97mai sigur47,17–64,0936,73–53,64
Pase
84%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție547428975sigur479–614362–495841–1109mai sigur461–632344–512806–1144
Precizie pase %
67%
28%
gazdeoaspețipredicție74,0069,98sigur69,97–78,0365,66–74,31mai sigur68,68–79,3264,35–75,61
Faulturi
39%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,3712,2723,64sigur8,53–14,209,33–15,2217,86–29,42mai sigur7,77–14,968,58–15,9716,35–30,93
Ofsaiduri
40%
22%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,811,753,55sigur0,65–2,970,65–2,841,30–5,81mai sigur0,35–3,270,37–3,130,71–6,40
Cartonașe galbene
27%
23%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,331,873,21sigur0,28–2,380,74–3,001,03–5,38mai sigur0,02–2,650,45–3,290,47–5,94
Cartonașe roșii
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,100,15sigur0,00–0,210,00–0,280,00–0,49mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,420,00–0,78
Parade portar
19%
13%
68%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,354,016,36sigur0,92–3,792,45–5,563,37–9,35mai sigur0,53–4,182,03–5,992,55–10,16
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,04 1,07–3,01 0,82–3,26 | 0,90 0,04–1,75 0,00–1,98 | 2,94 1,11–4,76 0,63–5,24 | 64% 20% 16% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,18 4,32–8,05 3,83–8,54 | 3,12 1,38–4,86 0,91–5,33 | 9,30 5,70–12,91 4,74–13,86 | 80% |
| Total șuturi | 18,46 14,53–22,38 13,44–23,47 | 9,44 5,88–13,01 4,92–13,97 | 27,90 20,41–35,39 18,36–37,44 | 95% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,65 8,71–14,60 7,88–15,42 | 5,71 3,03–8,39 2,29–9,13 | 17,36 11,74–22,99 10,17–24,55 | 91% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,89 3,00–6,77 2,46–7,31 | 3,23 1,57–4,88 1,08–5,37 | 8,11 4,58–11,65 3,54–12,68 | 66% 22% |
| Cornere | 6,33 4,11–8,54 3,54–9,11 | 3,78 1,78–5,79 1,25–6,32 | 10,11 5,90–14,33 4,79–15,43 | 74% 17% |
| Posesie % | 55,63 48,84–62,42 47,17–64,09 | 45,19 38,40–51,97 36,73–53,64 | — | 71% 25% |
| Pase | 547 479–614 461–632 | 428 362–495 344–512 | 975 841–1109 806–1144 | 84% 16% |
| Precizie pase % | 74,00 69,97–78,03 68,68–79,32 | 69,98 65,66–74,31 64,35–75,61 | — | 67% 28% |
| Faulturi | 11,37 8,53–14,20 7,77–14,96 | 12,27 9,33–15,22 8,58–15,97 | 23,64 17,86–29,42 16,35–30,93 | 39% 53% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,81 0,65–2,97 0,35–3,27 | 1,75 0,65–2,84 0,37–3,13 | 3,55 1,30–5,81 0,71–6,40 | 40% 22% 38% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,33 0,28–2,38 0,02–2,65 | 1,87 0,74–3,00 0,45–3,29 | 3,21 1,03–5,38 0,47–5,94 | 27% 23% 50% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,21 0,00–0,36 | 0,10 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,42 | 0,15 0,00–0,49 0,00–0,78 | 87% |
| Parade portar | 2,35 0,92–3,79 0,53–4,18 | 4,01 2,45–5,56 2,03–5,99 | 6,36 3,37–9,35 2,55–10,16 | 19% 13% 68% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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