Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 14·
Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 14·Statistici estimate
Goluri
45%
25%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,591,252,84sigur0,62–2,560,39–2,101,01–4,66mai sigur0,37–2,810,16–2,330,53–5,14
Șuturi pe poartă
62%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,353,939,28sigur3,49–7,212,19–5,675,68–12,89mai sigur3,00–7,701,72–6,144,72–13,84
Total șuturi
80%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,3510,5825,92sigur11,42–19,277,01–14,1418,44–33,41mai sigur10,33–20,366,05–15,1016,39–35,46
Șuturi din careu
69%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,957,4017,35sigur7,01–12,894,72–10,0811,73–22,97mai sigur6,18–13,723,98–10,8210,16–24,54
Șuturi blocate
69%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,542,697,23sigur2,65–6,421,04–4,343,69–10,76mai sigur2,11–6,960,55–4,842,66–11,80
Cornere
60%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,024,6810,70sigur3,80–8,232,68–6,686,49–14,91mai sigur3,23–8,802,15–7,225,38–16,02
Posesie %
63%
32%
gazdeoaspețipredicție52,9146,19sigur46,12–59,7039,41–52,98mai sigur44,45–61,3737,74–54,65
Pase
69%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție473414887sigur406–540348–481753–1021mai sigur388–558330–498718–1056
Precizie pase %
52%
43%
gazdeoaspețipredicție68,5567,70sigur64,52–72,5863,38–72,02mai sigur63,23–73,8762,07–73,33
Faulturi
37%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,1112,2423,35sigur8,27–13,949,29–15,1817,56–29,13mai sigur7,51–14,708,55–15,9316,06–30,63
Ofsaiduri
36%
20%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,992,234,22sigur0,83–3,151,14–3,331,97–6,48mai sigur0,53–3,450,85–3,611,38–7,07
Cartonașe galbene
26%
21%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,472,153,61sigur0,42–2,521,02–3,281,44–5,79mai sigur0,15–2,780,73–3,570,88–6,35
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,110,18sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,290,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,430,00–0,81
Parade portar
28%
15%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,623,556,16sigur1,18–4,051,99–5,103,17–9,15mai sigur0,79–4,441,57–5,532,36–9,97
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,59 0,62–2,56 0,37–2,81 | 1,25 0,39–2,10 0,16–2,33 | 2,84 1,01–4,66 0,53–5,14 | 45% 25% 30% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,35 3,49–7,21 3,00–7,70 | 3,93 2,19–5,67 1,72–6,14 | 9,28 5,68–12,89 4,72–13,84 | 62% 26% |
| Total șuturi | 15,35 11,42–19,27 10,33–20,36 | 10,58 7,01–14,14 6,05–15,10 | 25,92 18,44–33,41 16,39–35,46 | 80% 15% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,95 7,01–12,89 6,18–13,72 | 7,40 4,72–10,08 3,98–10,82 | 17,35 11,73–22,97 10,16–24,54 | 69% 23% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,54 2,65–6,42 2,11–6,96 | 2,69 1,04–4,34 0,55–4,84 | 7,23 3,69–10,76 2,66–11,80 | 69% 19% |
| Cornere | 6,02 3,80–8,23 3,23–8,80 | 4,68 2,68–6,68 2,15–7,22 | 10,70 6,49–14,91 5,38–16,02 | 60% 29% |
| Posesie % | 52,91 46,12–59,70 44,45–61,37 | 46,19 39,41–52,98 37,74–54,65 | — | 63% 32% |
| Pase | 473 406–540 388–558 | 414 348–481 330–498 | 887 753–1021 718–1056 | 69% 31% |
| Precizie pase % | 68,55 64,52–72,58 63,23–73,87 | 67,70 63,38–72,02 62,07–73,33 | — | 52% 43% |
| Faulturi | 11,11 8,27–13,94 7,51–14,70 | 12,24 9,29–15,18 8,55–15,93 | 23,35 17,56–29,13 16,06–30,63 | 37% 55% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,99 0,83–3,15 0,53–3,45 | 2,23 1,14–3,33 0,85–3,61 | 4,22 1,97–6,48 1,38–7,07 | 36% 20% 45% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,47 0,42–2,52 0,15–2,78 | 2,15 1,02–3,28 0,73–3,57 | 3,61 1,44–5,79 0,88–6,35 | 26% 21% 53% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,11 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,43 | 0,18 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,81 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 2,62 1,18–4,05 0,79–4,44 | 3,55 1,99–5,10 1,57–5,53 | 6,16 3,17–9,15 2,36–9,97 | 28% 15% 57% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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