Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 14·
Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 14·Statistici estimate
Goluri
38%
27%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,301,232,53sigur0,33–2,260,38–2,090,71–4,35mai sigur0,08–2,510,15–2,320,23–4,83
Șuturi pe poartă
41%
14%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,414,558,95sigur2,54–6,272,80–6,295,35–12,56mai sigur2,05–6,762,34–6,754,39–13,51
Total șuturi
60%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,4512,6527,11sigur10,53–18,389,09–16,2119,62–34,59mai sigur9,44–19,478,13–17,1717,57–36,64
Șuturi din careu
55%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,178,1217,29sigur6,22–12,115,44–10,8011,67–22,91mai sigur5,39–12,944,70–11,5410,10–24,48
Șuturi blocate
49%
15%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,893,487,37sigur2,01–5,771,82–5,133,83–10,90mai sigur1,47–6,321,33–5,622,80–11,94
Cornere
49%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,424,9610,37sigur3,20–7,632,96–6,966,16–14,59mai sigur2,63–8,212,42–7,495,05–15,69
Posesie %
38%
57%
gazdeoaspețipredicție48,3752,41sigur41,58–55,1645,63–59,20mai sigur39,91–56,8343,95–60,87
Pase
41%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție405432838sigur338–473366–499704–971mai sigur320–491348–516668–1007
Precizie pase %
14%
83%
gazdeoaspețipredicție61,4969,37sigur57,46–65,5265,05–73,69mai sigur56,17–66,8163,74–75,00
Faulturi
33%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,0012,6723,68sigur8,16–13,849,73–15,6217,89–29,46mai sigur7,41–14,608,98–16,3716,39–30,96
Ofsaiduri
40%
22%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,851,833,68sigur0,69–3,010,74–2,921,43–5,93mai sigur0,39–3,310,45–3,210,84–6,52
Cartonașe galbene
35%
21%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,771,993,76sigur0,72–2,820,86–3,121,58–5,94mai sigur0,45–3,090,57–3,411,02–6,49
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,100,18sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,290,00–0,53mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,420,00–0,81
Parade portar
42%
17%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,012,965,97sigur1,57–4,441,40–4,522,98–8,96mai sigur1,18–4,830,98–4,942,16–9,77
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,30 0,33–2,26 0,08–2,51 | 1,23 0,38–2,09 0,15–2,32 | 2,53 0,71–4,35 0,23–4,83 | 38% 27% 35% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,41 2,54–6,27 2,05–6,76 | 4,55 2,80–6,29 2,34–6,75 | 8,95 5,35–12,56 4,39–13,51 | 41% 14% 45% |
| Total șuturi | 14,45 10,53–18,38 9,44–19,47 | 12,65 9,09–16,21 8,13–17,17 | 27,11 19,62–34,59 17,57–36,64 | 60% 33% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,17 6,22–12,11 5,39–12,94 | 8,12 5,44–10,80 4,70–11,54 | 17,29 11,67–22,91 10,10–24,48 | 55% 35% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,89 2,01–5,77 1,47–6,32 | 3,48 1,82–5,13 1,33–5,62 | 7,37 3,83–10,90 2,80–11,94 | 49% 15% 37% |
| Cornere | 5,42 3,20–7,63 2,63–8,21 | 4,96 2,96–6,96 2,42–7,49 | 10,37 6,16–14,59 5,05–15,69 | 49% 38% |
| Posesie % | 48,37 41,58–55,16 39,91–56,83 | 52,41 45,63–59,20 43,95–60,87 | — | 38% 57% |
| Pase | 405 338–473 320–491 | 432 366–499 348–516 | 838 704–971 668–1007 | 41% 59% |
| Precizie pase % | 61,49 57,46–65,52 56,17–66,81 | 69,37 65,05–73,69 63,74–75,00 | — | 14% 83% |
| Faulturi | 11,00 8,16–13,84 7,41–14,60 | 12,67 9,73–15,62 8,98–16,37 | 23,68 17,89–29,46 16,39–30,96 | 33% 59% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,85 0,69–3,01 0,39–3,31 | 1,83 0,74–2,92 0,45–3,21 | 3,68 1,43–5,93 0,84–6,52 | 40% 22% 39% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,77 0,72–2,82 0,45–3,09 | 1,99 0,86–3,12 0,57–3,41 | 3,76 1,58–5,94 1,02–6,49 | 35% 21% 44% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,18 0,00–0,53 0,00–0,81 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 3,01 1,57–4,44 1,18–4,83 | 2,96 1,40–4,52 0,98–4,94 | 5,97 2,98–8,96 2,16–9,77 | 42% 17% 41% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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