Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 14·
Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 14·Statistici estimate
Goluri
59%
20%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,281,333,61sigur1,31–3,250,47–2,181,78–5,43mai sigur1,06–3,500,24–2,411,30–5,91
Șuturi pe poartă
71%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,514,2110,73sigur4,65–8,382,47–5,957,12–14,33mai sigur4,16–8,872,00–6,426,17–15,29
Total șuturi
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție17,8711,4129,28sigur13,94–21,797,85–14,9721,79–36,77mai sigur12,85–22,886,89–15,9319,74–38,82
Șuturi din careu
81%
13%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,558,0420,59sigur9,61–15,495,36–10,7214,97–26,21mai sigur8,78–16,324,62–11,4613,40–27,78
Șuturi blocate
63%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,723,257,97sigur2,84–6,601,59–4,904,43–11,50mai sigur2,29–7,151,10–5,393,40–12,54
Cornere
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,033,7610,79sigur4,82–9,241,76–5,766,58–15,00mai sigur4,24–9,821,23–6,295,47–16,11
Posesie %
87%
gazdeoaspețipredicție60,0239,79sigur53,23–66,8133,00–46,57mai sigur51,56–68,4831,33–48,24
Pase
96%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție580372952sigur513–647306–438818–1086mai sigur495–665288–456783–1121
Precizie pase %
76%
21%
gazdeoaspețipredicție75,7469,87sigur71,71–79,7765,55–74,20mai sigur70,41–81,0664,24–75,51
Faulturi
37%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,4811,5121,99sigur7,64–13,318,57–14,4616,21–27,77mai sigur6,88–14,077,82–15,2014,70–29,28
Ofsaiduri
39%
23%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,711,703,40sigur0,55–2,870,60–2,791,15–5,66mai sigur0,25–3,170,31–3,080,56–6,25
Cartonașe galbene
25%
23%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,211,833,04sigur0,16–2,260,71–2,960,87–5,22mai sigur0,00–2,530,41–3,250,31–5,78
Cartonașe roșii
88%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,040,080,13sigur0,00–0,210,00–0,270,00–0,47mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,400,00–0,76
Parade portar
29%
15%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,013,926,93sigur1,58–4,452,36–5,473,94–9,92mai sigur1,19–4,841,94–5,903,13–10,73
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,28 1,31–3,25 1,06–3,50 | 1,33 0,47–2,18 0,24–2,41 | 3,61 1,78–5,43 1,30–5,91 | 59% 20% 22% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,51 4,65–8,38 4,16–8,87 | 4,21 2,47–5,95 2,00–6,42 | 10,73 7,12–14,33 6,17–15,29 | 71% 19% |
| Total șuturi | 17,87 13,94–21,79 12,85–22,88 | 11,41 7,85–14,97 6,89–15,93 | 29,28 21,79–36,77 19,74–38,82 | 87% |
| Șuturi din careu | 12,55 9,61–15,49 8,78–16,32 | 8,04 5,36–10,72 4,62–11,46 | 20,59 14,97–26,21 13,40–27,78 | 81% 13% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,72 2,84–6,60 2,29–7,15 | 3,25 1,59–4,90 1,10–5,39 | 7,97 4,43–11,50 3,40–12,54 | 63% 24% |
| Cornere | 7,03 4,82–9,24 4,24–9,82 | 3,76 1,76–5,76 1,23–6,29 | 10,79 6,58–15,00 5,47–16,11 | 80% |
| Posesie % | 60,02 53,23–66,81 51,56–68,48 | 39,79 33,00–46,57 31,33–48,24 | — | 87% |
| Pase | 580 513–647 495–665 | 372 306–438 288–456 | 952 818–1086 783–1121 | 96% |
| Precizie pase % | 75,74 71,71–79,77 70,41–81,06 | 69,87 65,55–74,20 64,24–75,51 | — | 76% 21% |
| Faulturi | 10,48 7,64–13,31 6,88–14,07 | 11,51 8,57–14,46 7,82–15,20 | 21,99 16,21–27,77 14,70–29,28 | 37% 55% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,71 0,55–2,87 0,25–3,17 | 1,70 0,60–2,79 0,31–3,08 | 3,40 1,15–5,66 0,56–6,25 | 39% 23% 38% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,21 0,16–2,26 0,00–2,53 | 1,83 0,71–2,96 0,41–3,25 | 3,04 0,87–5,22 0,31–5,78 | 25% 23% 52% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,04 0,00–0,21 0,00–0,36 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,13 0,00–0,47 0,00–0,76 | 88% |
| Parade portar | 3,01 1,58–4,45 1,19–4,84 | 3,92 2,36–5,47 1,94–5,90 | 6,93 3,94–9,92 3,13–10,73 | 29% 15% 56% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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