Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 15·
Jupiler Pro League·Etapa 15·Statistici estimate
Goluri
50%
26%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,500,962,46sigur0,53–2,470,11–1,820,64–4,29mai sigur0,28–2,720,00–2,050,16–4,77
Șuturi pe poartă
58%
13%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,703,588,28sigur2,84–6,561,84–5,324,68–11,89mai sigur2,35–7,051,37–5,793,72–12,84
Total șuturi
58%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,4611,8825,34sigur9,54–17,398,32–15,4417,85–32,83mai sigur8,44–18,487,36–16,4015,80–34,88
Șuturi din careu
65%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,627,5517,18sigur6,68–12,564,87–10,2411,55–22,80mai sigur5,85–13,394,14–10,979,99–24,37
Șuturi blocate
49%
15%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,703,276,97sigur1,82–5,581,62–4,923,44–10,51mai sigur1,28–6,131,12–5,412,40–11,54
Cornere
62%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,814,3210,13sigur3,60–8,022,32–6,325,92–14,35mai sigur3,02–8,601,79–6,854,81–15,45
Posesie %
79%
18%
gazdeoaspețipredicție56,8342,46sigur50,04–63,6235,68–49,25mai sigur48,37–65,2934,01–50,92
Pase
82%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție504393896sigur436–571326–459763–1030mai sigur418–589309–477727–1066
Precizie pase %
49%
46%
gazdeoaspețipredicție67,2266,97sigur63,19–71,2562,65–71,30mai sigur61,90–72,5461,34–72,61
Faulturi
23%
70%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,0213,0023,02sigur7,18–12,8510,06–15,9517,24–28,80mai sigur6,42–13,619,31–16,6915,73–30,30
Ofsaiduri
37%
20%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,962,114,07sigur0,80–3,121,02–3,201,82–6,33mai sigur0,50–3,420,73–3,491,23–6,91
Cartonașe galbene
24%
20%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,422,253,68sigur0,38–2,471,13–3,381,50–5,86mai sigur0,11–2,740,83–3,670,94–6,41
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,040,110,15sigur0,00–0,200,00–0,300,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,350,00–0,430,00–0,78
Parade portar
32%
17%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,443,005,44sigur1,00–3,871,44–4,562,44–8,43mai sigur0,61–4,261,02–4,981,63–9,24
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,50 0,53–2,47 0,28–2,72 | 0,96 0,11–1,82 0,00–2,05 | 2,46 0,64–4,29 0,16–4,77 | 50% 26% 24% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,70 2,84–6,56 2,35–7,05 | 3,58 1,84–5,32 1,37–5,79 | 8,28 4,68–11,89 3,72–12,84 | 58% 13% 29% |
| Total șuturi | 13,46 9,54–17,39 8,44–18,48 | 11,88 8,32–15,44 7,36–16,40 | 25,34 17,85–32,83 15,80–34,88 | 58% 34% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,62 6,68–12,56 5,85–13,39 | 7,55 4,87–10,24 4,14–10,97 | 17,18 11,55–22,80 9,99–24,37 | 65% 27% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,70 1,82–5,58 1,28–6,13 | 3,27 1,62–4,92 1,12–5,41 | 6,97 3,44–10,51 2,40–11,54 | 49% 15% 36% |
| Cornere | 5,81 3,60–8,02 3,02–8,60 | 4,32 2,32–6,32 1,79–6,85 | 10,13 5,92–14,35 4,81–15,45 | 62% 26% |
| Posesie % | 56,83 50,04–63,62 48,37–65,29 | 42,46 35,68–49,25 34,01–50,92 | — | 79% 18% |
| Pase | 504 436–571 418–589 | 393 326–459 309–477 | 896 763–1030 727–1066 | 82% 18% |
| Precizie pase % | 67,22 63,19–71,25 61,90–72,54 | 66,97 62,65–71,30 61,34–72,61 | — | 49% 46% |
| Faulturi | 10,02 7,18–12,85 6,42–13,61 | 13,00 10,06–15,95 9,31–16,69 | 23,02 17,24–28,80 15,73–30,30 | 23% 70% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,96 0,80–3,12 0,50–3,42 | 2,11 1,02–3,20 0,73–3,49 | 4,07 1,82–6,33 1,23–6,91 | 37% 20% 43% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,42 0,38–2,47 0,11–2,74 | 2,25 1,13–3,38 0,83–3,67 | 3,68 1,50–5,86 0,94–6,41 | 24% 20% 56% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,04 0,00–0,20 0,00–0,35 | 0,11 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,43 | 0,15 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,78 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,44 1,00–3,87 0,61–4,26 | 3,00 1,44–4,56 1,02–4,98 | 5,44 2,44–8,43 1,63–9,24 | 32% 17% 51% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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