Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 14·
Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 14·Statistici estimate
Goluri
44%
26%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,441,162,60sigur0,48–2,410,30–2,010,78–4,42mai sigur0,22–2,660,07–2,240,30–4,90
Șuturi pe poartă
46%
14%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,474,268,74sigur2,61–6,342,52–6,015,13–12,34mai sigur2,12–6,832,06–6,474,18–13,30
Total șuturi
54%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,1712,1225,29sigur9,24–17,098,56–15,6917,81–32,78mai sigur8,15–18,197,60–16,6515,76–34,83
Șuturi din careu
56%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,787,7116,49sigur5,84–11,725,03–10,3910,86–22,11mai sigur5,01–12,554,29–11,139,30–23,68
Șuturi blocate
40%
15%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,673,877,54sigur1,79–5,562,22–5,524,01–11,08mai sigur1,25–6,101,73–6,022,97–12,11
Cornere
48%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,164,799,95sigur2,95–7,382,79–6,795,74–14,17mai sigur2,38–7,952,26–7,324,63–15,28
Posesie %
26%
70%
gazdeoaspețipredicție45,7555,58sigur38,96–52,5448,79–62,36mai sigur37,29–54,2147,12–64,03
Pase
27%
73%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție443517960sigur376–510450–583826–1093mai sigur358–528433–601790–1129
Precizie pase %
89%
gazdeoaspețipredicție65,2975,39sigur61,26–69,3271,07–79,71mai sigur59,97–70,6269,76–81,02
Faulturi
43%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,4710,7321,21sigur7,64–13,317,79–13,6815,43–26,99mai sigur6,88–14,077,04–14,4313,92–28,50
Ofsaiduri
53%
22%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,891,203,09sigur0,73–3,050,11–2,290,83–5,34mai sigur0,42–3,350,00–2,580,24–5,93
Cartonașe galbene
35%
22%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,681,863,54sigur0,63–2,730,73–2,991,36–5,72mai sigur0,36–3,000,44–3,280,80–6,28
Cartonașe roșii
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,090,15sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,270,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,410,00–0,78
Parade portar
39%
17%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,863,035,89sigur1,42–4,301,48–4,592,90–8,88mai sigur1,04–4,681,05–5,012,09–9,70
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,44 0,48–2,41 0,22–2,66 | 1,16 0,30–2,01 0,07–2,24 | 2,60 0,78–4,42 0,30–4,90 | 44% 26% 30% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,47 2,61–6,34 2,12–6,83 | 4,26 2,52–6,01 2,06–6,47 | 8,74 5,13–12,34 4,18–13,30 | 46% 14% 40% |
| Total șuturi | 13,17 9,24–17,09 8,15–18,19 | 12,12 8,56–15,69 7,60–16,65 | 25,29 17,81–32,78 15,76–34,83 | 54% 38% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,78 5,84–11,72 5,01–12,55 | 7,71 5,03–10,39 4,29–11,13 | 16,49 10,86–22,11 9,30–23,68 | 56% 35% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,67 1,79–5,56 1,25–6,10 | 3,87 2,22–5,52 1,73–6,02 | 7,54 4,01–11,08 2,97–12,11 | 40% 15% 45% |
| Cornere | 5,16 2,95–7,38 2,38–7,95 | 4,79 2,79–6,79 2,26–7,32 | 9,95 5,74–14,17 4,63–15,28 | 48% 39% |
| Posesie % | 45,75 38,96–52,54 37,29–54,21 | 55,58 48,79–62,36 47,12–64,03 | — | 26% 70% |
| Pase | 443 376–510 358–528 | 517 450–583 433–601 | 960 826–1093 790–1129 | 27% 73% |
| Precizie pase % | 65,29 61,26–69,32 59,97–70,62 | 75,39 71,07–79,71 69,76–81,02 | — | 89% |
| Faulturi | 10,47 7,64–13,31 6,88–14,07 | 10,73 7,79–13,68 7,04–14,43 | 21,21 15,43–26,99 13,92–28,50 | 43% 48% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,89 0,73–3,05 0,42–3,35 | 1,20 0,11–2,29 0,00–2,58 | 3,09 0,83–5,34 0,24–5,93 | 53% 22% 24% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,68 0,63–2,73 0,36–3,00 | 1,86 0,73–2,99 0,44–3,28 | 3,54 1,36–5,72 0,80–6,28 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,09 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,41 | 0,15 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,78 | 87% |
| Parade portar | 2,86 1,42–4,30 1,04–4,68 | 3,03 1,48–4,59 1,05–5,01 | 5,89 2,90–8,88 2,09–9,70 | 39% 17% 44% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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